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YieldMax Target 12 Semiconductor Option Income ETF (SOXY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
98.27 USD -4.59 (-4.461%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 3:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT

The semiconductor option income strategy is currently firing on all cylinders regarding income generation, but the underlying asset structure presents a distinct risk profile for long-term holders. The headline 5.5% yield is robust, yet the payout history reveals a concerning trend of accelerating distributions that far outpace the modest price appreciation seen over the last year. This suggests the fund is aggressively harvesting value, potentially at the expense of capital preservation. Technically, the stock has staged a powerful recovery, trading significantly above its 200-day average, which validates the short-term bullish thesis. However, the options data tells a story of extreme asymmetry: traders are betting overwhelmingly on a surge to $110-$125, while protection against a drop is virtually non-existent. This 'call-heavy' environment often precedes a volatile squeeze or a sharp correction if the semiconductor sector fails to deliver immediate catalysts. For the long-term investor, the lack of multi-year price history makes it impossible to assess the durability of this business model or the sustainability of these aggressive payouts. While the current mechanics work well for generating monthly cash flow, the reliance on a specific, volatile sector combined with a distribution rate that seems to be eating into principal creates a fragile foundation. It remains a speculative play for income, not a core holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_79 ✓0.289106
AutoARIMA0.311435
MSTL0.321843
AutoTheta0.327297
AutoETS0.329734

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_79

Forecast Reliability
Score 42%
H-stat 7.65
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.193
Excess Kurtosis -1.13
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 42.00

As of July 11, 2026, 4:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for upside, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (strikes 110-125) compared to negligible put volume. Implied volatility is elevated for near-term expirations, suggesting a fear of a sharp spike rather than a crash. The lack of significant put activity indicates the market views downside risk as limited relative to the potential for a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.05% 12.05%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-08 1.037 1.051831
2026-06-03 1.021 0.951626
2026-05-06 0.830 0.930285
2026-04-08 0.654 0.951480
2026-03-04 0.673 1.037459
2026-02-04 0.671 1.056859
2025-12-31 0.605 1.017576
2025-12-03 0.595 0.983975
2025-11-05 0.621 1.024871
2025-10-08 0.590 0.996958
2025-09-03 0.521 1.022591
2025-08-06 0.525 1.021421
2025-07-02 0.525 1.006634
2025-06-04 0.472 0.980983
2025-05-07 0.438 0.998814
2025-04-02 0.427 0.996476
2025-03-05 0.488 1.061631
2025-02-05 0.488 0.974324
2025-01-08 0.526 1.032040
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 5.54

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 115.36
All Time Low 35.02
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Average Daily Volume10 Day 28,130
Average Daily Volume3 Month 19,836
Average Volume 19,836
Average Volume10Days 28,130
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 100
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 100.0
Day Low 97.385
Dividend Yield 5.54
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.3396964
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 98.55438
Fifty Day Average Change -0.28438568
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0028855712
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 95.22282
Fifty Two Week High 115.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -17.090004
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14814498
Fifty Two Week Low 50.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change 47.739998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.94478524
Fifty Two Week Range 50.53 - 115.36
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,733,236,200,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,733,097,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will, under normal circumstances, invest in underlying securities directly. The fund manager seeks to generate income from engaging in the options strategies primarily using options contracts on some or all of its underlying securities. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name YieldMax Target 12 Semiconductor Option Income ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1892614468
Nav Price 102.832
Net Assets 79,872,416.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.06
Open 100.57
Pre Market Change 0.26000214
Pre Market Change Percent 0.26457936
Pre Market Price 98.53
Pre Market Time 1,784,020,522
Previous Close 102.859
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -4.589
Regular Market Change Percent -4.46145
Regular Market Day High 100.0
Regular Market Day Low 97.385
Regular Market Day Range 97.385 - 100.0
Regular Market Open 100.57
Regular Market Previous Close 102.859
Regular Market Price 98.27
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,793
Regular Market Volume 18,421
Short Name YieldMax Target 12 Semiconducto
Source Interval 15
Symbol SOXY
Total Assets 79,872,416
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 42.001175
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 85.0373
Trailing Three Month Returns 85.0373
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 72.18543
Two Hundred Day Average Change 26.084564
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.36135498
Type Disp ETF
Volume 18,421
Yield 0.0554
Ytd Return 101.84344