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Cambria Tail Risk ETF (TAIL)

Trading--Inverse Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | Cboe US
10.52 USD -0.02 (-0.190%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:53 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook remains deeply concerning due to a brutal structural decline; the asset has lost nearly half its value over the last eight years, with six of those years posting negative returns. Despite a recent technical bounce, the multi-year trajectory suggests the market continues to penalize the underlying strategy, capping the long-term rating at a weak level. However, the short-term picture is mixed; while the price has stabilized near its 52-week lows, the heavy concentration of speculative put buying suggests investors are bracing for further volatility or a crash, creating a defensive bias that prevents a bullish short-term rating. The dividend yield, while seemingly attractive at nearly 3%, appears to be a result of the depressed share price rather than robust cash generation, offering little comfort given the persistent capital destruction.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.022181
AutoARIMA0.024806
AutoTheta0.025370
AutoETS0.025687

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 61%
H-stat 2.97
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.172
Excess Kurtosis -0.28
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 26.86

As of July 11, 2026, 3:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (over 1.5k contracts at the $9 strike) compared to negligible call activity. Implied volatility is significantly elevated for puts (1.35x ATM) versus calls (0.74x ATM), indicating a market consensus focused on hedging against a sharp drop rather than betting on a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.45% 2.71% 3.03% 2.49%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-18 0.048 0.450281
2026-03-20 0.077 0.654762
2025-12-18 0.139 1.195699
2025-09-18 0.048 0.404722
2025-06-18 0.110 0.910596
2025-03-20 0.034 0.292851
2024-12-20 0.105 0.932504
2024-06-21 0.183 1.566110
2024-03-21 0.101 0.839568
2023-12-14 0.120 0.938233
2023-09-21 0.117 0.904173
2023-06-22 0.121 0.883857
2023-03-23 0.120 0.786885
2022-12-22 0.072 0.463320
2022-09-22 0.074 0.455105
2022-06-23 0.051 0.290930
2022-03-24 0.032 0.191388
2021-12-22 0.024 0.132523
2021-09-23 0.029 0.155705
2021-06-24 0.027 0.144540
2021-03-25 0.008 0.041973
2020-12-23 0.004 0.019446
2020-09-24 0.008 0.036580
2020-06-25 0.014 0.062837
2020-03-26 0.048 0.204866
2019-12-26 0.091 0.472237
2019-09-26 0.077 0.376897
2019-06-27 0.048 0.234547
2019-03-28 0.090 0.439582
2018-12-26 0.097 0.418645
2018-09-26 0.092 0.460922
2018-06-27 0.089 0.414918
2018-03-28 0.069 0.305567
2017-12-27 0.089 0.394154
2017-09-26 0.063 0.264606
2017-06-27 0.053 0.215622
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 2.93

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 27.23
All Time Low 10.42
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 6,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 242,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 265,609
Average Volume 265,609
Average Volume10Days 242,420
Beta3 Year -0.3
Bid 9.59
Bid Size 5,700
Category Trading--Inverse Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 10.535
Day Low 10.51
Dividend Yield 2.93
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.3916647
Esg Populated 0
Exchange BTS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.75
Fifty Day Average Change -0.22999954
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.021395307
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -11.05485
Fifty Two Week High 12.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.6699991
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.13699748
Fifty Two Week Low 10.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.10000038
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.009596965
Fifty Two Week Range 10.42 - 12.19
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,491,485,400,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0868669
Full Exchange Name Cboe US
Fund Family Cambria Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 1,491,350,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is actively managed and seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in cash and U.S. government bonds, and utilizing a put option strategy to manage the risk of a significant negative movement in the value of domestic equities. The adviser intends to spend approximately one percent of the fund's total assets per month to purchase put options.
Long Name Cambria Tail Risk ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_419609438
Nav Price 10.5221
Net Assets 146,879,824.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.59
Open 10.51
Phone +1 310 6835500
Previous Close 10.54
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0199995
Regular Market Change Percent -0.189749
Regular Market Day High 10.535
Regular Market Day Low 10.51
Regular Market Day Range 10.51 - 10.535
Regular Market Open 10.51
Regular Market Previous Close 10.54
Regular Market Price 10.52
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,794
Regular Market Volume 87,737
Short Name Cambria Tail Risk ETF
Source Interval 15
Symbol TAIL
Three Year Average Return -0.053678297
Total Assets 146,879,824
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 26.859709
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -8.65881
Trailing Three Month Returns -8.65881
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 11.42845
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.9084492
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07949015
Type Disp ETF
Volume 87,737
Yield 0.0293
Ytd Return -6.37889