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The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Denver, United States | NasdaqCM
10.93 USD +0.72 (7.052%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 10.90 -0.03 (-0.030%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:41 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT

The Simply Good Foods Company is currently trapped in a value sinkhole where the market has priced out any hope of a turnaround. Fundamentally, the business is deteriorating with negative profit margins (-14%), shrinking revenue (-6%), and a return on equity of -12%. While the stock trades at a depressed price-to-book ratio of roughly 0.68, this discount reflects the reality that the company is burning capital and failing to generate sustainable earnings, making it a classic value trap rather than a bargain. The multi-year price trajectory confirms this structural decline, with the stock down significantly from its highs despite a recent dip in the trailing annual return count; the market has consistently punished this stock for years. There is no dividend to provide income, leaving investors exposed entirely to capital appreciation which appears unlikely given the negative earnings growth and lack of analyst coverage. The options market offers the clearest signal of sentiment: traders are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts, creating a wall of resistance that suggests they expect further downside or are hedging heavy short positions. With a beta of only 0.15, the stock lacks the volatility required for a speculative bounce, and the low trading volume relative to average suggests a lack of liquidity for a quick exit. This is a 'sell' situation for anyone looking for growth or income, and even a cautious buyer would need to wait for a confirmed reversal in the revenue and margin trends before considering a long position.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.090873
AutoARIMA0.104673
AutoETS0.106173
MSTL0.108102

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 2.00
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.145
Excess Kurtosis -0.89
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Debt to Equity Ratio 31.624
Revenue per Share 14.599
Market Cap 966,662,400
Forward P/E 6.43
Beta 0.15
Profit Margins -14.28%
Website https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 5:30 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (over 900 contracts at the $10 strike) compared to negligible call volume. The implied volatility skew shows significantly higher pricing for downside moves, while call activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a defensive stance rather than a bullish bet on a recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.64375436
Address1 1,225 17th Street
Address2 Suite 1000
All Time High 45.77
All Time Low 9.875
Ask 13.24
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 2.3 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,629,010
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,288,311
Average Volume 2,288,311
Average Volume10Days 1,629,010
Beta 0.151
Bid 10.88
Bid Size 4
Board Risk 1
Book Value 16.035
City Denver
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 10.93
Current Ratio 4.796
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 10.94
Day Low 10.29
Debt To Equity 31.624
Dividend Date 1,424,390,400
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,783,600,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,783,600,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,783,600,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,672,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,672,200
Ebitda 217,475,008
Ebitda Margins 0.15621
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.938
Enterprise To Revenue 0.928
Enterprise Value 1,291,453,696
Eps Current Year 1.64594
Eps Forward 1.70003
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -2.26
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 11.5992
Fifty Day Average Change -0.66919994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.057693627
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -64.375435
Fifty Two Week High 28.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -18.02
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.6224525
Fifty Two Week Low 9.875
Fifty Two Week Low Change 1.0550003
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.10683548
Fifty Two Week Range 9.875 - 28.95
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,499,693,400,000
Float Shares 80,198,330
Forward Eps 1.70003
Forward P E 6.4292984
Free Cashflow 107,168,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 328
Fullday Change 0.72
Fullday Change Percent 7.05191
Fullday Price 10.8999
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.33273998
Gross Profits 463,248,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.09229
Held Percent Institutions 1.00138
Implied Shares Outstanding 88,441,207
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,756,512,000
Long Business Summary The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink beverages and shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Long Name The Simply Good Foods Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 966,662,400
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_366893563
Most Recent Quarter 1,780,099,200
Net Income To Common -198,758,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,788,048,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 902,739,861
Number Of Analyst Opinions 8
Open 10.29
Operating Cashflow 147,540,000
Operating Margins 0.12784
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.64
Phone 303 633 2840
Post Market Change -0.030099869
Post Market Change Percent -0.27538761
Post Market Price 10.8999
Post Market Time 1,787,960,517
Previous Close 10.21
Price Eps Current Year 6.6405826
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.68163395
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.69432414
Profit Margins -0.14276
Quick Ratio 2.893
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.27273
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.72
Regular Market Change Percent 7.05191
Regular Market Day High 10.94
Regular Market Day Low 10.29
Regular Market Day Range 10.29 - 10.94
Regular Market Open 10.29
Regular Market Previous Close 10.21
Regular Market Price 10.93
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,733,059
Return On Assets 0.05382
Return On Equity -0.12197
Revenue Growth -0.063
Revenue Per Share 14.599
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 4
Shares Outstanding 88,441,207
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.075100005
Shares Short 6,639,195
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 6,912,240
Short Name The Simply Good Foods Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.1197
Short Ratio 2.8
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol SMPL
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 11.0
Target Mean Price 14.375
Target Median Price 14.0
Total Cash 123,884,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.4
Total Debt 448,464,000
Total Revenue 1,392,235,008
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -2.26
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.923525
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.9935246
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.26759928
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,733,059
Website https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com
Zip 80,202