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Defiance Daily Target 2X Short TSM ETF (STSM)

NYSEArca
18.68 USD +1.10 (6.231%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 3:58 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:46 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a leveraged inverse ETF designed to profit from the daily decline of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), making it inherently unsuitable for long-term holding due to the mathematical decay of leveraged products over time. The recent price action confirms severe distress, with the asset trading near its 52-week low of $14.95 after plummeting from a high of $66.08, reflecting a massive correction in the underlying semiconductor sector. While the 45-day statistical forecast suggests a further downside move of roughly 15%, the primary driver here is the structural nature of the product rather than fundamental business deterioration. With no dividend history and a recommendation key of 'none,' there is no income component to offset the compounding drag. For a short-term trader, the setup appears bearish given the recent volatility and the model's negative directional lean, but the lack of a clear reversal catalyst keeps the immediate outlook cautious.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.045772
MSTL0.051456
AutoTheta0.113784
AutoETS0.198603

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 45%
H-stat 2.31
Ljung-Box p 0.020
Jarque-Bera p 0.172
Excess Kurtosis 0.20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 66.084
All Time Low 14.95
Ask 18.29
Ask Size 600
Average Daily Volume10 Day 24,890
Average Daily Volume3 Month 14,847
Average Volume 14,847
Average Volume10Days 24,890
Bid 18.21
Bid Size 1,900
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.6766
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 18.68
Day Low 17.55
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 20.5356
Fifty Day Average Change -1.8590012
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.090525776
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -71.419975
Fifty Two Week High 66.084
Fifty Two Week High Change -47.407402
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.71738094
Fifty Two Week Low 14.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.7265997
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.24927089
Fifty Two Week Range 14.95 - 66.084
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,763,476,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Short TSM ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1967453240
Open 17.69
Pre Market Change -0.46660042
Pre Market Change Percent -2.4983158
Pre Market Price 18.21
Pre Market Time 1,784,027,770
Previous Close 17.5811
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.0955
Regular Market Change Percent 6.23112
Regular Market Day High 18.68
Regular Market Day Low 17.55
Regular Market Day Range 17.55 - 18.68
Regular Market Open 17.69
Regular Market Previous Close 17.5811
Regular Market Price 18.6766
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,711
Regular Market Volume 14,716
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Short
Source Interval 15
Symbol STSM
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 34.443005
Two Hundred Day Average Change -15.766405
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.45775348
Type Disp Equity
Volume 14,716