Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT)Communication Services | Internet Content & Information | Stockholm, Sweden | NYSE
479.84 USD
+0.07
(0.015%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 3:23 a.m. EDT
Spotify presents a compelling long-term case anchored by a fortress balance sheet and exceptional capital efficiency, boasting a 38% return on equity and a net cash position that insulates it from debt risks. While the trailing P/E of 33x reflects high expectations, the forward multiple compresses to 26x, and the seven-year price trajectory confirms a robust +289% gain without recent structural decline. However, the short-term outlook remains conflicted; the stock trades below its 200-day average, and the statistical forecast leans slightly negative, while options flow reveals a tug-of-war between buyers betting on a recovery and sellers purchasing deep downside protection. Investors should view this as a high-conviction long-term hold, but expect continued volatility in the near term. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_97 ✓ | 0.056547 |
| MSTL_97_126 | 0.067233 |
| MSTL_126 | 0.069342 |
| MSTL | 0.081453 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.082000 |
| AutoETS | 0.084606 |
| AutoTheta | 0.104986 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_97
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 0.20 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.099 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.36 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Communication Services |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 5.943 |
| Revenue per Share | 85.206 |
| Market Cap | 98,664,734,720 |
| Trailing P/E | 32.69 |
| Forward P/E | 26.57 |
| Beta | 1.56 |
| Profit Margins | 15.45% |
| Website | https://www.spotify.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 3:23 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated across expirations, with ATM IV ranging from 47% to 60%. Call open interest is heavily skewed toward strikes above the current price (510–600), indicating bullish positioning for a rebound. Conversely, put open interest clusters near the money (460–480) and deep out-of-the-money strikes (280–300), suggesting significant hedging activity against a potential downside gap. Unusual volume spikes appear in both deep OTM puts and far OTM calls, reflecting a 'buy the dip' strategy mixed with insurance purchases.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.33132172 |
| Address1 | Regeringsgatan 19 |
| All Time High | 785.0 |
| All Time Low | 69.285 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 80 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.6 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,668,160 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,178,167 |
| Average Volume | 2,178,167 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,668,160 |
| Beta | 1.564 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 40 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 44.361954 |
| City | Stockholm |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | Sweden |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 479.84 |
| Current Ratio | 2.06 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 491.18 |
| Day Low | 476.74 |
| Debt To Equity | 5.943 |
| Display Name | Spotify Technology |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,873,600 |
| Earnings Growth | 2.224 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 2.204 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,785,846,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,846,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,846,600 |
| Ebitda | 2,446,000,128 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.13954 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 37.959 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.297 |
| Enterprise Value | 92,847,726,592 |
| Eps Current Year | 12.80471 |
| Eps Forward | 18.062273 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 14.68 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 468.182 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 11.6579895 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.02490055 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -33.13217 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 748.3 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -268.46 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.35875985 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 405.0 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 74.84 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.18479012 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 405.0 - 748.3 |
| Financial Currency | EUR |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,522,762,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 157,130,738 |
| Forward Eps | 18.062273 |
| Forward P E | 26.56587 |
| Free Cashflow | 707,750,016 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 7,258 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.32318002 |
| Gross Profits | 5,664,999,936 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.23448999 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.68834996 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 205,620,061 |
| Industry | Internet Content & Information |
| Industry Disp | Internet Content & Information |
| Industry Key | internet-content-information |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Spotify Technology S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts, including video, lossless music, and audiobooks in select markets through subscription offerings primarily sold directly to end users and partners. The Ad-Supported segment provides limited on-demand online access to its catalog of music and online and offline access to its catalog of podcasts on computers, tablets, mobile devices, and other smart devices. The company also offers sales, distribution and marketing, contract research and development, and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. |
| Long Name | Spotify Technology S.A. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 98,664,734,720 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_225595077 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,774,915,200 |
| Net Income To Common | 2,708,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 98,650,336,665 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 38 |
| Open | 486.97 |
| Operating Cashflow | 3,230,000,128 |
| Operating Margins | 0.15773 |
| Overall Risk | 7 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.65 |
| Pre Market Change | 0.22000122 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 0.045854606 |
| Pre Market Price | 480.0 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,016,063 |
| Previous Close | 479.77 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 37.47371 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 10.816476 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 5.6286573 |
| Profit Margins | 0.15449001 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.508 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.575 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0700073 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 0.0145919 |
| Regular Market Day High | 491.18 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 476.74 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 476.74 - 491.18 |
| Regular Market Open | 486.97 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 479.77 |
| Regular Market Price | 479.84 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 951,535 |
| Return On Assets | 0.116409995 |
| Return On Equity | 0.37987998 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.082 |
| Revenue Per Share | 85.206 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Communication Services |
| Sector Disp | Communication Services |
| Sector Key | communication-services |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 205,620,061 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0306 |
| Shares Short | 6,297,025 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,106,085 |
| Short Name | Spotify Technology S.A. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0399 |
| Short Ratio | 3.39 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | SPOT |
| Target High Price | 707.52527 |
| Target Low Price | 389.37646 |
| Target Mean Price | 596.69904 |
| Target Median Price | 599.64716 |
| Total Cash | 6,293,000,192 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 30.605 |
| Total Debt | 476,000,000 |
| Total Revenue | 17,528,999,936 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 14.68 |
| Trailing P E | 32.68665 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 1.6522 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 539.2355 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -59.395477 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.11014757 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 951,535 |
| Website | https://www.spotify.com |
| Zip | 111 53 |