The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG)Basic Materials | Agricultural Inputs | Marysville, United States | NYSE
49.72 USD
-0.38
(-0.758%) ⇩
(Oct. 14, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 49.50 -0.22 (-0.220%) ⇩ (Oct. 14, 2026, 7:33 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT
The investment case here is severely compromised by a deteriorating balance sheet and a broken dividend contract. The company is paying out 102% of its earnings, which is unsustainable given the reported negative earnings growth and shrinking free cash flow. This payout structure is effectively burning capital to maintain the yield, a classic value trap. While the 5.3% yield looks attractive on the surface, it is a trap built on eroding value. Fundamentally, the business is struggling with cost and sales pressures, evidenced by the recent stock decline and negative earnings growth. The options market confirms this distress, with traders placing massive bets on downside protection well below current prices. The statistical forecast model offers no help, showing a flat prediction with low confidence, suggesting the market is currently stuck in a state of uncertainty rather than seeing a clear recovery path. Avoid this security until the payout ratio is normalized and earnings growth turns positive. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.145995 |
| AutoTheta | 0.149192 |
| AutoETS | 0.153654 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.153657 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 42% |
| H-stat | 10.46 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.977 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.08 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-08-20 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-08-20 |
| Revenue per Share | 60.009 |
| Market Cap | 2,894,712,064 |
| Trailing P/E | 17.76 |
| Forward P/E | 10.57 |
| Beta | 1.85 |
| Profit Margins | 2.12% |
| Website | https://scottsmiraclegro.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:50 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 32.5, 35.0, 47.5) acting as a floor, while call volume remains sparse and concentrated near the money. The implied volatility surface shows significant spikes at deep out-of-the-money strikes for both sides, indicating a market pricing in a binary event or extreme volatility rather than a directional trend.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.08% | 4.38% | 4.23% | 3.90% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | 0.660 | 1.081790 |
| 2026-05-22 | 0.660 | 1.115619 |
| 2026-02-20 | 0.660 | 0.943396 |
| 2025-11-21 | 0.660 | 1.234799 |
| 2025-08-22 | 0.660 | 1.040681 |
| 2025-05-23 | 0.660 | 1.110737 |
| 2025-02-21 | 0.660 | 1.091631 |
| 2024-11-22 | 0.660 | 0.847675 |
| 2024-08-23 | 0.660 | 0.919476 |
| 2024-05-23 | 0.660 | 1.016166 |
| 2024-02-22 | 0.660 | 1.129750 |
| 2023-11-24 | 0.660 | 1.172500 |
| 2023-08-24 | 0.660 | 1.285047 |
| 2023-05-25 | 0.660 | 1.012581 |
| 2023-02-23 | 0.660 | 0.795564 |
| 2022-11-25 | 0.660 | 1.188119 |
| 2022-08-25 | 0.660 | 0.873131 |
| 2022-05-26 | 0.660 | 0.707699 |
| 2022-02-23 | 0.660 | 0.508357 |
| 2021-11-26 | 0.660 | 0.408846 |
| 2021-08-26 | 0.660 | 0.419074 |
| 2021-05-26 | 0.620 | 0.282499 |
| 2021-02-23 | 0.620 | 0.279834 |
| 2020-11-27 | 0.620 | 0.360843 |
| 2020-08-26 | 5.620 | 3.444683 |
| 2020-05-26 | 0.580 | 0.430778 |
| 2020-02-24 | 0.580 | 0.491525 |
| 2019-11-25 | 0.580 | 0.580232 |
| 2019-08-26 | 0.580 | 0.552434 |
| 2019-05-24 | 0.550 | 0.618881 |
| 2019-02-21 | 0.550 | 0.680356 |
| 2018-11-23 | 0.550 | 0.737265 |
| 2018-08-24 | 0.550 | 0.743344 |
| 2018-05-24 | 0.530 | 0.619304 |
| 2018-02-22 | 0.530 | 0.589610 |
| 2017-11-22 | 0.530 | 0.546054 |
| 2017-08-23 | 0.530 | 0.564070 |
| 2017-05-24 | 0.500 | 0.569801 |
| 2017-02-22 | 0.500 | 0.532141 |
| 2016-11-22 | 0.500 | 0.554570 |
| 2016-08-24 | 0.500 | 0.611696 |
| 2016-05-25 | 0.470 | 0.680568 |
| 2016-02-23 | 0.470 | 0.714177 |
| 2015-11-23 | 0.470 | 0.691685 |
| 2015-08-25 | 0.470 | 0.772264 |
| 2015-05-22 | 0.450 | 0.705329 |
| 2015-02-20 | 0.450 | 0.689127 |
| 2014-11-24 | 0.450 | 0.746516 |
| 2014-08-29 | 2.000 | 3.464403 |
| 2014-08-25 | 0.450 | 0.749376 |
| 2014-05-22 | 0.438 | 0.737126 |
| 2014-02-20 | 0.438 | 0.780331 |
| 2013-11-22 | 0.438 | 0.741744 |
| 2013-08-23 | 0.438 | 0.799270 |
| 2013-05-23 | 0.325 | 0.672878 |
| 2013-02-20 | 0.325 | 0.739140 |
| 2012-11-21 | 0.325 | 0.785404 |
| 2012-08-23 | 0.325 | 0.771422 |
| 2012-05-23 | 0.300 | 0.678273 |
| 2012-02-22 | 0.300 | 0.630517 |
| 2011-11-22 | 0.300 | 0.712589 |
| 2011-08-24 | 0.300 | 0.638570 |
| 2011-05-25 | 0.250 | 0.436453 |
| 2011-02-22 | 0.250 | 0.480400 |
| 2010-11-23 | 0.250 | 0.497413 |
| 2010-08-25 | 0.250 | 0.521594 |
| 2010-05-25 | 0.125 | 0.280206 |
| 2010-02-02 | 0.125 | 0.307352 |
| 2009-11-23 | 0.125 | 0.304284 |
| 2009-08-18 | 0.125 | 0.318066 |
| 2009-05-19 | 0.125 | 0.347126 |
| 2009-02-03 | 0.125 | 0.367647 |
| 2008-11-18 | 0.125 | 0.442165 |
| 2008-08-19 | 0.125 | 0.514615 |
| 2008-05-20 | 0.125 | 0.432676 |
| 2008-02-12 | 0.125 | 0.328861 |
| 2007-11-19 | 0.125 | 0.350828 |
| 2007-08-21 | 0.125 | 0.277285 |
| 2007-05-22 | 0.125 | 0.269397 |
| 2007-02-22 | 8.000 | 16.810254 |
| 2007-02-06 | 0.125 | 0.229653 |
| 2006-11-14 | 0.125 | 0.251105 |
| 2006-08-23 | 0.125 | 0.316136 |
| 2006-05-16 | 0.125 | 0.286107 |
| 2006-02-07 | 0.125 | 0.250300 |
| 2005-11-15 | 0.125 | 0.271916 |
| 2005-08-16 | 0.125 | 0.319163 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.09222686 |
| Address1 | 14,111 Scottslawn Road |
| All Time High | 254.34 |
| All Time Low | 6.75 |
| Ask | 50.4 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.9 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,092,080 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 1,040,243 |
| Average Volume | 1,040,243 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,092,080 |
| Beta | 1.85 |
| Bid | 49.35 |
| Bid Size | 400 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | -3.586 |
| City | Marysville |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 7 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 49.72 |
| Current Ratio | 1.215 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 50.6 |
| Day Low | 48.955 |
| Display Name | Scotts Miracle-Gro |
| Dividend Date | 1,788,480,000 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.27 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,785,327,300 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,785,327,300 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.255 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.247 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,795,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,795,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,795,400 |
| Ebitda | 534,800,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.15352 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 10.017 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.538 |
| Enterprise Value | 5,357,111,808 |
| Eps Current Year | 4.4161 |
| Eps Forward | 4.70226 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 2.8 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,787,270,400 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 56.5492 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -6.829197 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.12076558 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -9.222687 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 75.34 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -25.619995 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.34005836 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 47.9 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 1.8199997 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.037995815 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 47.9 - 75.34 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 696,868,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 3.59 |
| Float Shares | 44,585,086 |
| Forward Eps | 4.70226 |
| Forward P E | 10.573639 |
| Free Cashflow | 248,500,000 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 5,200 |
| Fullday Change | 0.15999985 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.32038417 |
| Fullday Price | 49.72 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.32157 |
| Gross Profits | 1,120,199,936 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.23679 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.89064 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 58,220,274 |
| Industry | Agricultural Inputs |
| Industry Disp | Agricultural Inputs |
| Industry Key | agricultural-inputs |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,787,270,400 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.66 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,759,190,400 |
| Last Split Date | 1,131,580,800 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of products for lawn, garden care, and indoor and hydroponic gardening in the United States and internationally. The company provides lawn care products, comprising lawn fertilizers, clover and grass seed products, spreaders, and other durable products, as well as lawn-related weed, pest, and disease control products; and gardening and landscape products, which include water-soluble and continuous-release plant foods, potting mixes, garden soils, mulches and ground cover products, plant-related pest and disease control products, organic garden products, and live goods and seeding solutions. It also offers hydroponic products that help users to grow plants, flowers, and vegetables using little or no soil; lighting systems and components; insect, rodent, and weed control products for home areas; and non-selective weed killer products. The company sells its products under the Scotts, Turf Builder, Grower's Edge, EZ Seed, PatchMaster, Thick'R Lawn, GrubEx, EdgeGuard, Whirl, Wizz, Miracle-Gro, LiquaFeed, Shake N Feed, Hyponex, Earthgro, Miracle-Gro Organic, CAN-FAN, CAN-FILTERS, EcoPlus, Bug B Gon, Nature Scapes, Ortho, Miracle-Gro Performance Organics, Miracle-Gro Organic Choice, Whitney Farms, Ortho Max, Home Defense, Mother Earth, Botanicare, General Hydroponics, CYCO, Gavita, Agrolux, HydroLogic Purification System, Gro Pro, AeroGarden, Titan, Tomcat, Ortho Weed B Gon, Roundup, Groundclear, and Alchemist brands. It serves home centers, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, large hardware chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, garden centers, e-commerce platforms, and food and drug stores, as well as indoor gardening and hydroponic distributors, retailers, and growers. The company was formerly known as The Scotts Company. The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Marysville, Ohio. |
| Long Name | The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,894,712,064 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_322121 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,518,400 |
| Net Income To Common | 154,900,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,790,726,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 3,067,044,034 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 6 |
| Open | 49.97 |
| Operating Cashflow | 369,300,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.16825001 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 1.0193 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.71 |
| Phone | 937 644 0011 |
| Post Market Change | -0.22000122 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.44248033 |
| Post Market Price | 49.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,020,806 |
| Previous Close | 50.1 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 11.258803 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -13.865031 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.83097804 |
| Profit Margins | 0.02121 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.667 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.875 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.379997 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.758478 |
| Regular Market Day High | 50.6 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 48.955 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 48.955 - 50.6 |
| Regular Market Open | 49.97 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 50.1 |
| Regular Market Price | 49.72 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,008,003 |
| Regular Market Volume | 927,516 |
| Return On Assets | 0.0929 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.011 |
| Revenue Per Share | 60.009 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17004645 |
| Sector | Basic Materials |
| Sector Disp | Basic Materials |
| Sector Key | basic-materials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 9 |
| Shares Outstanding | 58,220,274 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0915 |
| Shares Short | 5,328,486 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,631,696 |
| Short Name | Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (The |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1191 |
| Short Ratio | 5.02 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | OH |
| Symbol | SMG |
| Target High Price | 82.0 |
| Target Low Price | 60.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 74.16667 |
| Target Median Price | 76.5 |
| Total Cash | 27,700,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 0.476 |
| Total Debt | 2,490,099,968 |
| Total Revenue | 3,483,500,032 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 2.64 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.052694615 |
| Trailing Eps | 2.8 |
| Trailing P E | 17.757143 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.7445 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 62.05385 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -12.333847 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.19876039 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 927,516 |
| Website | https://scottsmiraclegro.com |
| Zip | 43,041 |