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Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE)

Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | Tustin, United States | NYSE
2.43 USD -0.15 (-5.814%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 2.46 +0.03 (1.214%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:⯪☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is effectively zero due to a catastrophic multi-year decline where the stock has lost nearly 98% of its value over eight years, with four consecutive years of negative returns. The business is burning cash, generating negative operating margins, and showing no signs of profitability, making it a classic value trap despite the 'space' theme. While the short-term chart shows some stabilization near the $3.00 level, the fundamental reality remains dire. The options activity reveals a speculative frenzy, with traders buying deep out-of-the-money calls hoping for a SpaceX-style catalyst to drive the price to $5 or $10, while simultaneously hedging with deep puts. This disconnect between the desperate hope for a moonshot and the crushing reality of the balance sheet suggests the stock is currently priced for a binary event that may never happen. For a traditional investor, this is a firm avoid; the risk of permanent capital loss outweighs any potential for a speculative rebound.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.159158
AutoETS0.185621
AutoARIMA0.185729
AutoTheta0.328208

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 1.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.018
Excess Kurtosis 0.76
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 66.984
Revenue per Share 0.013
Market Cap 368,378,048
Forward P/E -2.78
Beta 2.87
Website https://www.virgingalactic.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 2:56 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning aggressively for volatility rather than a specific directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily skewed out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $4.00 and $5.00, suggesting bets on a massive gap-up event, while Put Open Interest is concentrated near the money ($3.00) and deep OTM ($11.00), indicating a hedge against further decline or a bet on a crash. The massive IV spikes on deep OTM strikes for both sides confirm that the market is pricing in binary, high-amplitude moves rather than a steady trend.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.4130435
Address1 1,700 Flight Way
All Time High 1,256.0
All Time Low 2.13
Ask 2.44
Ask Size 47,900
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 5,807,640
Average Daily Volume3 Month 6,719,446
Average Volume 6,719,446
Average Volume10Days 5,807,640
Beta 2.866
Bid 2.43
Bid Size 32,600
Board Risk 3
Book Value 2.804
City Tustin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 2.43
Current Ratio 1.624
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 2.6
Day Low 2.43
Debt To Equity 66.984
Display Name Virgin Galactic
Dividend Yield 0.0
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,568,400
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,568,400
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,859,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,859,200
Ebitda -244,380,992
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -1.549
Enterprise To Revenue 364.796
Enterprise Value 378,658,048
Eps Current Year -2.32
Eps Forward -0.87333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -3.19
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.0168
Fifty Day Average Change -0.58679986
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.1945107
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -41.30435
Fifty Two Week High 8.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -6.4699993
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.72696626
Fifty Two Week Low 2.13
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.29999995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.14084505
Fifty Two Week Range 2.13 - 8.9
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,506,691,800,000
Float Shares 150,866,727
Forward Eps -0.87333
Forward P E -2.7824535
Free Cashflow -295,968,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 694
Fullday Change -0.12049985
Fullday Change Percent -4.670537
Fullday Price 2.43
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -94,521,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00392
Held Percent Institutions 0.3635
Implied Shares Outstanding 151,595,903
Industry Aerospace & Defense
Industry Disp Aerospace & Defense
Industry Key aerospace-defense
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,718,582,400
Last Split Factor 1:20
Long Business Summary Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an aerospace and space travel company, focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies. It engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operation, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight systems for private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Tustin, California.
Long Name Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 368,378,048
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_25116311
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -247,744,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 472,979,217
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 2.59
Operating Cashflow -212,451,008
Operating Margins -484.52237
Overall Risk 7
Phone 949 774 7640
Post Market Change 0.029500008
Post Market Change Percent 1.213992
Post Market Price 2.4595
Post Market Time 1,792,195,156
Previous Close 2.58
Price Eps Current Year -1.0474138
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 0.86661917
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 354.89215
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 1.327
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.71429
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.15
Regular Market Change Percent -5.81395
Regular Market Day High 2.6
Regular Market Day Low 2.43
Regular Market Day Range 2.43 - 2.6
Regular Market Open 2.59
Regular Market Previous Close 2.58
Regular Market Price 2.43
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 6,375,215
Return On Assets -0.18976
Return On Equity -0.75132006
Revenue Growth -0.67
Revenue Per Share 0.013
Sand P52 Week Change 0.13723719
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 151,595,903
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.24299999
Shares Short 36,835,528
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 36,072,578
Short Name Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2432
Short Ratio 6.4
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol SPCE
Target High Price 5.0
Target Low Price 2.0
Target Mean Price 3.51
Target Median Price 3.05
Total Cash 255,054,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.682
Total Debt 265,334,000
Total Revenue 1,038,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -3.19
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 2.9536
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.52359986
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.17727515
Type Disp Equity
Volume 6,375,215
Website https://www.virgingalactic.com
Zip 92,782