State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)Large Blend | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
769.35 USD
-1.75
(-0.227%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 769.35 |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT
The S&P 500 is exhibiting classic 'bull flag' behavior, consolidating near all-time highs while institutional capital builds a massive wall of call options above the 770 resistance level. This isn't just noise; the options flow suggests smart money is betting on a decisive break higher in the coming weeks, targeting the 780-800 zone. The underlying business remains exceptional, having delivered nearly double-digit growth for eight of the last nine years with a fortress balance sheet, justifying a premium valuation. While the trailing P/E of 25.8x feels rich compared to historical averages, it is fully warranted by the sustained revenue expansion and the fact that the market has already priced in a soft landing. The only caution is the crowded trade at these levels; a failed breakout could trigger a sharp pullback to test the 750 support, but the probability of continuation remains high given the overwhelming bullish positioning in derivatives. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.012512 |
| MSTL | 0.026778 |
| AutoETS | 0.033157 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.220343 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 67% |
| H-stat | 4.07 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.657 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.67 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 25.92 |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 6:02 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for a breakout above the 770-775 range, evidenced by massive open interest walls and volume spikes in out-of-the-money calls for August and September expirations. Conversely, put writers are establishing heavy defensive walls around the 760-765 level, suggesting a floor for the immediate term. The skew shows a distinct bullish bias with call volume significantly outweighing put volume in the near term.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25% | 1.10% | 1.25% | 1.36% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | 1.904 | 0.254975 |
| 2026-03-20 | 1.797 | 0.277071 |
| 2025-12-19 | 1.993 | 0.292834 |
| 2025-09-19 | 1.831 | 0.275878 |
| 2025-06-20 | 1.761 | 0.296325 |
| 2025-03-21 | 1.696 | 0.300720 |
| 2024-12-20 | 1.966 | 0.332572 |
| 2024-09-20 | 1.746 | 0.307259 |
| 2024-06-21 | 1.759 | 0.323043 |
| 2024-03-15 | 1.595 | 0.312849 |
| 2023-12-15 | 1.906 | 0.406111 |
| 2023-09-15 | 1.583 | 0.357038 |
| 2023-06-16 | 1.638 | 0.372730 |
| 2023-03-17 | 1.506 | 0.386164 |
| 2022-12-16 | 1.781 | 0.464685 |
| 2022-09-16 | 1.596 | 0.413943 |
| 2022-06-17 | 1.577 | 0.431039 |
| 2022-03-18 | 1.366 | 0.307298 |
| 2021-12-17 | 1.633 | 0.355100 |
| 2021-09-17 | 1.428 | 0.323516 |
| 2021-06-18 | 1.376 | 0.331630 |
| 2021-03-19 | 1.278 | 0.328130 |
| 2020-12-18 | 1.580 | 0.427976 |
| 2020-09-18 | 1.339 | 0.404960 |
| 2020-06-19 | 1.366 | 0.442587 |
| 2020-03-20 | 1.406 | 0.614510 |
| 2019-12-20 | 1.570 | 0.489508 |
| 2019-09-20 | 1.384 | 0.463994 |
| 2019-06-21 | 1.432 | 0.487075 |
| 2019-03-15 | 1.233 | 0.438306 |
| 2018-12-21 | 1.435 | 0.596178 |
| 2018-09-21 | 1.323 | 0.453098 |
| 2018-06-15 | 1.246 | 0.449608 |
| 2018-03-16 | 1.097 | 0.400073 |
| 2017-12-15 | 1.351 | 0.506923 |
| 2017-09-15 | 1.235 | 0.495606 |
| 2017-06-16 | 1.183 | 0.487554 |
| 2017-03-17 | 1.033 | 0.435810 |
| 2016-12-16 | 1.329 | 0.590562 |
| 2016-09-16 | 1.082 | 0.507100 |
| 2016-06-17 | 1.078 | 0.521983 |
| 2016-03-18 | 1.050 | 0.513749 |
| 2015-12-18 | 1.212 | 0.605939 |
| 2015-09-18 | 1.033 | 0.528524 |
| 2015-06-19 | 1.030 | 0.488592 |
| 2015-03-20 | 0.931 | 0.442469 |
| 2014-12-19 | 1.135 | 0.549584 |
| 2014-09-19 | 0.939 | 0.467862 |
| 2014-06-20 | 0.937 | 0.478208 |
| 2014-03-21 | 0.825 | 0.443072 |
| 2013-12-20 | 0.980 | 0.539766 |
| 2013-09-20 | 0.838 | 0.490862 |
| 2013-06-21 | 0.839 | 0.527441 |
| 2013-03-15 | 0.694 | 0.445357 |
| 2012-12-21 | 1.022 | 0.715736 |
| 2012-09-21 | 0.779 | 0.534037 |
| 2012-06-15 | 0.688 | 0.512897 |
| 2012-03-16 | 0.614 | 0.437634 |
| 2011-12-16 | 0.770 | 0.633276 |
| 2011-09-16 | 0.625 | 0.514319 |
| 2011-06-17 | 0.628 | 0.494294 |
| 2011-03-18 | 0.553 | 0.432843 |
| 2010-12-17 | 0.653 | 0.525342 |
| 2010-09-17 | 0.602 | 0.535159 |
| 2010-06-18 | 0.531 | 0.475253 |
| 2010-03-19 | 0.480 | 0.413900 |
| 2009-12-18 | 0.590 | 0.535342 |
| 2009-09-18 | 0.508 | 0.476012 |
| 2009-06-19 | 0.518 | 0.562799 |
| 2009-03-20 | 0.561 | 0.731326 |
| 2008-12-19 | 0.719 | 0.815285 |
| 2008-09-19 | 0.691 | 0.556719 |
| 2008-06-20 | 0.669 | 0.508436 |
| 2008-03-20 | 0.642 | 0.486069 |
| 2007-12-21 | 0.775 | 0.523189 |
| 2007-09-21 | 0.719 | 0.473120 |
| 2007-06-15 | 0.656 | 0.428562 |
| 2007-03-16 | 0.551 | 0.397748 |
| 2006-12-15 | 0.793 | 0.557117 |
| 2006-09-15 | 0.579 | 0.438769 |
| 2006-06-16 | 0.555 | 0.445247 |
| 2006-03-17 | 0.519 | 0.397336 |
| 2005-12-16 | 0.672 | 0.531814 |
| 2005-09-16 | 0.522 | 0.422672 |
| 2005-06-17 | 0.488 | 0.402109 |
| 2005-03-18 | 0.467 | 0.393960 |
| 2004-12-17 | 0.568 | 0.475553 |
| 2004-11-15 | 0.351 | 0.295629 |
| 2004-09-17 | 0.469 | 0.414494 |
| 2004-06-18 | 0.414 | 0.364340 |
| 2004-03-19 | 0.395 | 0.355664 |
| 2003-12-19 | 0.516 | 0.473829 |
| 2003-09-19 | 0.400 | 0.385840 |
| 2003-06-20 | 0.360 | 0.362027 |
| 2003-03-21 | 0.354 | 0.394781 |
| 2002-12-20 | 0.436 | 0.484498 |
| 2002-09-20 | 0.378 | 0.448133 |
| 2002-06-21 | 0.353 | 0.355560 |
| 2002-03-15 | 0.331 | 0.283755 |
| 2001-12-21 | 0.393 | 0.341888 |
| 2001-09-21 | 0.369 | 0.379317 |
| 2001-06-15 | 0.346 | 0.283956 |
| 2001-03-16 | 0.316 | 0.274759 |
| 2000-12-15 | 0.411 | 0.313815 |
| 2000-09-15 | 0.375 | 0.256849 |
| 2000-06-16 | 0.348 | 0.237391 |
| 2000-03-17 | 0.371 | 0.252488 |
| 1999-12-17 | 0.348 | 0.243890 |
| 1999-09-17 | 0.372 | 0.278131 |
| 1999-06-18 | 0.405 | 0.301536 |
| 1999-03-19 | 0.320 | 0.246747 |
| 1998-12-18 | 0.392 | 0.330802 |
| 1998-09-18 | 0.359 | 0.351638 |
| 1998-06-19 | 0.352 | 0.319818 |
| 1998-03-20 | 0.313 | 0.284869 |
| 1997-12-19 | 0.380 | 0.400923 |
| 1997-09-19 | 0.348 | 0.366195 |
| 1997-06-20 | 0.350 | 0.390720 |
| 1997-03-21 | 0.299 | 0.381195 |
| 1996-12-20 | 0.367 | 0.490355 |
| 1996-09-20 | 0.352 | 0.512816 |
| 1996-06-21 | 0.351 | 0.525351 |
| 1996-03-15 | 0.285 | 0.444444 |
| 1995-12-15 | 0.382 | 0.617998 |
| 1995-09-15 | 0.312 | 0.533904 |
| 1995-06-16 | 0.316 | 0.585524 |
| 1995-03-17 | 0.268 | 0.540731 |
| 1994-12-16 | 0.363 | 0.793443 |
| 1994-09-16 | 0.288 | 0.612562 |
| 1994-06-17 | 0.305 | 0.664850 |
| 1994-03-18 | 0.271 | 0.576979 |
| 1993-12-17 | 0.317 | 0.680805 |
| 1993-09-17 | 0.286 | 0.624284 |
| 1993-06-18 | 0.318 | 0.714607 |
| 1993-03-19 | 0.213 | 0.473005 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 779.37 |
| All Time Low | 42.8125 |
| Ask | 769.51 |
| Ask Size | 320 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 36,316,700 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 50,396,496 |
| Average Volume | 50,396,496 |
| Average Volume10Days | 36,316,700 |
| Beta3 Year | 1.0 |
| Bid | 769.49 |
| Bid Size | 480 |
| Book Value | 429.22 |
| Category | Large Blend |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 775.292 |
| Day Low | 768.3076 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.01 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 29.684986 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | PCX |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 753.9552 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 15.394775 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.020418687 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 20.160246 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 779.37 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -10.02002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.012856564 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 629.28 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 140.06995 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22258763 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 629.28 - 779.37 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 728,317,800,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | 0.1288095 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSEArca |
| Fullday Change | -1.75 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.226949 |
| Fullday Price | 769.35 |
| Fund Family | State Street Investment Management |
| Fund Inception Date | 727,660,800 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the “Portfolio”), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index. |
| Long Name | State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_6160262 |
| Nav Price | 771.2732 |
| Net Assets | 795,306,890,000.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.0945 |
| Open | 771.76 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 769.35 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,598 |
| Previous Close | 771.1 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.7924374 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -1.75 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.226949 |
| Regular Market Day High | 775.292 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 768.3076 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 768.3076 - 775.292 |
| Regular Market Open | 771.76 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 771.1 |
| Regular Market Price | 769.35 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 36,342,284 |
| Shares Outstanding | 917,782,016 |
| Short Name | State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF T |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | SPY |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.2207587 |
| Total Assets | 795,306,885,120 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 5.662 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0073427577 |
| Trailing P E | 25.917141 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 4.16945 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 4.16945 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 709.84625 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 59.503723 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.083826214 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 36,342,284 |
| Yield | 0.0101 |
| Ytd Return | 10.08633 |