Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXQ)Technology | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
97.10 USD
-4.96
(-4.860%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:48 a.m. EDT
The semiconductor sector is showing signs of exhaustion despite the massive four-year rally. While the underlying business remains robust with a +71% cumulative gain over the last four years, the immediate technical picture is deteriorating. The asset is currently trading near its 50-day moving average but has failed to break through the psychological $115 resistance, instead retreating to test the $96-$100 support zone. This weakness is confirmed by the options market, where traders are aggressively buying protection against a drop, betting that the recent bounce was merely a relief rally rather than a trend reversal. The trailing P/E of 40x is rich for a cyclical industry that has already priced in much of the AI optimism, making the current setup risky for new entrants. However, the long-term fundamentals remain solid enough to warrant a hold, provided investors can stomach the volatility of a potential correction before the next cycle up. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.060968 |
| AutoTheta | 0.063404 |
| AutoETS | 0.151194 |
| MSTL | 0.164821 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 34% |
| H-stat | 12.84 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.048 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.01 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 38.51 |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:48 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively for a near-term pullback. The July expiration shows heavy out-of-the-money put open interest (82% of total volume) compared to calls, creating a significant barrier at the $95-$100 strikes. While there is some call buying at the $110 strike, the overwhelming volume in lower-strike puts suggests a fear of a drop back toward the $90s or below. The October data reinforces this bearish bias with nearly 96% of volume concentrated in puts, indicating a strong hedging demand against a continued decline.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07% | 0.44% | 0.65% | — |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | 0.077 | 0.066893 |
| 2026-03-23 | 0.071 | 0.116108 |
| 2025-12-22 | 0.062 | 0.110261 |
| 2025-09-22 | 0.074 | 0.148565 |
| 2025-06-23 | 0.074 | 0.179307 |
| 2025-03-24 | 0.069 | 0.186891 |
| 2024-12-23 | 0.069 | 0.171343 |
| 2024-09-23 | 0.068 | 0.172021 |
| 2024-06-24 | 0.061 | 0.144276 |
| 2024-03-18 | 0.069 | 0.184246 |
| 2023-12-18 | 0.076 | 0.235149 |
| 2023-09-18 | 0.064 | 0.232981 |
| 2023-06-20 | 0.070 | 0.243733 |
| 2023-03-20 | 0.077 | 0.313901 |
| 2022-12-19 | 0.067 | 0.326989 |
| 2022-09-19 | 0.069 | 0.340069 |
| 2022-06-21 | 0.070 | 0.335410 |
| 2022-03-21 | 0.065 | 0.242537 |
| 2021-12-20 | 0.148 | 0.504603 |
| 2021-09-20 | 0.079 | 0.300494 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| All Time High | 115.335 |
| All Time Low | 16.45 |
| Ask | 97.19 |
| Ask Size | 19 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,575,000 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,618,519 |
| Average Volume | 2,618,519 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,575,000 |
| Beta3 Year | 2.19 |
| Bid | 97.13 |
| Bid Size | 19 |
| Category | Technology |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Day High | 99.57 |
| Day Low | 96.7 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.25 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.521354 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NGM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 98.9974 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.8973999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.019166159 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 129.55466 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 115.335 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -18.235 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.15810466 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 42.67 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 54.43 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.2756035 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 42.67 - 115.335 |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,623,418,200,000 |
| Five Year Average Return | 0.3136009 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGM |
| Fund Family | Invesco |
| Fund Inception Date | 1,623,369,600 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Ipo Expected Date | 2,021-06-11 |
| Language | en-US |
| Legal Type | Exchange Traded Fund |
| Long Business Summary | The fund generally will invest at least 90% of its total assets in the securities that comprise the underlying index. Strictly in accordance with its guidelines and mandated procedures, Nasdaq compiles the underlying index, which is a modified market-capitalization weighted index designed to measure the performance of the 30 largest companies listed in the United States that are engaged in the semiconductor business, as determined by the index Provider. The fund is non-diversified. |
| Long Name | Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF |
| Market | us_market |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_713971653 |
| Nav Price | 102.04 |
| Net Assets | 2,770,324,990.0 |
| Net Expense Ratio | 0.19 |
| Open | 99.305 |
| Pre Market Change | 1.5 |
| Pre Market Change Percent | 1.5447992 |
| Pre Market Price | 98.6 |
| Pre Market Time | 1,784,016,307 |
| Previous Close | 102.06 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | ETF |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -4.96 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -4.85989 |
| Regular Market Day High | 99.57 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 96.7 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 96.7 - 99.57 |
| Regular Market Open | 99.305 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 102.06 |
| Regular Market Price | 97.1 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,131,251 |
| Short Name | Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| Symbol | SOXQ |
| Three Year Average Return | 0.49083242 |
| Total Assets | 2,770,324,992 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing P E | 38.511055 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Trailing Three Month Nav Returns | 87.8207 |
| Trailing Three Month Returns | 87.8207 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 69.5513 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 27.548698 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.3960918 |
| Type Disp | ETF |
| Volume | 2,131,251 |
| Yield | 0.0025 |
| Ytd Return | 101.46137 |