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Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Miami Beach, United States | NYSE
16.46 USD -0.18 (-1.082%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT

Starwood Property Trust presents a classic value trap scenario where the market has priced in severe distress despite the company's operational resilience. The 11.67% dividend yield is dangerously misleading; with a payout ratio exceeding 200%, the company is distributing far more cash than it earns, relying entirely on asset liquidation or debt refinancing to sustain the payout. This is not a sustainable income stream but a countdown clock on capital preservation. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating. Earnings have collapsed by over 60% year-over-year, and while revenue grew slightly, the profit margins are evaporating. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity soaring above 300%, leaving the firm vulnerable to any shift in interest rates or credit conditions. The recent news of bond offerings and analyst caution confirms that the market views this as a distressed asset, not a bargain. Technically and statistically, the momentum is broken. The stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages, and the short-term forecasting model leans slightly negative. While the options market shows some speculative hope for a bounce via out-of-the-money calls, the heavy put positioning at deep strikes suggests investors are bracing for further declines. Given the unsustainable dividend, the eroding earnings, and the precarious debt load, this security warrants avoidance for both short-term traders and long-term investors seeking stability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.067087
MSTL0.068842
AutoETS0.069083
AutoARIMA0.069084

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 53%
H-stat 3.32
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.035
Excess Kurtosis 0.18
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 315.953
Revenue per Share 1.625
Market Cap 6,260,537,344
Trailing P/E 17.33
Forward P/E 8.62
Beta 1.03
Profit Margins 60.46%
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest at deep strikes (8.0, 10.0, 13.0), suggesting a fear of significant downside or a 'crash' scenario. However, call activity remains overwhelmingly out-of-the-money, indicating a speculative hope for a rebound rather than a confirmed bullish trend. The imbalance in volume at deep strikes suggests hedging or insurance buying rather than aggressive directional bets.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.93% 10.86% 10.07% 9.78%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.480000 2.930403
2026-03-31 0.480000 2.787457
2025-12-31 0.480000 2.665186
2025-09-30 0.480000 2.478059
2025-06-30 0.480000 2.391629
2025-03-31 0.480000 2.427921
2024-12-31 0.480000 2.532981
2024-09-30 0.480000 2.355250
2024-06-28 0.480000 2.534319
2024-03-27 0.480000 2.361043
2023-12-28 0.480000 2.251407
2023-09-28 0.480000 2.488336
2023-06-29 0.480000 2.492212
2023-03-30 0.480000 2.792321
2022-12-29 0.480000 2.610114
2022-09-29 0.480000 2.601626
2022-06-29 0.480000 2.299952
2022-03-30 0.480000 2.021053
2021-12-30 0.480000 1.968827
2021-09-29 0.480000 1.924619
2021-06-29 0.480000 1.841197
2021-03-30 0.480000 1.926937
2020-12-30 0.480000 2.489626
2020-09-29 0.480000 3.178808
2020-06-29 0.480000 3.221477
2020-03-30 0.480000 4.274266
2019-12-30 0.480000 1.934704
2019-09-27 0.480000 1.975309
2019-06-27 0.480000 2.136182
2019-03-28 0.480000 2.142857
2018-12-28 0.480000 2.404810
2018-09-27 0.480000 2.246139
2018-06-28 0.480000 2.185792
2018-03-28 0.480000 2.307692
2017-12-28 0.480000 2.239851
2017-09-28 0.480000 2.209945
2017-06-28 0.480000 2.134282
2017-03-29 0.480000 2.123894
2016-12-28 0.480000 2.204869
2016-09-28 0.480000 2.118270
2016-06-28 0.480000 2.355250
2016-03-29 0.480000 2.583423
2015-12-29 0.480000 2.327837
2015-09-28 0.480000 2.363368
2015-06-26 0.480000 2.192782
2015-03-27 0.480000 2.029598
2014-12-29 0.480000 2.061856
2014-09-26 0.480000 2.153432
2014-06-26 0.480000 2.035623
2014-03-27 0.480000 2.079723
2013-12-27 0.370908 1.693667
2013-09-26 0.370908 1.928722
2013-06-26 0.370908 1.954121
2013-03-26 0.354781 1.560835
2012-12-27 0.435414 2.359111
2012-09-26 0.354781 1.869951
2012-06-27 0.354781 2.100236
2012-03-28 0.354781 2.111321
2011-12-28 0.354781 2.375807
2011-09-28 0.354781 2.568590
2011-06-28 0.354781 2.196702
2011-03-29 0.338655 1.866666
2010-12-29 0.322529 1.872661
2010-09-28 0.266086 1.647528
2010-06-28 0.201580 1.449273
2010-03-29 0.177391 1.138129
2009-12-28 0.080632 0.541417
2009-10-28 0.008063 0.049899
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.92
dividendYield 11.66
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.115384616
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20213282
Address1 2,340 Collins Avenue
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 27.01
All Time Low 7.59
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 2,100
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,799,340
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,249,627
Average Volume 3,249,627
Average Volume10Days 3,799,340
Beta 1.031
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,100
Board Risk 9
Book Value 17.979
City Miami Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.46
Current Ratio 12.856
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.7
Day Low 16.34
Debt To Equity 315.953
Display Name Starwood Property Trust
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 1.92
Dividend Yield 11.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,248,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,248,800
Earnings Growth -0.604
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.538
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,243,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,019,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 51.102
Enterprise Value 29,681,793,024
Eps Current Year 1.70769
Eps Forward 1.90872
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.95
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 17.0652
Fifty Day Average Change -0.6052017
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.035464086
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.213282
Fifty Two Week High 20.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.4800014
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21394467
Fifty Two Week Low 16.29
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.16999817
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.010435738
Fifty Two Week Range 16.29 - 20.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,250,083,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.46
Float Shares 352,737,604
Forward Eps 1.90872
Forward P E 8.62358
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 324
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.88101
Gross Profits 511,723,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.05824
Held Percent Institutions 0.53313
Implied Shares Outstanding 380,348,570
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,391,385,600
Last Split Factor 12,402:10000
Long Business Summary Starwood Property Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Commercial and Residential Lending; Infrastructure Lending; Property; and Investing and Servicing. The Commercial and Residential Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial first mortgages, non-agency residential mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and residential mortgage-backed securities, as well as other real estate and real estate-related debt investments, including distressed or non-performing loans. Its Infrastructure Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages infrastructure debt investments. The Property segment engages primarily in acquiring and managing equity interests in stabilized and to be stabilized commercial real estate properties, including multifamily properties, multi-tenant medical office net lease properties and diversified single-tenant triple net lease properties that are held for investment. Its Investing and Servicing segment manages and works out problem assets; acquires and manages unrated, investment grade, and non-investment grade rated CMBS comprising subordinated interests of securitization and re-securitization transactions; originates conduit loans for the primary purpose of selling these loans into securitization transactions; and acquires commercial real estate assets that include properties acquired from CMBS trusts. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
Long Name Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,260,537,344
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_59665769
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 341,670,016
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 6,102,521,462
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 16.65
Operating Cashflow 832,548,992
Operating Margins 0.17406
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 2.0211
Peg Ratio 1.74
Phone 305 695 5500
Pre Market Change 0.034999847
Pre Market Change Percent 0.21257119
Pre Market Price 16.5
Pre Market Time 1,784,034,269
Previous Close 16.64
Price Eps Current Year 9.638751
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.9155125
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 10.778457
Profit Margins 0.60459
Quick Ratio 11.312
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.88889
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.18
Regular Market Change Percent -1.08173
Regular Market Day High 16.7
Regular Market Day Low 16.34
Regular Market Day Range 16.34 - 16.7
Regular Market Open 16.65
Regular Market Previous Close 16.64
Regular Market Price 16.46
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 3,021,042
Return On Assets 0.00619
Return On Equity 0.053000003
Revenue Growth 0.218
Revenue Per Share 1.625
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 370,748,570
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0496
Shares Short 18,380,373
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 16,363,200
Short Name STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S
Short Percent Of Float 0.052600004
Short Ratio 5.04
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol STWD
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 18.0
Target Mean Price 20.25
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 322,536,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.87
Total Debt 23,218,548,736
Total Revenue 580,838,016
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.115384616
Trailing Eps 0.95
Trailing P E 17.326315
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.91205
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.4520512
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.0810656
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,021,042
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com
Zip 33,139