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Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Miami Beach, United States | NYSE
12.53 USD -0.08 (-0.634%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 12:40 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 4:12 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is sharply negative, driven by a brutal 15% cumulative decline over the last nine years and a recent 6.8% drop in the trailing twelve months. While the forward P/E of 6.7 looks attractive on paper, it masks a deteriorating reality where earnings growth has collapsed to nearly -97% and operating margins are negative. The stock is trading at a discount to book value, but this is likely a market correction for a business that has failed to generate consistent growth or profitability recently. The 15% dividend yield is compelling but dangerous; it represents a high payout ratio relative to the company's ability to sustainably grow earnings, and the price has been dragged down significantly by the lack of capital appreciation. Options data confirms this pessimism, with heavy speculative buying of deep out-of-the-money puts for 2027 and 2028, signaling that the market expects further downside rather than a quick recovery. Until the company demonstrates a return to positive operating margins and sustained earnings growth, the high yield is more of a compensation for risk than a reliable income stream.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.048710
AutoARIMA0.050568
AutoETS0.050574
MSTL0.050962

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 73.84
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.22
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 331.119
Revenue per Share 1.637
Market Cap 4,758,504,960
Trailing P/E 20.88
Forward P/E 6.67
Beta 1.05
Profit Margins 38.16%
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 4:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes 8.0, 13.0, 15.0) expiring in late 2027 and early 2028. Call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, but the volume of put buying significantly outweighs call aggression, suggesting a 'bear put spread' or hedging strategy rather than a bullish bet. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes, indicating fear of further declines.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
3.56% 11.94% 10.42% 10.11%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-30 0.480000 3.555556
2026-06-30 0.480000 2.930403
2026-03-31 0.480000 2.787457
2025-12-31 0.480000 2.665186
2025-09-30 0.480000 2.478059
2025-06-30 0.480000 2.391629
2025-03-31 0.480000 2.427921
2024-12-31 0.480000 2.532981
2024-09-30 0.480000 2.355250
2024-06-28 0.480000 2.534319
2024-03-27 0.480000 2.361043
2023-12-28 0.480000 2.251407
2023-09-28 0.480000 2.488336
2023-06-29 0.480000 2.492212
2023-03-30 0.480000 2.792321
2022-12-29 0.480000 2.610114
2022-09-29 0.480000 2.601626
2022-06-29 0.480000 2.299952
2022-03-30 0.480000 2.021053
2021-12-30 0.480000 1.968827
2021-09-29 0.480000 1.924619
2021-06-29 0.480000 1.841197
2021-03-30 0.480000 1.926937
2020-12-30 0.480000 2.489626
2020-09-29 0.480000 3.178808
2020-06-29 0.480000 3.221477
2020-03-30 0.480000 4.274266
2019-12-30 0.480000 1.934704
2019-09-27 0.480000 1.975309
2019-06-27 0.480000 2.136182
2019-03-28 0.480000 2.142857
2018-12-28 0.480000 2.404810
2018-09-27 0.480000 2.246139
2018-06-28 0.480000 2.185792
2018-03-28 0.480000 2.307692
2017-12-28 0.480000 2.239851
2017-09-28 0.480000 2.209945
2017-06-28 0.480000 2.134282
2017-03-29 0.480000 2.123894
2016-12-28 0.480000 2.204869
2016-09-28 0.480000 2.118270
2016-06-28 0.480000 2.355250
2016-03-29 0.480000 2.583423
2015-12-29 0.480000 2.327837
2015-09-28 0.480000 2.363368
2015-06-26 0.480000 2.192782
2015-03-27 0.480000 2.029598
2014-12-29 0.480000 2.061856
2014-09-26 0.480000 2.153432
2014-06-26 0.480000 2.035623
2014-03-27 0.480000 2.079723
2013-12-27 0.370908 1.693667
2013-09-26 0.370908 1.928722
2013-06-26 0.370908 1.954121
2013-03-26 0.354781 1.560835
2012-12-27 0.435414 2.359111
2012-09-26 0.354781 1.869951
2012-06-27 0.354781 2.100236
2012-03-28 0.354781 2.111321
2011-12-28 0.354781 2.375807
2011-09-28 0.354781 2.568590
2011-06-28 0.354781 2.196702
2011-03-29 0.338655 1.866666
2010-12-29 0.322529 1.872661
2010-09-28 0.266086 1.647528
2010-06-28 0.201580 1.449273
2010-03-29 0.177391 1.138129
2009-12-28 0.080632 0.541417
2009-10-28 0.008063 0.049899
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.92
dividendYield 15.23
exDividendDate 2026-09-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.15226011
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-09-30
dividendDate 2026-10-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.32021564
Address1 2,340 Collins Avenue
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 27.01
All Time Low 7.59
Ask 12.59
Ask Size 6,200
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 6,900,270
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,857,965
Average Volume 4,857,965
Average Volume10Days 6,900,270
Beta 1.052
Bid 12.58
Bid Size 4,700
Board Risk 8
Book Value 17.535
City Miami Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 12.53
Current Ratio 12.868
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 12.75
Day Low 12.525
Debt To Equity 331.119
Display Name Starwood Property Trust
Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Dividend Rate 1.92
Dividend Yield 15.23
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,977,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,977,200
Earnings Growth -0.974
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.949
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,968,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,968,200
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 48.128
Enterprise Value 28,745,992,192
Eps Current Year 1.51225
Eps Forward 1.87848
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.6
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 15.0058
Fifty Day Average Change -2.4758005
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.16498958
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -32.021564
Fifty Two Week High 18.8
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.2699995
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.33351064
Fifty Two Week Low 12.27
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.25999928
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.021189835
Fifty Two Week Range 12.27 - 18.8
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,250,083,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.64
Float Shares 350,083,583
Forward Eps 1.87848
Forward P E 6.6702867
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 324
Fullday Change -0.07999992
Fullday Change Percent -0.6344165
Fullday Price 12.53
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.86453
Gross Profits 516,364,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05854
Held Percent Institutions 0.5325
Implied Shares Outstanding 379,768,950
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,391,385,600
Last Split Factor 12,402:10000
Long Business Summary Starwood Property Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Commercial and Residential Lending; Infrastructure Lending; Property; and Investing and Servicing. The Commercial and Residential Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial first mortgages, non-agency residential mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and residential mortgage-backed securities, as well as other real estate and real estate-related debt investments, including distressed or non-performing loans. Its Infrastructure Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages infrastructure debt investments. The Property segment engages primarily in acquiring and managing equity interests in stabilized and to be stabilized commercial real estate properties, including multifamily properties, multi-tenant medical office net lease properties and diversified single-tenant triple net lease properties that are held for investment. Its Investing and Servicing segment manages and works out problem assets; acquires and manages unrated, investment grade, and non-investment grade rated CMBS comprising subordinated interests of securitization and re-securitization transactions; originates conduit loans for the primary purpose of selling these loans into securitization transactions; and acquires commercial real estate assets that include properties acquired from CMBS trusts. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
Long Name Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 4,758,504,960
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_59665769
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 218,072,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,441,483,565
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 12.71
Operating Cashflow 1,090,564,992
Operating Margins -0.05869
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 3.2
Peg Ratio 1.74
Phone 305 695 5500
Previous Close 12.61
Price Eps Current Year 8.285667
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.7145708
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.9669585
Profit Margins 0.38158
Quick Ratio 11.469
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.88889
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.07999992
Regular Market Change Percent -0.6344165
Regular Market Day High 12.75
Regular Market Day Low 12.525
Regular Market Day Range 12.525 - 12.75
Regular Market Open 12.71
Regular Market Previous Close 12.61
Regular Market Price 12.53
Regular Market Time 1,792,168,837
Regular Market Volume 1,591,401
Return On Assets 0.00429
Return On Equity 0.03689
Revenue Growth 0.134
Revenue Per Share 1.637
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 370,168,950
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0631
Shares Short 23,368,118
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 18,163,097
Short Name STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S
Short Percent Of Float 0.067
Short Ratio 4.95
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol STWD
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 16.0
Target Mean Price 19.5625
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 391,998,016
Total Cash Per Share 1.059
Total Debt 23,785,697,280
Total Revenue 597,280,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.15226011
Trailing Eps 0.6
Trailing P E 20.883331
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.86605
Two Hundred Day Average Change -4.336051
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.2570875
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,591,401
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com
Zip 33,139