Semtech Corporation (SMTC)Technology | Semiconductors | Camarillo, United States | NasdaqGS
132.15 USD
-3.98
(-2.924%) ⇩
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 131.50 -0.65 (-0.650%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 5:06 a.m. EDT
Semtech is a high-volatility semiconductor play caught between a compelling growth recovery and significant valuation headwinds. The long-term price trajectory is robust, having nearly doubled over the last nine years without a recent multi-year decline, which validates the business's resilience despite cyclical pressures. However, the current valuation is steep, trading at a forward P/E of 35x with negative trailing earnings, meaning the market is pricing in a perfect turnaround. The negative return on equity and high debt-to-equity ratio prevent this from being a fortress balance sheet investment, capping the long-term rating despite the strong revenue growth. On the short end, insider selling by executives is a concerning red flag that clashes with the bullish analyst consensus and options flow. While the stock trades well above its 200-day moving average, the recent dip below the 50-day average and the heavy insider dispositions suggest the immediate path is choppy. Investors should view this as a speculative growth trade rather than a value compounder, expecting significant volatility as the company navigates its earnings recovery. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.197881 |
| MSTL | 0.250142 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.274637 |
| AutoETS | 0.274643 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 0.86 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.238 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.55 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1980-09-04 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 90.284 |
| Revenue per Share | 12.112 |
| Market Cap | 12,309,925,888 |
| Forward P/E | 34.01 |
| Beta | 2.31 |
| Profit Margins | -3.04% |
| Website | https://www.semtech.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 5:06 a.m. EDT: Implied volatility is elevated across the board, hovering near 90-97% at-the-money, indicating high uncertainty. Call buyers are positioning for upside moves toward the $200-$250 range with significant open interest at distant strikes, while put buyers are hedging downside risk with deep in-the-money positions for later expirations. The mix suggests a speculative bet on a continued recovery rather than a stable consolidation.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 1.9007032 |
| Address1 | 200 Flynn Road |
| All Time High | 177.35 |
| All Time Low | 0.109375 |
| Ask | 140.03 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,719,570 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,677,222 |
| Average Volume | 3,677,222 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,719,570 |
| Beta | 2.31 |
| Bid | 120.69 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 2 |
| Book Value | 6.156 |
| City | Camarillo |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,798,675,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 3 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 132.15 |
| Current Ratio | 2.37 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 135.2999 |
| Day Low | 128.86 |
| Debt To Equity | 90.284 |
| Display Name | Semtech |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,779,827,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,779,827,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.227 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.373 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,779,825,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,787,601,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,787,601,600 |
| Ebitda | 151,711,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.13919 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 83.476 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 11.619 |
| Enterprise Value | 12,664,233,984 |
| Eps Current Year | 2.65765 |
| Eps Forward | 3.88561 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.41 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 336,960,000 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 145.1116 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -12.961609 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08932166 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 190.07031 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 177.35 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -45.200012 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.25486332 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 46.02 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 86.12999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.8715774 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 46.02 - 177.35 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 322,151,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 92,616,480 |
| Forward Eps | 3.88561 |
| Forward P E | 34.0101 |
| Free Cashflow | 132,511,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 1,920 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.52394 |
| Gross Profits | 571,057,024 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00934 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.09036 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 93,151,168 |
| Industry | Semiconductors |
| Industry Disp | Semiconductors |
| Industry Key | semiconductors |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,769,299,200 |
| Last Split Date | 969,926,400 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Semtech Corporation provides semiconductor, Internet of Things systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions in the Asia- Pacific, North America, and Europe. The company operates in three segments: Signal Integrity, Analog Mixed Signal and Wireless, and IoT Systems and Connectivity. It provides signal integrity products, including a portfolio of optical and copper data communications and video transport products used in various infrastructure, and industrial applications; a portfolio of integrated circuits for data centers, enterprise networks, passive optical networks, wireless base station optical transceivers, and interface applications; and video products for broadcast applications, as well as video-over-IP technology for professional audio video applications. The company also offers analog mixed signal and wireless products; protection devices, such as filter and termination devices which protect electronic systems from voltage spikes; and designs, develops, manufactures, and markets radio frequency products used in industrial, medical, and communications applications, as well as specialized sensing products. In addition, it provides switching voltage regulators, combination switching and linear regulators, smart regulators, isolated switches, and wireless charging related products. Further, the company offers a portfolio of IoT systems and connectivity solutions, such as modules, gateways, routers, and connected services, including wireless connectivity and cloud-based services for industrial, medical, and communications applications. It serves original equipment manufacturers, solution providers, commercial applications, infrastructure, high-end consumer, and industrial end markets. The company sells its products through direct sales personnel, independent sales representative firms, and independent distributors. Semtech Corporation was incorporated in 1960 and is headquartered in Camarillo, California. |
| Long Name | Semtech Corporation |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 12,309,925,888 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_302594 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,161,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -33,158,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,800,835,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 12,680,668,499 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 12 |
| Open | 130.0154 |
| Operating Cashflow | 189,527,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.09267 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.21 |
| Phone | 805 498 2111 |
| Post Market Change | -0.6499939 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.49186072 |
| Post Market Price | 131.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,998 |
| Previous Close | 136.13 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 49.724377 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 21.46686 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 11.294204 |
| Profit Margins | -0.03042 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.235 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -3.98001 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -2.92368 |
| Regular Market Day High | 135.2999 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 128.86 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 128.86 - 135.2999 |
| Regular Market Open | 130.0154 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 136.13 |
| Regular Market Price | 132.15 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,631,799 |
| Return On Assets | 0.049250003 |
| Return On Equity | -0.05806 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.159 |
| Revenue Per Share | 12.112 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 3 |
| Shares Outstanding | 93,151,168 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.059699997 |
| Shares Short | 5,564,789 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 6,340,409 |
| Short Name | Semtech Corporation |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0695 |
| Short Ratio | 1.24 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | SMTC |
| Target High Price | 230.0 |
| Target Low Price | 175.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 205.25 |
| Target Median Price | 202.5 |
| Total Cash | 163,310,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.753 |
| Total Debt | 517,616,992 |
| Total Revenue | 1,089,933,056 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.41 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 94.95265 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 37.197342 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.39174622 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,631,799 |
| Website | https://www.semtech.com |
| Zip | 93,012-8790 |