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TAL Education Group (TAL)

Consumer Defensive | Education & Training Services | Beijing, China | NYSE
10.46 USD +0.12 (1.161%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 9:46 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a classic 'value trap' with a glimmer of operational hope. Fundamentally, the company is printing money: revenue is up 31%, margins are healthy, and the balance sheet is fortress-like with minimal debt. This supports a solid long-term buy rating, as the business quality is undeniable. However, the market has punished this stock severely, leaving it trading at a discount to book value despite these improvements. The price history shows a brutal multi-year decline, which has likely priced in fears of regulatory overhangs and past scandals that persist in the headlines. While the fundamentals are strong enough to warrant a 'hold' or 'slight buy' stance, the lingering legal risks and the fact that insiders have been selling shares create a ceiling on enthusiasm. For the short term, the options market is telling a story of uncertainty, betting on a choppy recovery between $9 and $12 rather than a runaway rally. Until the regulatory clouds clear and insider selling stops, the stock remains a speculative turnaround play rather than a core holding.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_90 ✓0.071020
MSTL_90_1260.091608
AutoARIMA0.128585
AutoTheta0.133659
AutoETS0.134004
MSTL0.135104
MSTL_1260.147185

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_90

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 6.70
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.292
Excess Kurtosis -0.99
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2017-05-08
Last Dividend Date 2017-05-08
Debt to Equity Ratio 10.268
Revenue per Share 5.267
Market Cap 5,802,174,976
Trailing P/E 11.37
Forward P/E 10.07
Beta 0.07
Profit Margins 17.64%
Website https://www.100tal.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile range-bound recovery rather than a breakout. Call open interest is heavily concentrated at the $12 strike, creating a wall of resistance that suggests traders expect the price to struggle to clear $12 in the near term. Conversely, put open interest is massive at the $9 strike, indicating a strong floor where sellers believe the price will find support. The heavy volume in out-of-the-money puts for September expiration suggests a bet on a continued grind lower or a sharp dip to test the lows, while the call flow remains defensive, waiting for confirmation above key levels.

Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2017-05-09 0.083333 0.406602
2012-12-05 0.083333 5.854779
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2017-05-09
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 0.083333
lastDividendDate 2017-05-09
dividendDate 2017-05-25

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.030018747
Address1 TAL Building No.1
Address2 Courtyard No. 9 Qixin Middle Street Changping District
All Time High 90.96
All Time Low 1.161667
Ask 10.45
Ask Size 2,900
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,859,660
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,839,624
Average Volume 3,839,624
Average Volume10Days 2,859,660
Beta 0.073
Bid 10.42
Bid Size 3,600
Book Value 6.82
City Beijing
Country China
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.46
Current Ratio 2.175
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 10.475
Day Low 10.31
Debt To Equity 10.268
Display Name TAL Education
Dividend Date 1,495,670,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,414,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,414,600
Ebitda 352,761,984
Ebitda Margins 0.11724
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.171
Enterprise To Revenue 0.958
Enterprise Value 2,882,494,720
Eps Current Year 0.86234
Eps Forward 1.03911
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.92
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,494,288,000
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.0606
Fifty Day Average Change 0.39939976
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.039699398
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.0018747
Fifty Two Week High 13.37
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.9099998
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21765144
Fifty Two Week Low 8.88
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.5799999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17792791
Fifty Two Week Range 8.88 - 13.37
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,287,581,400,000
Float Shares 361,954,366
Forward Eps 1.03911
Forward P E 10.066307
Free Cashflow 408,412,384
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 26,100
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.55352
Gross Profits 1,665,478,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0001
Held Percent Institutions 0.59779
Implied Shares Outstanding 554,701,254
Industry Education & Training Services
Industry Disp Education & Training Services
Industry Key education-training-services
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,494,288,000
Last Dividend Value 0.083333
Last Fiscal Year End 1,772,236,800
Last Split Date 1,502,841,600
Last Split Factor 6:1
Long Business Summary TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People's Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Long Name TAL Education Group
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,802,174,976
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_113921345
Most Recent Quarter 1,772,236,800
Net Income To Common 530,751,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,803,772,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,735,610,966
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 10.43
Operating Cashflow 601,467,008
Operating Margins 0.09032
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 10.78
Phone 86 10 5292 6669
Previous Close 10.34
Price Eps Current Year 12.1297865
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5337243
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.9283324
Profit Margins 0.17638999
Quick Ratio 1.879
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.119999886
Regular Market Change Percent 1.1605405
Regular Market Day High 10.475
Regular Market Day Low 10.31
Regular Market Day Range 10.31 - 10.475
Regular Market Open 10.43
Regular Market Previous Close 10.34
Regular Market Price 10.46
Regular Market Time 1,784,036,792
Regular Market Volume 150,903
Return On Assets 0.03016
Return On Equity 0.14062001
Revenue Growth 0.315
Revenue Per Share 5.267
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Shares Outstanding 407,225,695
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0397
Shares Short 21,993,928
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 21,601,293
Short Name TAL Education Group
Short Percent Of Float 0.1025
Short Ratio 6.34
Source Interval 15
Symbol TAL
Target High Price 18.67
Target Low Price 11.54
Target Mean Price 15.58944
Target Median Price 16.0
Total Cash 3,239,324,928
Total Cash Per Share 5.84
Total Debt 387,476,000
Total Revenue 3,008,908,032
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.92
Trailing P E 11.369565
Trailing Peg Ratio 10.815
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.0058
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.5458002
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.04959205
Type Disp Equity
Volume 150,903
Website https://www.100tal.com
Zip 102,200