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Service Properties Trust (SVC)

Real Estate | REIT - Hotel & Motel | Newton, United States | NasdaqGS
8.86 USD +0.03 (0.340%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 8.86

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:45 a.m. EDT

Service Properties Trust presents a classic value trap where the balance sheet is crumbling under the weight of debt, rendering the stock fundamentally broken despite its low price. The company is navigating a severe debt crisis, evidenced by a reverse split and negative earnings, which has crushed investor confidence. While the dividend yield appears attractive at nearly 2.3%, the payout ratio is dangerously low, suggesting the dividend is barely covering costs rather than providing a cushion. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further collapse, while almost no one is willing to bet on a rebound. With a forward P/E of negative infinity and a massive debt-to-equity ratio exceeding 1000%, the business quality has deteriorated significantly. The statistical forecast model shows a 111% predicted gain, but its 'VERY LOW' confidence rating indicates this is pure noise; ignoring the fundamental reality of a distressed REIT in favor of a noisy statistical signal would be a fatal error. The stock is currently trading near its lows because the market has correctly priced in the risk of insolvency or continued operational decline.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.098438
AutoETS0.101601
AutoARIMA0.101604
AutoTheta0.284988

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 28%
H-stat 1.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.768
Excess Kurtosis -0.29
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-19
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-20
Debt to Equity Ratio 1030.261
Revenue per Share 52.487
Market Cap 1,147,635,712
Forward P/E -7.70
Beta 1.63
Profit Margins -13.59%
Website https://www.svcreit.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest is massive relative to call open interest, with significant concentration in strikes far below the current price (e.g., $1.00 and $1.50). This 'bear put' positioning suggests a high probability of further decline or a deep value trap scenario, with very little speculative capital betting on a recovery.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.66% 1.97% 5.88% 5.10%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-21 0.050000 0.657895
2026-01-26 0.050000 0.500000
2025-10-27 0.050000 0.436681
2025-07-21 0.050000 0.373134
2025-04-22 0.050000 0.552486
2025-01-27 0.050000 0.346021
2024-10-28 0.050000 0.293255
2024-07-22 1.000000 3.466204
2024-04-19 1.000000 3.344482
2024-01-19 1.000000 2.512563
2023-10-20 1.000000 2.808989
2023-07-21 1.000000 2.333722
2023-04-21 1.000000 2.181025
2023-01-20 1.000000 2.463054
2022-10-21 1.000000 2.666667
2022-07-22 0.050000 0.160000
2022-04-22 0.050000 0.116959
2022-01-21 0.050000 0.115741
2021-10-22 0.050000 0.090662
2021-07-23 0.050000 0.087796
2021-04-23 0.050000 0.083126
2021-01-22 0.050000 0.090253
2020-10-23 0.050000 0.122249
2020-07-24 0.050000 0.149477
2020-04-20 0.050000 0.177305
2020-01-24 2.700000 2.341717
2019-10-25 2.700000 2.126822
2019-07-26 2.700000 2.208589
2019-04-26 2.700000 2.070552
2019-01-25 2.650000 2.059052
2018-10-26 2.650000 2.051084
2018-07-27 2.650000 1.910598
2018-04-27 2.650000 2.129369
2018-01-26 2.600000 1.795580
2017-10-20 2.600000 1.832276
2017-07-20 2.600000 1.834215
2017-04-19 2.600000 1.614907
2017-01-19 2.550000 1.650485
2016-10-19 2.550000 1.774530
2016-07-20 2.550000 1.630435
2016-04-21 2.550000 1.971395
2016-01-20 2.500000 2.296739
2015-10-21 2.482622 1.818843
2015-07-22 2.482622 1.730703
2015-04-22 2.482622 1.594388
2015-01-21 2.432969 1.523158
2014-10-22 2.432969 1.725960
2014-07-23 2.432969 1.624668
2014-04-23 2.432969 1.674069
2014-01-09 2.383317 1.816118
2013-10-23 2.383317 1.623816
2013-07-24 2.333664 1.677373
2013-04-24 2.333664 1.659604
2013-01-29 2.333664 1.854043
2012-10-18 2.333664 1.991525
2012-07-25 2.234359 1.890756
2012-04-24 2.234359 1.678478
2012-01-25 2.234359 1.844262
2011-10-24 2.234359 1.912452
2011-07-07 2.234359 1.796407
2011-04-27 2.234359 1.861042
2011-01-26 2.234359 1.807955
2010-10-27 2.234359 1.954821
2010-07-28 2.234359 2.216748
2010-04-28 2.234359 1.688555
2010-01-21 2.234359 1.995565
2009-01-16 3.823237 5.407303
2008-10-10 3.823237 6.820194
2008-07-30 3.823237 3.517588
2008-04-11 3.823237 2.407002
2008-01-10 3.823237 2.486277
2007-10-17 3.823237 1.855421
2007-07-10 3.773585 1.834419
2007-04-12 3.773585 1.642178
2007-02-01 14.851043 6.367894
2007-01-11 3.674280 1.571125
2006-10-12 3.674280 1.572461
2006-07-12 3.674280 1.693751
2006-04-10 3.624628 1.748503
2006-01-25 3.624628 1.745577
2005-10-19 3.624628 1.883385
2005-07-19 3.574975 1.641961
2005-04-15 3.574975 1.784387
2004-12-28 3.574975 1.561145
2004-10-20 3.574975 1.674419
2004-07-20 3.574975 1.698113
2004-04-30 3.574975 1.842375
2003-12-29 3.574975 1.731185
2003-10-24 3.574975 2.008368
2003-07-21 3.574975 2.318840
2003-04-21 3.574975 2.535211
2003-01-21 3.574975 2.263439
2002-10-23 3.574975 2.227034
2002-07-22 3.574975 2.455662
2002-04-22 3.525323 2.077846
2002-01-16 3.525323 2.422382
2001-10-23 3.525323 2.812996
2001-07-03 3.525323 2.469565
2001-04-19 3.475670 2.679939
2001-01-17 3.475670 2.909091
2000-10-17 3.475670 3.246377
2000-07-18 3.426018 2.890053
2000-04-19 3.426018 3.228070
2000-01-13 3.426018 3.460815
1999-10-18 3.426018 3.190752
1999-07-23 3.426018 2.555556
1999-04-16 3.376365 2.428571
1998-12-29 3.326713 2.693467
1998-10-21 3.202582 2.416862
1998-07-17 3.227408 2.011605
1998-04-17 3.177756 1.899815
1997-12-29 3.128103 1.972603
1997-10-22 3.078451 1.670034
1997-07-17 3.028798 1.928854
1997-04-11 2.929494 1.926531
1996-12-27 2.929494 2.008511
1996-10-18 2.929494 2.247619
1996-07-18 2.879841 2.263415
1996-04-17 2.879841 2.297030
1995-12-20 2.730884 2.222222
1995-10-11 2.234359 1.730769
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.2
dividendYield 2.26
exDividendDate 2026-07-20
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.2
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.022650057
lastDividendValue 0.05
lastDividendDate 2026-04-21
dividendDate 2026-08-13

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.36702508
Address1 Two Newton Place
Address2 255 Washington Street, Suite 300
All Time High 255.51141
All Time Low 5.65
Ask 10.08
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 8
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,597,432
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,931,116
Average Volume 1,931,116
Average Volume10Days 2,597,432
Beta 1.631
Bid 7.58
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 9
Book Value 2.938
City Newton
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 8.86
Current Ratio 0.684
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 9.02
Day Low 8.8
Debt To Equity 1,030.261
Dividend Date 1,786,579,200
Dividend Rate 0.2
Dividend Yield 2.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,046,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,046,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Ebitda 500,352,000
Ebitda Margins 0.28688
Enterprise To Ebitda 12.42
Enterprise To Revenue 3.563
Enterprise Value 6,214,325,760
Eps Current Year -2.5
Eps Forward -1.15
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -7.15
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,784,505,600
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 617 969 5730
Fifty Day Average 8.3262
Fifty Day Average Change 0.5338001
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0641109
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -36.702507
Fifty Two Week High 15.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.54
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42467535
Fifty Two Week Low 5.65
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.2099996
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.5681415
Fifty Two Week Range 5.65 - 15.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 808,666,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 6.75
Float Shares 106,975,544
Forward Eps -1.15
Forward P E -7.7043476
Free Cashflow 906,456,256
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.30976
Gross Profits 540,259,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Implied Shares Outstanding 129,530,000
Industry REIT - Hotel & Motel
Industry Disp REIT - Hotel & Motel
Industry Key reit-hotel-motel
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,729,600
Last Dividend Value 0.05
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,783,382,400
Last Split Factor 1:5
Long Business Summary Service Properties Trust (Nasdaq: SVC) is a REIT that owns 9.9 billion US dollars in assets, including 760 service-focused retail net lease properties and 94 hotels located in 46 states, the District of Columbia, Canada and Puerto Rico. Sonesta International Hotels Corporation (Sonesta), SVC's largest hotel operator, implements a sustainability program that includes energy management best practices designed to enhance economic performance. These initiatives feature centralized utility bill processing and payment systems, ENERGY STAR® benchmarking, LED lighting upgrades and energy performance reviews for end-of-life HVAC equipment replacements, contributing to reduced energy consumption and delivering both economic and environmental benefits. Managed by The RMR Group (Nasdaq: RMR), a leading U.S. alternative asset management company specializing in commercial real estate (CRE) and related businesses, SVC encourages its operators to adopt water management practices that lower operating costs and minimize natural resource usage. These practices include upgrades such as low-flow plumbing fixtures, water-efficient landscaping, cooling tower water management and automatic faucet controls. Through RMR, SVC collaborates with its hotel operators and net-leased retail tenants to collect environmental data from its properties. By engaging directly with operators and tenants, RMR has improved visibility into the operational performance of over 10.6 million square feet of hotel and retail space. RMR's asset managers promote operational practices that enhance economic performance while addressing sustainability goals, including energy and water conservation and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. These engagement efforts incentivize hotel operators and tenants to adopt practices that deliver positive sustainability outcomes. Service Properties Trust is headquartered in Newton, Massachusetts. The firm was incorporated in 1995 in Maryland.
Long Name Service Properties Trust
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,147,635,712
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_340230
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -237,064,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,144,397,550
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 8.83
Operating Cashflow 115,186,000
Operating Margins 0.07468
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 4.6667004
Peg Ratio 2.27
Phone 617 964 8389
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 8.86
Post Market Time 1,783,981,118
Previous Close 8.83
Price Eps Current Year -3.544
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.015657
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6580065
Profit Margins -0.13592
Quick Ratio 0.407
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.8
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0299997
Regular Market Change Percent 0.339748
Regular Market Day High 9.02
Regular Market Day Low 8.8
Regular Market Day Range 8.8 - 9.02
Regular Market Open 8.83
Regular Market Previous Close 8.83
Regular Market Price 8.86
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 2,619,615
Return On Assets 0.019019999
Return On Equity -0.38599998
Revenue Growth -0.163
Revenue Per Share 52.487
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 129,530,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0346
Shares Short 4,478,821
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,696,583
Short Name Service Properties Trust
Short Percent Of Float 0.0347
Short Ratio 2.62
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol SVC
Target High Price 17.5
Target Low Price 7.5
Target Mean Price 12.1875
Target Median Price 11.875
Total Cash 19,294,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.149
Total Debt 5,086,769,152
Total Revenue 1,744,109,952
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.2
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.022650057
Trailing Eps -7.15
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.53655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.6765499
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07094284
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,619,615
Website https://www.svcreit.com
Zip 02,458-1634