SPS Commerce, Inc. (SPSC)Technology | Software - Application | Minneapolis, United States | NasdaqGS
85.27 USD
+1.51
(1.803%)
⇧
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 85.27 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 3, 2026, 2:47 a.m. EDT
SPS Commerce presents a classic turnaround story where the balance sheet remains fortress-like, yet earnings growth has stalled sharply. While the trailing twelve-month earnings picture looks bleak with a 64% decline, the forward valuation compresses significantly, implying the market expects a recovery. The stock has recovered well from its lows, trading above key moving averages, but the recent 43% annual decline and negative earnings growth prevent a top-tier long-term rating. Options activity suggests traders are pricing in volatility rather than a clean linear move, with heavy open interest on out-of-the-money strikes. For investors, the cash flow is strong, but the earnings trajectory needs to stabilize before the high multiple becomes fully justified. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.029612 |
| AutoETS | 0.080445 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.080447 |
| MSTL | 0.084877 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 0.49 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.286 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.90 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.672 |
| Revenue per Share | 20.672 |
| Market Cap | 3,069,734,912 |
| Trailing P/E | 40.41 |
| Forward P/E | 16.01 |
| Beta | 0.62 |
| Profit Margins | 10.10% |
| Website | https://www.spscommerce.com |
As of Oct. 3, 2026, 2:47 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for volatility with elevated implied volatility near term. Open interest is skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes in both calls and puts, suggesting bets on larger moves rather than immediate directional certainty. Deep in-the-money put open interest at the January expiration indicates hedging or insurance against a significant downside, while call open interest at higher strikes hints at upside hopes.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.22021031 |
| Address1 | 333 South Seventh Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1000 |
| All Time High | 218.74 |
| All Time Low | 4.225 |
| Ask | 107.53 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 502,260 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 544,160 |
| Average Volume | 544,160 |
| Average Volume10Days | 502,260 |
| Beta | 0.619 |
| Bid | 60.92 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 25.929 |
| City | Minneapolis |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 2 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 85.27 |
| Current Ratio | 2.259 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 85.36 |
| Day Low | 82.6601 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.672 |
| Display Name | SPS Commerce |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.639 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.652 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,441,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,304,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,304,000 |
| Ebitda | 183,200,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.23716 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 15.845 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.758 |
| Enterprise Value | 2,902,873,856 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.90345 |
| Eps Forward | 5.32511 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.11 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 80.7024 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 4.5675964 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.056598026 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -22.02103 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 114.87 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -29.600006 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.25768265 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 49.04 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 36.229996 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.73878455 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 49.04 - 114.87 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,271,943,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 35,557,012 |
| Forward Eps | 5.32511 |
| Forward P E | 16.012814 |
| Free Cashflow | 176,569,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 2,948 |
| Fullday Change | 1.5099945 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.8027632 |
| Fullday Price | 85.27 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.69821 |
| Gross Profits | 539,358,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.010290001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.14609 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 36,000,174 |
| Industry | Software - Application |
| Industry Disp | Software - Application |
| Industry Key | software-application |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,566,518,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | SPS Commerce, Inc. provides cloud-based supply chain management solutions in the United States. It offers solutions through SPS Commerce, a cloud-based platform that connects retailers, brands, distributors, manufacturers, and logistics providers, handling the complexity of modern commerce operations. The company also provides Fulfillment, a comprehensive solution designed to streamline supply chain operation that sends and receives order data, ensuring accurate execution of required processes from order to invoicing and revenue recovery through fully automated operations; and Analytics product that simplifies managing sell-through data from customers business partners that handle data acquisition, cleansing, normalization, and delivery. In addition, it offers various complimentary products, such as assortment product, which simplifies the communication of robust, accurate item data by automatically translating item attributes, and hierarchies through single connection across all sales channels; and relationship management product that allows organizations to accelerate digitization of their supply chain and improve collaboration with suppliers through change management, onboarding programs, and supplier score carding. The company was formerly known as St. Paul Software, Inc. and changed its name to SPS Commerce, Inc. in May 2001. SPS Commerce, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. |
| Long Name | SPS Commerce, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 3,069,734,912 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_34696 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 78,003,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,929,334,158 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 11 |
| Open | 82.91 |
| Operating Cashflow | 228,143,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.16108999 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 4.55 |
| Phone | 612 435 9400 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 85.27 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,014,010 |
| Previous Close | 83.76 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 17.389795 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 3.2885954 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 3.9738078 |
| Profit Margins | 0.10098 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.619 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.50999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.80276 |
| Regular Market Day High | 85.36 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 82.6601 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 82.6601 - 85.36 |
| Regular Market Open | 82.91 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 83.76 |
| Regular Market Price | 85.27 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,000 |
| Regular Market Volume | 428,595 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06805 |
| Return On Equity | 0.08262 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.056 |
| Revenue Per Share | 20.672 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.1570785 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 2 |
| Shares Outstanding | 36,000,174 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0788 |
| Shares Short | 2,836,191 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 3,325,662 |
| Short Name | SPS Commerce, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0937 |
| Short Ratio | 5.27 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | MN |
| Symbol | SPSC |
| Target High Price | 103.0 |
| Target Low Price | 59.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 76.81818 |
| Target Median Price | 70.0 |
| Total Cash | 173,167,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 4.81 |
| Total Debt | 6,306,000 |
| Total Revenue | 772,492,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.11 |
| Trailing P E | 40.412323 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 68.3303 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 16.939697 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.24790901 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 428,595 |
| Website | https://www.spscommerce.com |
| Zip | 55,402 |