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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF (SOFX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
9.51 USD -1.22 (-11.370%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 9.53 +0.02 (0.204%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a dangerous trap for investors seeking long-term value due to its leveraged nature and catastrophic performance history. As a 2x leveraged daily ETF, it suffers from severe path dependency; the underlying asset's volatility has caused this fund to lose nearly 80% of its value over the trailing period, despite the underlying company potentially being less volatile. The recent price action shows a fragile recovery, trading near its 52-week low with no sustained upward momentum, confirming that the previous crash was not a temporary dislocation but a structural failure of the leverage strategy. While the headline dividend yield appears astronomical at 44%, this is an illusion created by the massive capital loss; the payout represents a return of invested principal, not sustainable income, and is likely unsustainable given the fund's eroding asset base. Options data reinforces a defensive sentiment, with traders buying protection against further declines rather than betting on a rebound. For a long-term investor, this is a 'value trap' where the low price reflects the compounding drag of daily rebalancing losses, making it unsuitable for buy-and-hold strategies.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.145765
AutoTheta0.145871
AutoETS0.150406
AutoARIMA0.150418

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 1.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.372
Excess Kurtosis 0.06
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 14.20

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 8.0, 9.0, 21.0) acting as a floor, while call volume is concentrated near the money (10.0, 11.0) rather than aggressive upside targets. The implied volatility skew shows elevated premiums for deep OTM puts, suggesting a fear of a sharp downside gap, whereas call IV remains relatively flat. This structure indicates a 'bearish hedge' strategy rather than a bullish momentum play.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 3.598 12.271487
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 44.52

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 55.479
All Time Low 5.14
Ask 10.0
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,029,020
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,306,845
Average Volume 1,306,845
Average Volume10Days 1,029,020
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 7.59
Bid Size 2
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 11.055
Day Low 9.44
Dividend Yield 44.52
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.66985095
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 9.78776
Fifty Day Average Change -0.27775955
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.028378256
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -69.672134
Fifty Two Week High 55.479
Fifty Two Week High Change -45.969
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.82858384
Fifty Two Week Low 6.745
Fifty Two Week Low Change 2.7650003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.40993333
Fifty Two Week Range 6.745 - 55.479
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,737,037,800,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -1.22
Fullday Change Percent -11.37
Fullday Price 9.5294
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,736,899,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-16
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long SOFI ETF
Market us_market
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1906029774
Nav Price 10.377
Net Assets 68,704,624.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.29
Open 10.78
Post Market Change 0.019399643
Post Market Change Percent 0.20399204
Post Market Price 9.5294
Post Market Time 1,787,961,559
Previous Close 10.73
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.22
Regular Market Change Percent -11.37
Regular Market Day High 11.055
Regular Market Day Low 9.44
Regular Market Day Range 9.44 - 11.055
Regular Market Open 10.78
Regular Market Previous Close 10.73
Regular Market Price 9.51
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,572,400
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long S
Source Interval 15
Symbol SOFX
Total Assets 68,704,624
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing P E 14.197188
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -10.04207
Trailing Three Month Returns -10.04207
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 17.207504
Two Hundred Day Average Change -7.697504
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.44733414
Type Disp ETF
Volume 1,572,400
Yield 0.4452
Ytd Return -71.60118