The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL)Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Denver, United States | NasdaqCM
10.55 USD
+0.12
(1.103%)
⇧
(Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 10.55 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:21 a.m. EDT
The Simply Good Foods Company presents a stark picture of a business in structural decline. While the forward P/E looks attractive at under 6x, the company is currently losing money, with negative earnings per share and a negative return on equity. Revenue is shrinking by 6.3%, and the stock has tumbled nearly 30% in the last year alone. The market has correctly priced this deterioration, driving the price down from highs of $35 to current levels around $10. The absence of any dividend payments eliminates income appeal entirely. Although the balance sheet shows a healthy current ratio, the inability to generate profit or grow sales makes the low valuation a reflection of poor quality rather than a bargain. With analysts offering no specific recommendations and the stock trading well below its book value due to operational struggles, there is no compelling case to enter a position now. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.050726 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.051360 |
| AutoETS | 0.052152 |
| MSTL | 0.053062 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 45% |
| H-stat | 1.47 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.212 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.17 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 31.624 |
| Revenue per Share | 14.599 |
| Market Cap | 932,612,544 |
| Forward P/E | 6.26 |
| Beta | 0.19 |
| Profit Margins | -14.28% |
| Website | https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes at 7.5 and 15.0) expiring in early 2027. This 'naked put' strategy suggests a belief in a significant drop to the low end of the range. Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish bets despite the low implied volatility.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5686518 |
| Address1 | 1,225 17th Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1000 |
| All Time High | 45.77 |
| All Time Low | 9.375 |
| Ask | 13.37 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,145,550 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,227,157 |
| Average Volume | 2,227,157 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,145,550 |
| Beta | 0.185 |
| Bid | 7.62 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 16.035 |
| City | Denver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 10.545 |
| Current Ratio | 4.796 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 10.705 |
| Day Low | 10.35 |
| Debt To Equity | 31.624 |
| Display Name | Simply Good Foods |
| Dividend Date | 1,424,390,400 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,131,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,131,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,104,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,104,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,104,200 |
| Ebitda | 217,475,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15621 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 5.782 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.903 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,257,396,480 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.6475 |
| Eps Forward | 1.68447 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.13 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 10.5172 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.027799606 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0026432516 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -56.86518 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 25.66 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -15.115 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5890491 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 9.375 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.1700001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.12480001 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 9.375 - 25.66 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,499,693,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 80,343,405 |
| Forward Eps | 1.68447 |
| Forward P E | 6.260129 |
| Free Cashflow | 107,168,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 328 |
| Fullday Change | 0.11499977 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 1.1025865 |
| Fullday Price | 10.545 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.33273998 |
| Gross Profits | 463,248,992 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09229 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.00654 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 88,441,207 |
| Industry | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Disp | Packaged Foods |
| Industry Key | packaged-foods |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,756,512,000 |
| Long Business Summary | The Simply Good Foods Company, a consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally. The company offers protein bars, ready-to-drink beverages and shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, muffins, protein chips and crackers, protein powders, and recipes under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brand names. It also provides confectionery products, such as peanut butter cups, brownies, caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and caramel candy bars. In addition, the company licenses certain products that contain its brands and logos; and distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug stores, club and convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, liveowyn.com, amazon.com and others. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. |
| Long Name | The Simply Good Foods Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 932,612,544 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_366893563 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,780,099,200 |
| Net Income To Common | -198,758,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,788,048,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 848,336,626 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 10.52 |
| Operating Cashflow | 147,540,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.12784 |
| Overall Risk | 2 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.64 |
| Phone | 303 633 2840 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 10.545 |
| Post Market Time | 1,791,921,678 |
| Previous Close | 10.43 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 6.400607 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.65762395 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.66986716 |
| Profit Margins | -0.14276 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.893 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.33333 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.115 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.10259 |
| Regular Market Day High | 10.705 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 10.35 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 10.35 - 10.705 |
| Regular Market Open | 10.52 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 10.43 |
| Regular Market Price | 10.545 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,921,600 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,964,913 |
| Return On Assets | 0.05382 |
| Return On Equity | -0.12197 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.063 |
| Revenue Per Share | 14.599 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17502642 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 4 |
| Shares Outstanding | 88,441,207 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.08979999 |
| Shares Short | 7,945,133 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 7,388,414 |
| Short Name | The Simply Good Foods Company |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1432 |
| Short Ratio | 3.35 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | SMPL |
| Target High Price | 20.0 |
| Target Low Price | 11.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 14.375 |
| Target Median Price | 14.0 |
| Total Cash | 123,884,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.4 |
| Total Debt | 448,464,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,392,235,008 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.13 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 13.504425 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -2.959425 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.21914484 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,964,913 |
| Website | https://www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com |
| Zip | 80,202 |