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Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (SWBI)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Maryville, United States | NasdaqGS
15.66 USD +0.06 (0.417%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.88 +0.22 (1.405%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 6:40 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is fundamentally broken despite the recent headline-driven rally. The company is trapped in a multi-year structural decline, having lost over 62% of its value since the 2016 anchor date. The most damning evidence is the trailing twelve months performance, which saw a catastrophic -39.99% drop, dragging the latest year-over-year direction firmly into the red. This is not a temporary dip; it is a deteriorating business where the market has correctly priced out the quality. The valuation metrics confirm this distress: a payout ratio exceeding 126% indicates the dividend is being funded by borrowing or burning cash, making it unsustainable. While the 3.35% yield looks attractive on the surface, it is a trap for income investors seeking safety. The options market agrees with the bearish thesis, with heavy positioning in deep out-of-the-money puts signaling that speculators expect further downside. The recent surge to $15.60 appears to be a short-covering event or a reaction to isolated positive news, but the underlying trajectory remains deeply bearish. Avoid this security until the multi-year decline shows a definitive reversal in both price and earnings growth.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.028310
AutoETS0.028538
AutoARIMA0.028538
AutoTheta0.079855

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 41%
H-stat 3.62
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.436
Excess Kurtosis 0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-30
Debt to Equity Ratio 14.113
Revenue per Share 11.793
Market Cap 700,425,856
Trailing P/E 38.20
Forward P/E 47.45
Beta 0.86
Profit Margins 3.53%
Website https://www.smith-wesson.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:32 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning heavily for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts expiring in December 2026 and January 2027. While there is some call volume at strikes above the current price, the overwhelming capital allocation is in put writing and buying at lower strikes, suggesting a consensus view of continued weakness or a 'bear trap' scenario rather than a bullish breakout.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.87% 4.42% 4.34% 3.82%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.13 0.866667
2026-03-19 0.13 0.916138
2025-12-18 0.13 1.264591
2025-09-18 0.13 1.369863
2025-07-07 0.13 1.515152
2025-03-20 0.13 1.365546
2024-12-19 0.13 1.275761
2024-09-19 0.13 0.961538
2024-07-11 0.13 0.913563
2024-03-20 0.12 0.672269
2023-12-20 0.12 0.893522
2023-09-20 0.12 1.000834
2023-07-12 0.12 0.898204
2023-03-15 0.10 0.909091
2022-12-19 0.10 1.190476
2022-09-21 0.10 0.991080
2022-07-06 0.10 0.755287
2022-03-16 0.08 0.492005
2021-12-15 0.08 0.441258
2021-09-13 0.08 0.383142
2021-06-30 0.08 0.230548
2021-03-16 0.05 0.263019
2020-12-16 0.05 0.295334
2020-09-16 0.05 0.309215
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.52
dividendYield 3.33
exDividendDate 2026-07-01
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.52
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.03334402
lastDividendValue 0.13
lastDividendDate 2026-07-01
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.85053384
Address1 1,852 Proffitt Springs Road
All Time High 39.61
All Time Low 0.07206
Ask 17.94
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 9
Average Daily Volume10 Day 709,820
Average Daily Volume3 Month 685,778
Average Volume 685,778
Average Volume10Days 709,820
Beta 0.858
Bid 13.73
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 2
Book Value 8.442
City Maryville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.66
Current Ratio 3.203
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 15.985
Day Low 15.46
Debt To Equity 14.113
Display Name Smith & Wesson Brands
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.52
Dividend Yield 3.33
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,781,730,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,781,730,000
Earnings Growth 0.867
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.879
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,726,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,465,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,465,600
Ebitda 59,760,000
Ebitda Margins 0.11408
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.052
Enterprise To Revenue 1.375
Enterprise Value 720,215,872
Eps Current Year 0.47
Eps Forward 0.33
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.41
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 413 747 3317
Fifty Day Average 15.1348
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5251999
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.034701474
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 85.05338
Fifty Two Week High 17.56
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.8999996
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10820044
Fifty Two Week Low 7.73
Fifty Two Week Low Change 7.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.0258732
Fifty Two Week Range 7.73 - 17.56
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 934,896,600,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.45
Float Shares 43,340,529
Forward Eps 0.33
Forward P E 47.454544
Free Cashflow 84,147,872
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 1,378
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.2691
Gross Profits 140,966,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02335
Held Percent Institutions 0.58358
Implied Shares Outstanding 44,727,068
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Ir Website http://ir.smith-wesson.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=90977&p=irol-investorHome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,864,000
Last Dividend Value 0.13
Last Fiscal Year End 1,777,507,200
Last Split Date 1,598,313,600
Last Split Factor 1,301:1000
Long Business Summary Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of firearms worldwide. It offers handguns, including revolvers and pistols; long guns, such as modern sporting rifles, pistol caliber carbines, and lever-action rifles; handcuffs; suppressors; and other firearm-related products. It also provides manufacturing services comprising forging, heat treating, rapid prototyping, tooling, finishing, plating, machining, and custom plastic injection molding, assembly, and distribution services to other businesses; and sells parts purchased through third parties. The company sells its products to firearm enthusiasts, collectors, hunters, sportsmen, competitive shooters, individuals desiring home and personal protection, law enforcement, security agencies and officers, and military agencies. It markets its products through independent dealers, retailers, in-store retails, and direct to consumers, and range operations; print, broadcast, and digital advertising campaigns; social and electronic media; and in-store retail merchandising strategies. The company was founded in 1852 and is based in Maryville, Tennessee.
Long Name Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 700,425,856
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_414079
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common 18,481,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,809,043,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 697,518,625
Number Of Analyst Opinions 2
Open 15.717
Operating Cashflow 114,195,000
Operating Margins 0.11802
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 1.2683
Peg Ratio 0.84
Phone 800 331 0852
Post Market Change 0.22000027
Post Market Change Percent 1.4048549
Post Market Price 15.88
Post Market Time 1,783,982,453
Previous Close 15.595
Price Eps Current Year 33.31915
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.8550105
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.3370861
Profit Margins 0.03528
Quick Ratio 1.035
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0649996
Regular Market Change Percent 0.416798
Regular Market Day High 15.985
Regular Market Day Low 15.46
Regular Market Day Range 15.46 - 15.985
Regular Market Open 15.717
Regular Market Previous Close 15.595
Regular Market Price 15.66
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 568,286
Return On Assets 0.03345
Return On Equity 0.04935
Revenue Growth 0.267
Revenue Per Share 11.793
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 44,727,068
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0442
Shares Short 1,978,810
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,559,760
Short Name Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.044899996
Short Ratio 1.81
Source Interval 15
State TN
Symbol SWBI
Target High Price 18.0
Target Low Price 16.5
Target Mean Price 17.25
Target Median Price 17.25
Total Cash 33,352,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.746
Total Debt 53,142,000
Total Revenue 523,844,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.52
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.03334402
Trailing Eps 0.41
Trailing P E 38.19512
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 12.27755
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.38245
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.27549878
Type Disp Equity
Volume 568,286
Website https://www.smith-wesson.com
Zip 37,801