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SU Group Holdings Limited (SUGP)

Industrials | Security & Protection Services | Kwun Tong, Hong Kong | NasdaqCM
4.69 USD

Short-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Long-term: ☆☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:32 p.m. EDT

SUGP is a high-conviction short based on deteriorating fundamentals (negative net income, negative operating cash flow) and a specific 45-day model prediction of a 17% price decline. The lack of dividends, delisting risks, and negative revenue growth confirm its status as a value trap.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.049648
AutoTheta0.080464
AutoETS0.142530
MSTL0.153345

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 0.82
Ljung-Box p 0.001
Jarque-Bera p 0.438
Excess Kurtosis 0.39
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 6.404
Revenue per Share 139.009
Market Cap 11,098,665
Beta 2.29
Profit Margins -9.61%
Website https://www.sugroup.com.hk

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.27286822
Address1 No. 71 Hung To Road
Address2 7th Floor, The Rays
All Time High 58.6
All Time Low 3.44
Ask 5.85
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,950
Average Daily Volume3 Month 17,822
Average Volume 17,822
Average Volume10Days 3,950
Beta 2.291
Bid 5.86
Bid Size 1
Book Value 7.5033236
City Kwun Tong
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Country Hong Kong
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 4.69
Current Ratio 2.818
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 4.69
Day Low 4.69
Debt To Equity 6.404
Display Name SU
Ebitda -16,269,250
Ebitda Margins -0.08457
Enterprise To Ebitda 0.797
Enterprise To Revenue -0.067
Enterprise Value -12,967,764
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.71
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 852 2191 7060
Fifty Day Average 5.19768
Fifty Day Average Change -0.50767994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.09767433
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -27.286821
Fifty Two Week High 18.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -13.709999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.74510866
Fifty Two Week Low 3.44
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3633721
Fifty Two Week Range 3.44 - 18.4
Financial Currency HKD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,706,106,600,000
Float Shares 474,015
Free Cashflow -13,327,510
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 316
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.1598
Gross Profits 30,743,562
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09247
Held Percent Institutions 0.00089
Implied Shares Outstanding 2,366,453
Industry Security & Protection Services
Industry Disp Security & Protection Services
Industry Key security-protection-services
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-01-24
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,759,190,400
Last Split Date 1,756,080,000
Last Split Factor 1:10
Long Business Summary SU Group Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated security-related services company in Hong Kong and internationally. It operates in two segments, Security-Related Engineering Services Business, and Security Guarding and Screening Services Business. The company primarily provides security-related engineering, security guarding and screening, and related vocational training services. It also engages in the design, supply, installation, maintenance, and testing and commissioning of various security systems. In addition, the company offers threat detection systems, including X-ray machines, trace detection products, metal detectors, and mail screening machines; traffic and pedestrian control systems, such as traffic control, automatic fare control, automatic door, and people counting systems, as well as turnstiles; and extra-low voltage systems comprising closed-circuit television, access control, public address, and building management systems to commercial properties, public facilities, and residential properties. Further, the company provides screening services, such as the detection of explosives, and incendiary devices in air cargo consignment and detection of dangerous goods through threat detection systems by screeners; and training courses for basic security services, mandatory basic safety, and training revalidation courses. Additionally, it offers equipment leasing services. SU Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. SU Group Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Exceptional Engineering Limited.
Long Name SU Group Holdings Limited
Market us_market
Market Cap 11,098,665
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1826723311
Most Recent Quarter 1,759,190,400
Net Income To Common -18,484,476
Next Fiscal Year End 1,790,726,400
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,869,780
Open 4.7
Operating Cashflow -15,456,974
Operating Margins -0.17774999
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 852 2341 8183
Previous Close 4.69
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.6250563
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.057689395
Profit Margins -0.09608
Quick Ratio 1.856
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0
Regular Market Change Percent 0.0
Regular Market Day High 4.69
Regular Market Day Low 4.69
Regular Market Day Range 4.69 - 4.69
Regular Market Open 4.7
Regular Market Previous Close 4.69
Regular Market Price 4.69
Regular Market Time 1,776,369,600
Regular Market Volume 834
Return On Assets -0.0794
Return On Equity -0.20106001
Revenue Growth -0.065
Revenue Per Share 139.009
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Shares Outstanding 563,092
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0229
Shares Short 33,480
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 66,355
Short Name SU Group Holdings Limited
Short Percent Of Float 0.0643
Short Ratio 7.92
Source Interval 15
Symbol SUGP
Total Cash 25,354,528
Total Cash Per Share 17.31
Total Debt 5,516,983
Total Revenue 192,386,576
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.71
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 6.31673
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.62673
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.25752723
Type Disp Equity
Volume 834
Website https://www.sugroup.com.hk