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STAG Industrial, Inc. (STAG)

Real Estate | REIT - Industrial | Boston, United States | NYSE
36.06 USD -0.30 (-0.825%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 12:48 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:★⯪☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 9:38 a.m. EDT

The investment case for STAG Industrial is currently compromised by a dangerous disconnect between its payout policy and its actual cash generation. While the stock trades at a depressed valuation relative to its historical highs, the company is distributing 117% of its reported earnings as dividends, a payout ratio that is mathematically unsustainable without eroding the balance sheet. This fundamental weakness is reflected in the market's pricing, which has punished the stock with a 34% drop in the most recent year and a trailing twelve-month decline of nearly 6%. The recent extension of debt terms and trimming of spreads signals management's awareness of liquidity constraints, yet the dividend remains stubbornly high. From a short-term perspective, the heavy put option positioning confirms that traders are betting on further weakness rather than a bounce. While the industrial REIT sector may offer long-term stability, this specific issuer lacks the earnings power to support its current yield, making it a risky hold for income investors and a poor candidate for capital appreciation until the payout ratio normalizes.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.077154
AutoARIMA0.080235
AutoETS0.080362
AutoTheta0.081389

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 1.47
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 3.91
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-09-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 93.78
Revenue per Share 4.656
Market Cap 7,096,702,976
Trailing P/E 27.74
Forward P/E 40.98
Beta 0.96
Profit Margins 28.05%
Website https://www.stagindustrial.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 9:38 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with out-of-the-money put open interest significantly outweighing call open interest across all expirations. The concentration of put volume at the $30 strike suggests a specific fear level, while call activity remains sparse and focused near the money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish sentiment despite the stock trading near its 52-week lows.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.08% 4.16% 4.11% 4.12%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-09-30 0.388 1.083496
2026-06-30 0.388 1.019443
2026-03-31 0.388 1.075984
2025-12-31 0.124 0.337323
2025-11-28 0.124 0.315682
2025-10-31 0.124 0.324014
2025-09-30 0.124 0.351374
2025-08-29 0.124 0.336499
2025-07-31 0.124 0.361200
2025-06-30 0.124 0.341786
2025-05-30 0.124 0.348510
2025-04-30 0.124 0.375416
2025-03-31 0.124 0.343300
2025-02-28 0.124 0.344636
2025-01-31 0.124 0.362785
2024-12-31 0.123 0.363690
2024-11-29 0.123 0.334330
2024-10-31 0.123 0.329936
2024-09-30 0.123 0.314658
2024-08-30 0.123 0.303105
2024-07-31 0.123 0.301397
2024-06-28 0.123 0.341098
2024-05-31 0.123 0.350827
2024-04-29 0.123 0.354978
2024-03-27 0.123 0.322919
2024-02-28 0.123 0.331358
2024-01-30 0.123 0.328000
2023-12-28 0.123 0.310763
2023-11-29 0.123 0.343288
2023-10-30 0.123 0.376723
2023-09-28 0.123 0.356315
2023-08-30 0.123 0.334421
2023-07-28 0.123 0.338563
2023-06-29 0.123 0.344152
2023-05-30 0.123 0.357350
2023-04-27 0.123 0.362404
2023-03-30 0.123 0.370036
2023-02-27 0.123 0.361658
2023-01-30 0.123 0.350627
2022-12-29 0.122 0.370595
2022-11-29 0.122 0.382325
2022-10-28 0.122 0.385223
2022-09-29 0.122 0.432471
2022-08-30 0.122 0.390275
2022-07-28 0.122 0.380893
2022-06-29 0.122 0.389155
2022-05-27 0.122 0.366587
2022-04-28 0.122 0.301756
2022-03-30 0.122 0.289374
2022-02-25 0.122 0.307925
2022-01-28 0.122 0.292496
2021-12-30 0.121 0.254844
2021-11-29 0.121 0.278481
2021-10-28 0.121 0.270572
2021-09-29 0.121 0.302727
2021-08-30 0.121 0.284238
2021-07-29 0.121 0.293689
2021-06-29 0.121 0.321980
2021-05-27 0.121 0.339031
2021-04-29 0.121 0.332600
2021-03-30 0.121 0.356722
2021-02-25 0.121 0.379787
2021-01-28 0.121 0.403199
2020-12-30 0.120 0.385976
2020-11-27 0.120 0.399069
2020-10-29 0.120 0.380952
2020-09-29 0.120 0.392285
2020-08-28 0.120 0.368890
2020-07-30 0.120 0.365854
2020-06-29 0.120 0.414079
2020-05-28 0.120 0.444774
2020-04-29 0.120 0.444774
2020-03-30 0.120 0.525394
2020-02-27 0.120 0.415800
2020-01-30 0.120 0.368098
2019-12-30 0.119 0.381900
2019-11-27 0.119 0.381166
2019-10-30 0.119 0.383871
2019-09-27 0.119 0.405451
2019-08-29 0.119 0.408093
2019-07-30 0.119 0.392351
2019-06-27 0.119 0.394170
2019-05-30 0.119 0.408233
2019-04-29 0.119 0.415503
2019-03-28 0.119 0.401620
2019-02-27 0.119 0.429913
2019-01-30 0.119 0.433200
2018-12-28 0.118 0.478314
2018-11-29 0.118 0.443943
2018-10-30 0.118 0.440463
2018-09-27 0.118 0.436552
2018-08-30 0.118 0.411580
2018-07-30 0.118 0.439806
2018-06-28 0.118 0.432710
2018-05-30 0.118 0.441452
2018-04-27 0.118 0.482420
2018-03-28 0.118 0.489423
2018-02-27 0.118 0.518909
2018-01-30 0.118 0.472567
2017-12-28 0.118 0.428779
2017-11-29 0.118 0.417109
2017-10-30 0.118 0.431760
2017-09-28 0.118 0.425993
2017-08-29 0.118 0.427691
2017-07-27 0.118 0.431444
2017-06-28 0.117 0.430305
2017-05-26 0.117 0.433976
2017-04-26 0.117 0.440181
2017-03-29 0.117 0.474068
2017-02-24 0.117 0.456140
2017-01-27 0.117 0.502362
2016-12-28 0.116 0.498925
2016-11-28 0.116 0.491525
2016-10-27 0.116 0.513957
2016-09-28 0.116 0.466425
2016-08-29 0.116 0.466238
2016-07-27 0.116 0.472120
2016-06-28 0.116 0.501947
2016-05-26 0.116 0.544601
2016-04-27 0.116 0.569465
2016-03-29 0.116 0.580871
2016-02-25 0.116 0.696279
2016-01-27 0.116 0.688019
2015-12-29 0.115 0.610728
2015-11-25 0.115 0.567621
2015-10-28 0.115 0.559611
2015-09-28 0.115 0.642099
2015-08-27 0.115 0.665895
2015-07-29 0.115 0.603675
2015-06-26 0.113 0.555283
2015-05-27 0.113 0.517162
2015-04-28 0.113 0.504464
2015-03-27 0.113 0.480034
2015-02-25 0.113 0.458046
2015-01-28 0.113 0.420074
2014-12-29 0.110 0.440000
2014-11-25 0.110 0.459866
2014-10-29 0.110 0.459482
2014-09-26 0.110 0.522069
2014-08-27 0.110 0.470286
2014-07-29 0.110 0.462963
2014-06-26 0.105 0.437865
2014-05-28 0.105 0.442851
2014-04-28 0.105 0.445482
2014-03-27 0.105 0.446999
2014-02-26 0.105 0.455531
2014-01-29 0.105 0.495050
2013-12-27 0.100 0.494071
2013-11-26 0.100 0.464468
2013-10-29 0.100 0.462749
2013-09-26 0.300 1.460565
2013-06-26 0.300 1.502253
2013-03-26 0.300 1.415762
2012-12-27 0.270 1.525424
2012-09-26 0.270 1.701323
2012-06-27 0.270 1.888112
2012-03-28 0.260 1.911765
2011-12-28 0.260 2.260870
2011-09-28 0.260 2.512077
2011-06-28 0.206 1.684383
Additional Data
dividendYield 4.26
exDividendDate 2026-09-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.518
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.041749176
lastDividendValue 0.388
lastDividendDate 2026-09-30
dividendDate 2026-10-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.031433165
Address1 100 Federal Street
Address2 29th Floor
All Time High 48.27
All Time Low 9.55
Ask 36.15
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,532,540
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,632,945
Average Volume 1,632,945
Average Volume10Days 1,532,540
Beta 0.957
Bid 36.16
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 1
Book Value 18.833
City Boston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 36.06
Current Ratio 1.816
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 36.48
Day Low 35.97
Debt To Equity 93.78
Display Name STAG Industrial
Dividend Date 1,792,022,400
Dividend Yield 4.26
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,217,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,217,600
Earnings Growth 0.033
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.058
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Ebitda 643,056,000
Ebitda Margins 0.73025
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.301
Enterprise To Revenue 11.904
Enterprise Value 10,482,203,648
Eps Forward 0.88
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.3
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 617 574 0052
Fifty Day Average 36.8774
Fifty Day Average Change -0.8173981
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.022165285
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.1433165
Fifty Two Week High 42.61
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.549999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.15371977
Fifty Two Week Low 35.14
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.920002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.026181048
Fifty Two Week Range 35.14 - 42.61
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,302,874,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 4.0
Float Shares 191,938,763
Forward Eps 0.88
Forward P E 40.977276
Free Cashflow 469,642,880
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 93
Fullday Change -0.099998474
Fullday Change Percent -0.27426898
Fullday Price 36.06
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.79549
Gross Profits 700,505,024
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00135
Held Percent Institutions 0.9654
Implied Shares Outstanding 196,802,628
Industry REIT - Industrial
Industry Disp REIT - Industrial
Industry Key reit-industrial
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,790,726,400
Last Dividend Value 0.388
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary STAG Industrial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust focused on the acquisition, development, ownership and operation of industrial properties throughout the United States. As of June 30, 2026, the Company's portfolio consists of 606 buildings in 41 states with approximately 122.6 million rentable square feet. STAG Industrial, Inc. was established in 2010 and was incorporated in Maryland.
Long Name STAG Industrial, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,096,702,976
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_110044279
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 246,872,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,101,130,757
Number Of Analyst Opinions 12
Open 36.21
Operating Cashflow 476,356,000
Operating Margins 0.37036
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 1.1692
Peg Ratio 19.49
Phone 617 574 4777
Previous Close 36.36
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9147242
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 8.059005
Profit Margins 0.28053
Quick Ratio 1.188
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.33333
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.29999924
Regular Market Change Percent -0.8250804
Regular Market Day High 36.48
Regular Market Day Low 35.97
Regular Market Day Range 35.97 - 36.48
Regular Market Open 36.21
Regular Market Previous Close 36.36
Regular Market Price 36.06
Regular Market Time 1,791,996,512
Regular Market Volume 318,163
Return On Assets 0.02892
Return On Equity 0.069759995
Revenue Growth 0.081
Revenue Per Share 4.656
Sand P52 Week Change 0.17004645
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 2
Shares Outstanding 192,803,274
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0396
Shares Short 7,630,467
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 6,423,615
Short Name Stag Industrial, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.052699998
Short Ratio 4.4
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol STAG
Target High Price 44.0
Target Low Price 38.0
Target Mean Price 41.33333
Target Median Price 42.0
Total Cash 85,077,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.441
Total Debt 3,478,531,072
Total Revenue 880,593,024
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.518
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.041749176
Trailing Eps 1.3
Trailing P E 27.738464
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 37.95405
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.8940468
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.049903683
Type Disp Equity
Volume 318,163
Website https://www.stagindustrial.com
Zip 02,110-2320