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StoneCo Ltd. (STNE)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | George Town, Cayman Islands | NasdaqGS
11.15 USD -0.06 (-0.535%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 11.09 -0.06 (-0.060%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:36 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★⯪Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is a classic 'deep value' turnaround story where the market has punished the stock severely despite resilient underlying fundamentals. The long-term rating is high because the business remains profitable with a 30% return on equity and a fortress-like cash generation capability relative to its size; the 55% drop over six years appears to be a capitulation event rather than a fundamental collapse, especially given the recent positive annual returns. However, the short-term outlook is clouded by heavy debt loads and a compressed price range that has left the stock vulnerable to further volatility. The options market is screaming 'bullish,' with traders placing massive bets on a recovery to $20+, which aligns with the analyst consensus but ignores the lingering macro risks. The dividend is currently negligible and likely a vesting of past cash flows rather than a sustainable yield engine. This is a high-conviction buy for investors willing to ride out the final leg of the decline, but the path to recovery may be choppy.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_115 ✓0.183242
MSTL_63_1150.209797
AutoARIMA0.259612
AutoTheta0.261079
MSTL0.262536
AutoETS0.264090
MSTL_630.284761

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_115

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 1.27
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.91
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Ex Dividend Date 2026-04-23
Last Dividend Date 2026-04-23
Debt to Equity Ratio 133.64
Revenue per Share 52.293
Market Cap 2,711,994,624
Trailing P/E 4.18
Forward P/E 4.60
Beta 1.60
Profit Margins 25.95%
Website https://www.stoneco.com.br

As of July 11, 2026, 3:33 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for a significant upside move, evidenced by massive open interest walls in out-of-the-money calls (strikes $17-$20) and deep out-of-the-money calls ($27-$30) expiring in late 2026 and 2027. While there is notable put volume at lower strikes, the sheer concentration of call buying suggests a bullish thesis that the stock will recover toward its historical highs. Implied volatility is extremely compressed for near-term options, indicating a lack of pricing in for immediate moves, while longer-dated calls carry higher premiums reflecting expectations of a sustained trend.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-04-24 2.53 20.703764
Additional Data
exDividendDate 2026-04-24
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
lastDividendValue 2.53
lastDividendDate 2026-04-24
dividendDate 2026-05-04

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.26104152
Address1 Harbour Place
Address2 4th Floor 103 South Church Street PO Box 10240
All Time High 95.12
All Time Low 6.81
Ask 14.29
Ask Size 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,446,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,645,413
Average Volume 5,645,413
Average Volume10Days 4,446,070
Beta 1.596
Bid 8.03
Bid Size 2
Book Value 9.7979355
City George Town
Country Cayman Islands
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 11.15
Current Ratio 1.335
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 11.33
Day Low 11.09
Debt To Equity 133.64
Display Name StoneCo
Dividend Date 1,777,852,800
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,651,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,651,200
Earnings Growth 2.738
Earnings Quarterly Growth 2.317
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,651,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,651,200
Ebitda 7,164,584,960
Ebitda Margins 0.52932
Enterprise To Ebitda 1.248
Enterprise To Revenue 0.661
Enterprise Value 8,940,814,336
Eps Current Year 10.46786
Eps Forward 2.4245803
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.67
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,776,988,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 10.8314
Fifty Day Average Change 0.3185997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.029414453
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.104153
Fifty Two Week High 19.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.800001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.4411028
Fifty Two Week Low 9.45
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.6999998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17989416
Fifty Two Week Range 9.45 - 19.95
Financial Currency BRL
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,540,474,200,000
Float Shares 215,930,722
Forward Eps 2.4245803
Forward P E 4.598734
Free Cashflow 2,311,869,440
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.73635
Gross Profits 9,966,901,248
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.029830001
Held Percent Institutions 0.84049004
Implied Shares Outstanding 243,228,226
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,776,988,800
Last Dividend Value 2.53
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary StoneCo Ltd. provides financial technology and software solutions to merchants and integrated partners to conduct electronic commerce across in-store, online, and mobile channels in Brazil. The company provides financial services, including payment, prepayment, digital banking, and credit solutions. It offers payment solutions of electronic payments and alternative payment methods, such as payment slips and Pix transactions; digital product to help merchants improve their consumers' experience, which include split-payment processing, multi-payment processing, and recurring payments for subscriptions; and tap on phone solution. In addition, the company provides prepayment; digital banking; and credit solution. The company serves online, offline, and omni-channel sales clients under Stone, tonstone, and paggar.me. StoneCo Ltd. was founded in 2012 and is based in George Town, the Cayman Islands.
Long Name StoneCo Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,711,994,624
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_584499446
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 3,625,310,976
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,726,588,413
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 11.17
Operating Cashflow 3,395,554,048
Operating Margins 0.44331002
Payout Ratio 0.0
Post Market Change -0.059999466
Post Market Change Percent -0.5381118
Post Market Price 11.09
Post Market Time 1,783,985,786
Previous Close 11.21
Price Eps Current Year 1.0651652
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1379948
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.2003613
Profit Margins 0.25945
Quick Ratio 1.232
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0600004
Regular Market Change Percent -0.53524
Regular Market Day High 11.33
Regular Market Day Low 11.09
Regular Market Day Range 11.09 - 11.33
Regular Market Open 11.17
Regular Market Previous Close 11.21
Regular Market Price 11.15
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 4,152,572
Return On Assets 0.07089
Return On Equity 0.307
Revenue Growth 0.043
Revenue Per Share 52.293
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Shares Outstanding 229,177,062
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0647
Shares Short 15,734,746
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 17,288,706
Short Name StoneCo Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.092700005
Short Ratio 3.58
Source Interval 15
Symbol STNE
Target High Price 23.675474
Target Low Price 8.783475
Target Mean Price 16.996803
Target Median Price 16.932589
Total Cash 10,226,477,056
Total Cash Per Share 42.045
Total Debt 16,414,560,256
Total Revenue 13,535,521,792
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 2.67
Trailing P E 4.1760297
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.66255
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.5125504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23955931
Type Disp Equity
Volume 4,152,572
Website https://www.stoneco.com.br
Zip KY1-1002