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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG)

Financial Services | Banks - Diversified | Tokyo, Japan | NYSE
24.75 USD -0.01 (-0.040%) ⇩ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 24.75

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is exceptionally strong, driven by a massive 127% cumulative gain over the last nine years and a complete absence of recent consecutive annual declines. The business shows robust growth with 35% earnings expansion and 25% revenue growth, supported by a fortress balance sheet and a payout ratio that leaves ample room for reinvestment. While the forward P/E appears stretched due to a low trailing EPS base, the trajectory suggests the market is pricing in a step-change in profitability rather than a value trap. In the short term, the setup is more nuanced. The stock is trading below its 50-day average, creating a technical headwind, and the statistical forecast model offers no directional edge. However, the options flow reveals a speculative divergence: traders are buying deep OTM puts as insurance against a crash while simultaneously targeting a 30 strike for calls. This suggests a belief that the current dip is a buying opportunity for a rebound, despite the fear of further downside. The dividend yield of 2.33% provides a modest floor, though it is not the primary driver of value here. Overall, the fundamental inflection point outweighs the short-term technical hesitation.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.027884
AutoETS0.028150
AutoTheta0.028277
AutoARIMA0.060041

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 52%
H-stat 1.21
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.754
Excess Kurtosis -0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-03-30
Last Dividend Date 2025-03-30
Revenue per Share 739.1808
Market Cap 155,237,695,488
Trailing P/E 14.31
Forward P/E 60.37
Beta 0.40
Profit Margins 27.82%
Website https://www.smfg.co.jp

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 7:05 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at strikes significantly below current price (15 and 20), suggesting a fear of a sharp drop or a 'floor' scenario. Conversely, call interest is concentrated at the 30 strike, which represents a significant upside target, while near-term ATM call volume is thin. This asymmetry indicates a market expecting volatility with a potential downside gap, yet betting on a recovery toward the 30 level in the medium term.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-03-31 0.250 1.617076
2024-09-30 0.241 1.908155
2024-03-27 0.168 1.422523
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.59
dividendYield 2.39
exDividendDate 2026-03-31
trailingAnnualDividendRate 78.5
trailingAnnualDividendYield 3.1704361
lastDividendValue 0.25
lastDividendDate 2025-03-31
dividendDate 2026-07-07

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.5730623
Address1 1-2, Marunouchi 1-chome
Address2 Chiyoda-ku
All Time High 27.62
All Time Low 4.49
Ask 25.5
Ask Size 3,200
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,455,870
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,477,778
Average Volume 1,477,778
Average Volume10Days 1,455,870
Beta 0.401
Bid 24.4
Bid Size 1,800
Book Value 16.088295
City Tokyo
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Country Japan
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.75
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 25.17
Day Low 24.615
Display Name Sumitomo Mitsui Financial
Dividend Date 1,783,382,400
Dividend Rate 0.59
Dividend Yield 2.39
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,747,393,140
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,747,393,140
Earnings Growth 0.35
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.33
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,528,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,513,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,513,600
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Revenue -11.635
Enterprise Value -54,872,380,538,880
Eps Forward 0.41
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.73
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,774,915,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 20
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 25.886
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1359997
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.043884713
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 57.30623
Fifty Two Week High 27.62
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.8700008
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.10391024
Fifty Two Week Low 15.62
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.13
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.58450705
Fifty Two Week Range 15.62 - 27.62
Financial Currency JPY
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,138,372,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.06
Float Shares 6,326,674,964
Forward Eps 0.41
Forward P E 60.365852
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 123,000
Fullday Change -0.010000229
Fullday Change Percent -0.040388647
Fullday Price 24.75
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits 4,715,949,064,192
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00005
Held Percent Institutions 0.021270001
Implied Shares Outstanding 6,272,229,657
Industry Banks - Diversified
Industry Disp Banks - Diversified
Industry Key banks-diversified
Ir Website http://www.smfg.co.jp/english/investor/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,743,379,200
Last Dividend Value 0.25
Last Fiscal Year End 1,774,915,200
Last Split Date 1,288,569,600
Last Split Factor 1:2
Long Business Summary Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking, leasing, securities, consumer finance, and other services in Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and Oceania. It operates through Wholesale Business Unit, Retail Business Unit, Global Business Unit, and Global Markets Business Unit segments. The Wholesale Business Unit segment offers bilateral loans, syndicated loans, commitment lines, structured finance, project finance, and nonrecourse loans; deposits and investment trusts; risk hedging services, including forward exchange contracts and derivatives; stand-by credit, and performance bond and credit guarantee services; remittance, cash management, trade finance, and supply chain finance services; merger and acquisition, and other advisory services; digital services; and equipment, operating and leveraged leasing services. The Retail Business Unit segment provides wealth management services, such as time deposits and foreign currency deposits, investment trusts, equities, bonds, insurance products, and trust services; credit card, installment, and transaction services; and consumer finance and housing loans. The Global Business Unit segment offers loans, deposits, clearing, trade finance, project finance, loan syndication, derivatives, and global cash management services; equity and fixed income sales and trading, and underwriting services; and construction machinery, transportation equipment, industrial machinery, medical equipment, and other leasing services. The Global Markets Business Unit segment provides asset liability management and portfolio management, foreign currency funding, and sales and trading services. The company offers system development, data processing, management consulting, economic research, and asset management services. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Long Name Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 155,237,695,488
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_2481322
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 1,262,030,946,304
Next Fiscal Year End 1,806,451,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 164,799,535,475
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 24.98
Operating Margins 0.40895998
Payout Ratio 0.3362
Peg Ratio 2.09
Phone 81 3 3282 8111
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 24.75
Post Market Time 1,792,180,854
Previous Close 24.76
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5383855
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.032917593
Profit Margins 0.27818
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0100002
Regular Market Change Percent -0.0403886
Regular Market Day High 25.17
Regular Market Day Low 24.615
Regular Market Day Range 24.615 - 25.17
Regular Market Open 24.98
Regular Market Previous Close 24.76
Regular Market Price 24.75
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,802
Regular Market Volume 1,488,411
Return On Assets 0.00422
Return On Equity 0.08569
Revenue Growth 0.248
Revenue Per Share 739.1808
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Shares Outstanding 6,272,229,657
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.001
Shares Short 6,110,985
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,659,290
Short Name Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group
Short Percent Of Float 0.0015
Short Ratio 4.29
Source Interval 15
Symbol SMFG
Target High Price 15.755
Target Low Price 15.755
Target Mean Price 15.755
Target Median Price 15.755
Total Cash 114,327,583,457,280
Total Cash Per Share 18,060.24
Total Debt 59,157,176,647,680
Total Revenue 4,715,949,064,192
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 78.5
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 3.1704361
Trailing Eps 1.73
Trailing P E 14.306358
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.2316
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 23.1491
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.6009007
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.069156066
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,488,411
Website https://www.smfg.co.jp
Zip 100-0005