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Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (SUPN)

Healthcare | Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | Rockville, United States | NasdaqGM
43.73 USD -0.46 (-1.041%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 44.58 +0.85 (1.944%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:51 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:43 a.m. EDT

The immediate narrative is one of aggressive speculation on a turnaround, but the underlying business remains fundamentally broken. While the stock has rallied nearly 100% over the last nine years, driven by a recent surge in revenue and a positive outlook for its CNS pipeline, the company is still bleeding cash with negative operating margins and negative earnings per share. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity nearing 4x and free cash flow barely covering operations. The short-term rating is elevated to 3.5 because the recent price action shows strong momentum, and options flow suggests traders are betting on a continuation of this upside based on upcoming catalysts like the Qelbree anniversary and merger synergies. However, this is a high-risk momentum play, not a value recovery. The long-term rating holds at 3.0 because while the revenue growth is impressive, the lack of profitability and the precarious financial structure prevent it from being a 'buy and hold' candidate. There is no dividend to provide a floor, making the entire investment thesis dependent on the successful execution of its drug pipeline. Investors should view this as a speculative trade on the next quarter's results rather than a stable income or compounder vehicle.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.033994
AutoTheta0.036546
AutoARIMA0.046910
MSTL0.053011

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 47%
H-stat 1.88
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.833
Excess Kurtosis 0.32
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 3.895
Revenue per Share 14.465
Market Cap 2,541,894,144
Forward P/E 9.80
Beta 0.56
Profit Margins -13.23%
Website https://www.supernus.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:43 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind. In the near term (September/December 2026), there is heavy open interest in out-of-the-money calls at strikes significantly above the current price (55 and 60), suggesting bets on a sharp rally driven by pipeline news. However, deep out-of-the-money puts for late 2027 show massive open interest, indicating a hedge against a potential long-term failure or regulatory setback. The implied volatility skew is elevated, reflecting uncertainty about whether the recent price gains can sustain against the backdrop of negative earnings.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.018185914
Address1 9,715 Key West Avenue
All Time High 61.25
All Time Low 4.3
Ask 56.0
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 5
Average Daily Volume10 Day 576,590
Average Daily Volume3 Month 851,671
Average Volume 851,671
Average Volume10Days 576,590
Beta 0.56
Bid 33.83
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 3
Book Value 17.73
City Rockville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 43.73
Current Ratio 2.083
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 44.3
Day Low 43.13
Debt To Equity 3.895
Display Name Supernus Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,760,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,760,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,760,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,709,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,709,000
Ebitda 110,432,000
Ebitda Margins 0.13298
Enterprise To Ebitda 20.012
Enterprise To Revenue 2.661
Enterprise Value 2,209,997,312
Eps Current Year 2.565
Eps Forward 4.46
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.9
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 46.7402
Fifty Day Average Change -3.0102005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06440282
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.8185914
Fifty Two Week High 59.68
Fifty Two Week High Change -15.950001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26725873
Fifty Two Week Low 42.45
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.2799988
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.030153092
Fifty Two Week Range 42.45 - 59.68
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,335,879,000,000
Float Shares 51,650,501
Forward Eps 4.46
Forward P E 9.804933
Free Cashflow 84,611,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 778
Fullday Change -0.459999
Fullday Change Percent -1.04096
Fullday Price 44.58
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.72890997
Gross Profits 605,312,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.044899996
Held Percent Institutions 1.06656
Implied Shares Outstanding 58,127,013
Industry Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Disp Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Industry Key drug-manufacturers-specialty-generic
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development and commercialization of products for the treatment of central nervous system (CNS) diseases in the United States. It offers Qelbree, a non-stimulant indicated for the treatment of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD); GOCOVRI for the treatment of dyskinesia and levodopa/carbidopa in patients with Parkinson's Disease (PD); Oxtellar XR, an extended-release oxcarbazepine product indicated for the monotherapy treatment of partial onset epilepsy seizures; and APOKYN for the acute and intermittent treatment of hypomobility or off episodes in patients with advanced PD. It also provides Trokendi XR, an extended release topiramate product indicated for the treatment of epilepsy, as well as for the prophylaxis of migraine headache; XADAGO for the treatment of levodopa/carbidopa in patients with PD experiencing off episodes; and MYOBLOC, a Type B toxin product indicated for the treatment of cervical dystonia and chronic sialorrhea. In addition, the company develops ONAPGO, which received FDA approval, for the treatment of motor fluctuations in adults with advanced PD; SPN-817, a first-in-class selective acetylcholinesterase inhibitor, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial, for the treatment of epilepsy, partial seizures, Dravet syndrome, and Lennox-Gaustaut syndrome; SPN-820, a small molecule in Phase 2 clinical trial for treating resistant depression; and SPN-443, a stimulant in Phase 1 trial for the treatment of ADHD/CNS. It markets and sells its products through pharmaceutical wholesalers, specialty pharmacies, and distributors. It has a development agreement with Navitor Inc. for the conduct of Phase 2 clinical program of SPN-820. Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Rockville, Maryland.
Long Name Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,541,894,144
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_422832
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -109,886,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,568,632,704
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 43.95
Operating Cashflow 19,911,000
Operating Margins -0.02485
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 301 838 2500
Post Market Change 0.8500023
Post Market Change Percent 1.943751
Post Market Price 44.58
Post Market Time 1,787,961,077
Previous Close 44.19
Price Eps Current Year 17.048733
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4664412
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 3.0609078
Profit Margins -0.13232
Quick Ratio 1.68
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.459999
Regular Market Change Percent -1.04096
Regular Market Day High 44.3
Regular Market Day Low 43.13
Regular Market Day Range 43.13 - 44.3
Regular Market Open 43.95
Regular Market Previous Close 44.19
Regular Market Price 43.73
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 487,775
Return On Assets 0.0038800002
Return On Equity -0.104899995
Revenue Growth 0.324
Revenue Per Share 14.465
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 58,127,013
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0713
Shares Short 4,147,629
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 4,850,861
Short Name Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0876
Short Ratio 4.42
Source Interval 15
State MD
Symbol SUPN
Target High Price 67.0
Target Low Price 55.0
Target Mean Price 61.75
Target Median Price 62.5
Total Cash 372,067,008
Total Cash Per Share 6.401
Total Debt 40,170,000
Total Revenue 830,438,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.9
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 48.53015
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.800152
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09891071
Type Disp Equity
Volume 487,775
Website https://www.supernus.com
Zip 20,850