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State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF (SPTL)

Long Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
25.61 USD +0.05 (0.196%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal five-year streak of negative annual returns, dragging the total return down by nearly 37%. While the asset offers a robust 4.17% yield, this is a compensation for the structural decline in the underlying bond prices rather than a sign of a high-quality growth business. The recent price action shows a slight stabilization near the 50-day average, but the statistical forecast model predicts flat performance over the next 45 days, offering no immediate catalyst for a reversal. Options data confirms this defensive stance, with traders buying protection against further drops while ignoring the call side. This is a classic 'bond proxy' trade suitable only for income seekers who can tolerate significant capital erosion, not a vehicle for wealth creation.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.010711
AutoTheta0.010788
AutoETS0.011564
AutoARIMA0.011564

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 69%
H-stat 0.19
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.509
Excess Kurtosis 0.62

As of July 11, 2026, 3:11 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at-the-money and slightly out-of-the-money for the August expiration, suggesting a fear of further downside. Call activity is sparse and dominated by long-dated, far-out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a lack of immediate bullish conviction despite the high yield.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.35% 4.14% 3.93% 3.31%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.0900 0.346287
2026-06-01 0.0930 0.358243
2026-05-01 0.0900 0.346154
2026-04-01 0.0940 0.359190
2026-03-02 0.0840 0.309735
2026-02-02 0.0930 0.354016
2025-12-18 0.0920 0.345865
2025-12-01 0.0900 0.335696
2025-11-03 0.0930 0.343808
2025-10-01 0.0900 0.334324
2025-09-02 0.0920 0.354391
2025-08-01 0.0930 0.350943
2025-07-01 0.0900 0.339495
2025-06-02 0.0930 0.361868
2025-05-01 0.0900 0.337838
2025-04-01 0.0930 0.339912
2025-03-03 0.0830 0.300289
2025-02-03 0.0920 0.348749
2024-12-19 0.0900 0.342466
2024-12-02 0.0870 0.312388
2024-11-01 0.0900 0.333210
2024-10-01 0.0880 0.301680
2024-09-03 0.0900 0.311311
2024-08-01 0.0900 0.318471
2024-07-01 0.0870 0.325965
2024-06-03 0.0890 0.328292
2024-05-01 0.0860 0.327245
2024-04-01 0.0880 0.321755
2024-03-01 0.0820 0.294752
2024-02-01 0.0890 0.308065
2023-12-18 0.0820 0.284623
2023-12-01 0.0820 0.300037
2023-11-01 0.0840 0.333333
2023-10-02 0.0790 0.307632
2023-09-01 0.0810 0.291262
2023-08-01 0.0790 0.275838
2023-07-03 0.0760 0.256151
2023-06-01 0.0780 0.259827
2023-05-01 0.0750 0.249335
2023-04-03 0.0770 0.248788
2023-03-01 0.0690 0.236788
2023-02-01 0.0780 0.248645
2022-12-19 0.0750 0.245499
2022-12-01 0.0700 0.228385
2022-11-01 0.0700 0.248668
2022-10-03 0.0670 0.222962
2022-09-01 0.0700 0.221099
2022-08-01 0.0680 0.196987
2022-07-01 0.0650 0.194786
2022-06-01 0.0660 0.197133
2022-05-02 0.0630 0.186833
2022-04-01 0.0650 0.172049
2022-03-01 0.0570 0.141404
2022-02-01 0.0620 0.153541
2021-12-17 0.0600 0.140056
2021-12-01 0.0590 0.136511
2021-11-01 0.0600 0.143816
2021-10-01 0.0580 0.139591
2021-09-01 0.0610 0.143361
2021-08-02 0.0610 0.141729
2021-07-01 0.0600 0.145525
2021-06-01 0.0620 0.156408
2021-05-03 0.0600 0.150830
2021-04-01 0.0580 0.146947
2021-03-01 0.0520 0.128458
2021-02-01 0.0590 0.135539
2020-12-18 0.0550 0.122932
2020-12-01 0.0550 0.122005
2020-11-02 0.0580 0.127810
2020-10-01 0.0580 0.124064
2020-09-01 0.0610 0.130064
2020-08-03 0.0630 0.129736
2020-07-01 0.0630 0.134644
2020-06-01 0.0690 0.148419
2020-05-01 0.0700 0.145803
2020-04-01 0.0750 0.156478
2020-03-02 0.0690 0.156427
2020-02-03 0.0750 0.179727
2019-12-20 0.0740 0.188583
2019-12-02 0.0730 0.183740
2019-11-01 0.0750 0.185874
2019-10-01 0.0770 0.187211
2019-09-03 0.0810 0.191852
2019-08-01 0.0820 0.210960
2019-07-01 0.0790 0.207622
2019-06-03 0.0840 0.220588
2019-05-01 0.0820 0.229950
2019-04-01 0.0850 0.237430
2019-03-01 0.0760 0.222157
2019-02-01 0.0840 0.241102
2018-12-19 0.0840 0.240619
2018-12-03 0.0800 0.239449
2018-11-01 0.0820 0.250535
2018-10-01 0.0790 0.236173
2018-09-04 0.0820 0.237337
2018-08-01 0.0820 0.240328
2018-07-02 0.0790 0.226167
2018-06-01 0.0780 0.225368
2018-05-01 0.0750 0.220006
2018-04-02 0.0780 0.222349
2018-03-01 0.0700 0.203548
2018-02-01 0.0740 0.212950
2017-12-19 0.0980 0.271694
2017-12-01 0.0760 0.208390
2017-11-01 0.0780 0.216787
2017-10-02 0.0750 0.209205
2017-09-01 0.0770 0.210843
2017-08-01 0.0775 0.215517
2017-07-03 0.0750 0.209293
2017-06-01 0.0770 0.214874
2017-05-01 0.0750 0.214163
2017-04-03 0.0760 0.216401
2017-03-01 0.0680 0.196788
2017-02-01 0.0730 0.211932
2016-12-28 0.0735 0.214536
2016-12-01 0.0705 0.205091
2016-11-01 0.0720 0.190779
2016-10-03 0.0700 0.178026
2016-09-01 0.0725 0.180730
2016-08-01 0.0730 0.181637
2016-07-01 0.0730 0.180559
2016-06-01 0.0770 0.205115
2016-05-03 0.0740 0.197887
2016-05-02 0.0740 0.200433
2016-04-01 0.0765 0.203106
2016-03-01 0.0710 0.191323
2016-02-01 0.0775 0.211633
2015-12-29 0.0765 0.219670
2015-12-01 0.0760 0.213723
2015-11-02 0.0765 0.216652
2015-10-01 0.0735 0.205050
2015-09-01 0.0725 0.205179
2015-08-03 0.0750 0.209614
2015-07-01 0.0770 0.228656
2015-06-01 0.0785 0.223647
2015-05-01 0.0745 0.207868
2015-04-01 0.0790 0.207676
2015-03-02 0.0700 0.191309
2015-02-02 0.0780 0.198246
2014-12-29 0.0815 0.225294
2014-12-01 0.0800 0.227208
2014-11-03 0.0810 0.234511
2014-10-01 0.0795 0.231745
2014-09-02 0.0830 0.244693
2014-08-01 0.0850 0.254911
2014-07-01 0.0785 0.239731
2014-06-02 0.0830 0.251782
2014-05-01 0.0795 0.243678
2014-04-01 0.0805 0.254827
2014-03-03 0.0710 0.222466
2014-02-03 0.0780 0.243902
2013-12-27 0.0785 0.262191
2013-12-02 0.0765 0.251728
2013-11-01 0.0780 0.250401
2013-10-01 0.0740 0.238249
2013-09-03 0.0745 0.243623
2013-08-01 0.0760 0.246034
2013-07-01 0.0730 0.226567
2013-06-03 0.0715 0.213784
2013-05-01 0.0720 0.200529
2013-04-01 0.0775 0.225225
2013-03-01 0.0660 0.191332
2013-02-01 0.0740 0.220042
2012-12-27 0.0750 0.211506
2012-12-03 0.0675 0.187084
2012-10-01 0.0720 0.200445
2012-09-04 0.0770 0.210383
2012-08-01 0.0750 0.202922
2012-07-02 0.0730 0.200329
2012-06-01 0.0790 0.210807
2012-05-01 0.0775 0.228850
2012-04-02 0.0800 0.242755
2012-03-01 0.0750 0.221992
2012-02-01 0.0810 0.234307
2011-12-28 0.0785 0.225251
2011-12-01 0.0815 0.240519
2011-11-01 0.0825 0.239791
2011-10-03 0.0835 0.234914
2011-09-01 0.0905 0.282151
2011-08-01 0.0915 0.311595
2011-07-01 0.0925 0.332017
2011-06-01 0.0935 0.322192
2011-05-02 0.0910 0.327751
2011-04-01 0.0940 0.342129
2011-03-01 0.0835 0.305302
2011-02-01 0.0915 0.338325
2010-12-29 0.0930 0.336469
2010-12-01 0.0880 0.308555
2010-11-01 0.0885 0.298886
2010-10-01 0.0880 0.287300
2010-09-01 0.0900 0.291545
2010-08-02 0.0940 0.322415
2010-07-01 0.0915 0.309697
2010-06-01 0.0945 0.333392
2010-05-03 0.0920 0.338422
2010-04-01 0.0950 0.356139
2010-03-01 0.0840 0.310364
2010-02-01 0.0900 0.333087
2009-12-29 0.0935 0.351372
2009-12-01 0.0935 0.332740
2009-11-02 0.0900 0.322928
2009-10-01 0.0850 0.296013
2009-09-01 0.0955 0.341011
2009-08-03 0.0975 0.359580
2009-07-01 0.0875 0.320454
2009-06-01 0.0985 0.370719
2009-05-01 0.0910 0.324132
2009-04-01 0.1040 0.345056
2009-03-02 0.0840 0.289057
2009-02-02 0.1125 0.382003
2008-12-29 0.1035 0.319346
2008-12-01 0.1020 0.339717
2008-11-03 0.1050 0.400000
2008-10-01 0.0915 0.333151
2008-09-02 0.1010 0.370167
2008-08-01 0.1015 0.381722
2008-07-01 0.1070 0.401878
2008-06-02 0.1045 0.396584
2008-05-01 0.1020 0.378830
2008-04-01 0.1085 0.399044
2008-03-03 0.0990 0.361908
2008-02-01 0.1000 0.364034
2007-12-28 0.1070 0.402331
2007-12-03 0.0915 0.336212
2007-11-01 0.1030 0.392456
2007-10-01 0.0995 0.386108
2007-09-04 0.1035 0.403273
2007-08-01 0.1035 0.409010
2007-07-02 0.1100 0.444624
Additional Data
dividendYield 4.17

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 51.31
All Time Low 24.37
Ask 25.56
Ask Size 176,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,836,510
Average Daily Volume3 Month 5,805,685
Average Volume 5,805,685
Average Volume10Days 4,836,510
Beta3 Year 2.25
Bid 25.5
Bid Size 38,000
Category Long Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 25.705
Day Low 25.5701
Dividend Yield 4.17
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.9312
Fifty Day Average Change -0.32119942
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0123866005
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -0.4276812
Fifty Two Week High 27.7
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.0900002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07545127
Fifty Two Week Low 25.2
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.40999985
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.016269835
Fifty Two Week Range 25.2 - 27.7
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,180,531,800,000
Five Year Average Return -0.0637782
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family State Street Investment Management
Fund Inception Date 1,179,878,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index and in securities that the adviser determines have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the economic characteristics of the securities that comprise the index. The index is designed to measure the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity of 10 years or more.
Long Name State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_34697697
Nav Price 25.58746
Net Assets 10,471,982,100.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.03
Open 25.63
Pre Market Change -0.11000061
Pre Market Change Percent -0.4295221
Pre Market Price 25.5
Pre Market Time 1,784,115,132
Previous Close 25.56
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0500011
Regular Market Change Percent 0.195623
Regular Market Day High 25.705
Regular Market Day Low 25.5701
Regular Market Day Range 25.5701 - 25.705
Regular Market Open 25.63
Regular Market Previous Close 25.56
Regular Market Price 25.61
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,200
Regular Market Volume 4,659,264
Short Name State Street SPDR Portfolio Lon
Source Interval 15
Symbol SPTL
Three Year Average Return -0.0083397
Total Assets 10,471,982,080
Tradeable 0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.848
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.848
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 26.53895
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.92894936
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.035003245
Type Disp ETF
Volume 4,659,264
Yield 0.0417
Ytd Return 0.68695