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Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (STOK)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Bedford, United States | NasdaqGS
31.62 USD -0.97 (-2.976%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 31.62

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 1:05 a.m. EDT

The investment thesis here hinges entirely on the binary outcome of the Dravet syndrome lead asset entering its final stretch, a narrative reinforced by Goldman Sachs initiating a buy rating. Fundamentally, the company remains a classic biotech gamble: it is burning cash with negative revenue growth and no dividend to speak of, trading at a premium valuation despite a history of severe volatility including a 67% crash in 2023. However, the market has seemingly priced in a recovery, with the stock rallying 143% in 2024 and 42% in 2025, suggesting investors believe the pipeline can turn the corner. The options market confirms this bullish bias, with heavy call buying targeting a $40 price level within months. While the statistical forecast models see no immediate edge due to the asset's noisy price history, the confluence of a 'strong buy' analyst consensus, a catalyst-rich event calendar, and aggressive speculative positioning suggests a high-risk, high-reward setup where the next few months could define whether this is a turnaround story or a value trap.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.042051
AutoETS0.042052
AutoTheta0.043319
MSTL0.053962

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 2.26
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.223
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.776
Revenue per Share 0.442
Market Cap 2,040,319,744
Forward P/E -9.00
Beta 1.23
Website https://www.stoketherapeutics.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 1:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest and volume in $40 calls expiring in November, which represents a 24% gain from current prices. Conversely, put writers are heavily exposed at lower strikes ($20-$25), creating a 'pin risk' zone where a drop to these levels would trigger a cascade of buying. The implied volatility skew shows elevated fear at the money for near-term expiration, but the structural positioning favors a rally toward the $40 strike.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6140888
Address1 45 Wiggins Avenue
All Time High 71.58
All Time Low 3.35
Ask 40.44
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 939,100
Average Daily Volume3 Month 860,003
Average Volume 860,003
Average Volume10Days 939,100
Beta 1.228
Bid 31.62
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 6
Book Value 5.537
City Bedford
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 31.62
Current Ratio 7.692
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 32.55
Day Low 31.49
Debt To Equity 0.776
Display Name Stoke Therapeutics
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,787,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,787,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,787,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda -221,632,992
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -7.897
Enterprise To Revenue 63.44
Enterprise Value 1,750,183,808
Eps Current Year -3.62068
Eps Forward -3.51512
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.29
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 31.189
Fifty Day Average Change 0.43100166
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.013819029
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 61.40888
Fifty Two Week High 40.22
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.6
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.21382397
Fifty Two Week Low 18.8
Fifty Two Week Low Change 12.820002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.681915
Fifty Two Week Range 18.8 - 40.22
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,560,951,000,000
Float Shares 49,216,101
Forward Eps -3.51512
Forward P E -8.995425
Free Cashflow -106,202,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 170
Fullday Change -0.969999
Fullday Change Percent -2.97637
Fullday Price 31.62
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 27,588,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.036930002
Held Percent Institutions 1.23621
Implied Shares Outstanding 64,526,242
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. engages in the development of treatments for severe genetic diseases by upregulating protein expression. The company utilizes its proprietary Targeted Augmentation of Nuclear Gene Output (TANGO) approach in developing antisense oligonucleotides (ASOs) to selectively restore protein levels. Its lead product candidates include STK-002, which is in Phase 1 clinical trials for the treatment of autosomal dominant optic atrophy; and Zorevunersen (STK-001), an investigational new medicine for the treatment of Dravet syndrome is being evaluated in phase 3 clinical trials. The company also develops programs focused on various targets, including haploinsufficiency diseases of the central nervous system and eye. It has a license and collaboration with Biogen Inc. for the development and commercialization of zorevunersen medicine for the treatment of Dravet syndrome; and Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc. for the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel RNA-based medicines for the treatment of genetic neurodevelopmental diseases. The company was formerly known as ASOthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. in May 2016. Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Bedford, Massachusetts.
Long Name Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,040,319,744
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_251758622
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -207,903,008
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,102,910,226
Number Of Analyst Opinions 13
Open 32.2
Operating Cashflow -177,987,008
Operating Margins -7.01651
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 781 430 8200
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 31.62
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 32.59
Price Eps Current Year -8.733166
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 5.710674
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 73.95679
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 7.191
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.14286
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.969999
Regular Market Change Percent -2.97637
Regular Market Day High 32.55
Regular Market Day Low 31.49
Regular Market Day Range 31.49 - 32.55
Regular Market Open 32.2
Regular Market Previous Close 32.59
Regular Market Price 31.62
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 754,095
Return On Assets -0.35868
Return On Equity -0.61104
Revenue Growth -0.325
Revenue Per Share 0.442
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 64,526,242
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.2011
Shares Short 12,978,102
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 15,692,610
Short Name Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.20889999
Short Ratio 16.88
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol STOK
Target High Price 60.0
Target Low Price 35.0
Target Mean Price 46.46154
Target Median Price 44.0
Total Cash 292,817,984
Total Cash Per Share 4.538
Total Debt 2,682,000
Total Revenue 27,588,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.29
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 31.849325
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.22932434
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.007200289
Type Disp Equity
Volume 754,095
Website https://www.stoketherapeutics.com
Zip 1,730