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Starwood Property Trust, Inc. (STWD)

Real Estate | REIT - Mortgage | Miami Beach, United States | NYSE
15.81 USD -0.13 (-0.816%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.85 +0.04 (0.240%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT

The most critical signal here is the massive disconnect between the headline-grabbing 11.7% yield and the company's actual financial health. While the dividend is stable at $0.48 per share, the payout ratio of 325% indicates the company is distributing nearly three times its earnings, relying entirely on capital recycling and debt issuance to maintain the payout. This is a classic 'yield trap' where the high coupon masks deteriorating fundamentals. Fundamentally, the business is struggling. Operating margins are negative, earnings have collapsed by nearly 98%, and the stock trades at a premium P/S ratio despite these losses. The balance sheet is fragile, with debt-to-equity exceeding 330x. While the forward P/E looks attractive, it relies on aggressive EPS growth assumptions that contradict the current earnings trajectory. Technically, the stock is trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend. The options market reflects this anxiety: traders are buying deep out-of-the-money puts for 2028, betting on a severe crash, while call buyers are hesitant to commit capital far above current prices. The statistical forecast model sees no directional edge, aligning with the view that the stock is currently in a value-neutral zone where the risks of continued deterioration outweigh the potential for a quick rebound. Investors seeking income should be wary of the sustainability of this yield; investors seeking growth will find the fundamentals too impaired.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.013550
AutoARIMA0.015824
AutoETS0.015825
MSTL0.016784

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 58%
H-stat 1.96
Ljung-Box p 0.002
Jarque-Bera p 0.964
Excess Kurtosis -0.01
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 331.119
Revenue per Share 1.637
Market Cap 6,004,147,200
Trailing P/E 26.80
Forward P/E 8.35
Beta 1.04
Profit Margins 38.16%
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:10 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at distant expirations (Jan 2028), suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap or liquidity crisis. Conversely, call interest is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a belief that the current depressed price represents a floor rather than a ceiling. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term strikes compared to longer-dated ones, reflecting uncertainty in the immediate term but pricing in lower volatility further out.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
2.93% 10.86% 10.07% 9.78%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.480000 2.930403
2026-03-31 0.480000 2.787457
2025-12-31 0.480000 2.665186
2025-09-30 0.480000 2.478059
2025-06-30 0.480000 2.391629
2025-03-31 0.480000 2.427921
2024-12-31 0.480000 2.532981
2024-09-30 0.480000 2.355250
2024-06-28 0.480000 2.534319
2024-03-27 0.480000 2.361043
2023-12-28 0.480000 2.251407
2023-09-28 0.480000 2.488336
2023-06-29 0.480000 2.492212
2023-03-30 0.480000 2.792321
2022-12-29 0.480000 2.610114
2022-09-29 0.480000 2.601626
2022-06-29 0.480000 2.299952
2022-03-30 0.480000 2.021053
2021-12-30 0.480000 1.968827
2021-09-29 0.480000 1.924619
2021-06-29 0.480000 1.841197
2021-03-30 0.480000 1.926937
2020-12-30 0.480000 2.489626
2020-09-29 0.480000 3.178808
2020-06-29 0.480000 3.221477
2020-03-30 0.480000 4.274266
2019-12-30 0.480000 1.934704
2019-09-27 0.480000 1.975309
2019-06-27 0.480000 2.136182
2019-03-28 0.480000 2.142857
2018-12-28 0.480000 2.404810
2018-09-27 0.480000 2.246139
2018-06-28 0.480000 2.185792
2018-03-28 0.480000 2.307692
2017-12-28 0.480000 2.239851
2017-09-28 0.480000 2.209945
2017-06-28 0.480000 2.134282
2017-03-29 0.480000 2.123894
2016-12-28 0.480000 2.204869
2016-09-28 0.480000 2.118270
2016-06-28 0.480000 2.355250
2016-03-29 0.480000 2.583423
2015-12-29 0.480000 2.327837
2015-09-28 0.480000 2.363368
2015-06-26 0.480000 2.192782
2015-03-27 0.480000 2.029598
2014-12-29 0.480000 2.061856
2014-09-26 0.480000 2.153432
2014-06-26 0.480000 2.035623
2014-03-27 0.480000 2.079723
2013-12-27 0.370908 1.693667
2013-09-26 0.370908 1.928722
2013-06-26 0.370908 1.954121
2013-03-26 0.354781 1.560835
2012-12-27 0.435414 2.359111
2012-09-26 0.354781 1.869951
2012-06-27 0.354781 2.100236
2012-03-28 0.354781 2.111321
2011-12-28 0.354781 2.375807
2011-09-28 0.354781 2.568590
2011-06-28 0.354781 2.196702
2011-03-29 0.338655 1.866666
2010-12-29 0.322529 1.872661
2010-09-28 0.266086 1.647528
2010-06-28 0.201580 1.449273
2010-03-29 0.177391 1.138129
2009-12-28 0.080632 0.541417
2009-10-28 0.008063 0.049899
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.92
dividendYield 12.05
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.92
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.120451696
lastDividendValue 0.48
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.20696515
Address1 2,340 Collins Avenue
Address2 Suite 700
All Time High 27.01
All Time Low 7.59
Ask 15.8
Ask Size 2,400
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,365,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,937,653
Average Volume 3,937,653
Average Volume10Days 3,365,790
Beta 1.036
Bid 15.78
Bid Size 3,200
Board Risk 9
Book Value 17.535
City Miami Beach
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.81
Current Ratio 12.868
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 16.03
Day Low 15.75
Debt To Equity 331.119
Display Name Starwood Property Trust
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 1.92
Dividend Yield 12.05
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,024,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,024,800
Earnings Growth -0.974
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.949
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,227,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,227,400
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue 50.111
Enterprise Value 29,930,532,864
Eps Current Year 1.52686
Eps Forward 1.89344
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.59
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.469
Fifty Day Average Change -0.65899944
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.04001454
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -20.696514
Fifty Two Week High 20.84
Fifty Two Week High Change -5.0299997
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.24136275
Fifty Two Week Low 15.51
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.3000002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.019342372
Fifty Two Week Range 15.51 - 20.84
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,250,083,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 9.46
Float Shares 352,160,231
Forward Eps 1.89344
Forward P E 8.349882
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 324
Fullday Change -0.129999
Fullday Change Percent -0.815553
Fullday Price 15.848
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.86453
Gross Profits 516,364,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.058330003
Held Percent Institutions 0.53045
Implied Shares Outstanding 379,768,950
Industry REIT - Mortgage
Industry Disp REIT - Mortgage
Industry Key reit-mortgage
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.48
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,391,385,600
Last Split Factor 12,402:10000
Long Business Summary Starwood Property Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Commercial and Residential Lending; Infrastructure Lending; Property; and Investing and Servicing. The Commercial and Residential Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial first mortgages, non-agency residential mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred equity, commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), and residential mortgage-backed securities, as well as other real estate and real estate-related debt investments, including distressed or non-performing loans. Its Infrastructure Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages infrastructure debt investments. The Property segment engages primarily in acquiring and managing equity interests in stabilized and to be stabilized commercial real estate properties, including multifamily properties, multi-tenant medical office net lease properties and diversified single-tenant triple net lease properties that are held for investment. Its Investing and Servicing segment manages and works out problem assets; acquires and manages unrated, investment grade, and non-investment grade rated CMBS comprising subordinated interests of securitization and re-securitization transactions; originates conduit loans for the primary purpose of selling these loans into securitization transactions; and acquires commercial real estate assets that include properties acquired from CMBS trusts. The company qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Starwood Property Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
Long Name Starwood Property Trust, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 6,004,147,200
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_59665769
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 218,072,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,900,493,063
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 16.01
Operating Cashflow 1,090,564,992
Operating Margins -0.05869
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 3.2542002
Peg Ratio 1.74
Phone 305 695 5500
Post Market Change 0.037999153
Post Market Change Percent 0.24034885
Post Market Price 15.848
Post Market Time 1,787,961,419
Previous Close 15.94
Price Eps Current Year 10.354584
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.90162534
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 10.052484
Profit Margins 0.38158
Quick Ratio 11.469
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.88889
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.129999
Regular Market Change Percent -0.815553
Regular Market Day High 16.03
Regular Market Day Low 15.75
Regular Market Day Range 15.75 - 16.03
Regular Market Open 16.01
Regular Market Previous Close 15.94
Regular Market Price 15.81
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 3,732,205
Return On Assets 0.00429
Return On Equity 0.03689
Revenue Growth 0.134
Revenue Per Share 1.637
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 370,168,950
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0463
Shares Short 17,138,021
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 19,605,945
Short Name STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST, INC. S
Short Percent Of Float 0.049099997
Short Ratio 3.8
Source Interval 15
State FL
Symbol STWD
Target High Price 24.0
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 19.875
Target Median Price 20.0
Total Cash 391,998,016
Total Cash Per Share 1.059
Total Debt 23,785,697,280
Total Revenue 597,280,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.92
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.120451696
Trailing Eps 0.59
Trailing P E 26.796612
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.51335
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.7033491
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.09726004
Type Disp Equity
Volume 3,732,205
Website https://www.starwoodpropertytrust.com
Zip 33,139