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YieldMax SMCI Option Income Str (SMCY)

Derivative Income | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
4.72 USD -0.10 (-2.075%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 4.67 -0.05 (-0.048%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:52 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:☆☆☆☆☆Dividends:★☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:57 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a catastrophic failure of capital preservation disguised as an income vehicle. The price has collapsed from roughly $20 to under $5 in a single year, erasing nearly 80% of the principal. While the headline yield appears astronomical at 79%, this is a mathematical illusion created by the stock price crashing faster than the payouts can keep up; the distribution is effectively eating away the remaining equity base. The options market confirms this doom, with traders piling into deep out-of-the-money puts and avoiding calls entirely, signaling a belief that the asset will go to zero. There is no long-term business here, only a shrinking liability. Avoid.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.302906
MSTL_500.303943
MSTL0.335903
AutoETS0.349480
AutoARIMA0.350390
MSTL_50_890.378891
MSTL_890.388945

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 6.87
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.123
Excess Kurtosis -0.17

As of July 11, 2026, 2:57 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection. Put open interest vastly exceeds call open interest across all expirations, with massive concentration in strikes significantly above the current price (e.g., $9, $10, $15, $20). This indicates a 'bear put spread' or protective put strategy where investors are betting on further declines or hedging against a crash, rather than anticipating a rally.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.45% 90.29%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-09 0.069 1.446541
2026-07-02 0.077 1.659483
2026-06-25 0.071 1.339623
2026-06-18 0.067 1.281071
2026-06-11 0.105 1.916058
2026-06-04 0.172 2.166247
2026-05-28 0.139 1.911967
2026-05-21 0.105 1.650943
2026-05-14 0.132 2.052877
2026-05-07 0.090 1.355422
2026-04-30 0.130 2.260870
2026-04-23 0.077 1.334489
2026-04-16 0.093 1.537190
2026-04-09 0.084 1.544118
2026-04-02 0.086 1.572212
2026-03-26 0.078 1.455224
2026-03-19 0.109 1.472973
2026-03-12 0.115 1.537433
2026-03-05 0.146 1.883871
2026-02-26 0.127 1.624041
2026-02-19 0.122 1.538462
2026-02-12 0.132 1.725490
2026-02-05 0.091 1.154822
2026-01-29 0.096 1.226054
2026-01-22 0.118 1.409797
2026-01-15 0.086 1.073658
2026-01-08 0.073 0.894608
2026-01-02 0.095 1.129608
2025-12-26 0.098 1.168057
2025-12-18 0.114 1.403941
2025-12-11 0.141 1.508021
2025-12-04 0.214 2.264550
2025-11-28 0.162 1.703470
2025-11-20 0.195 2.152318
2025-11-13 0.217 2.154916
2025-11-06 0.333 2.868217
2025-10-30 0.259 1.783747
2025-10-23 0.243 1.728307
2025-10-16 0.809 5.120253
2025-09-25 0.915 6.035620
2025-08-28 1.308 8.487995
2025-07-31 1.852 8.752363
2025-07-03 1.610 8.231084
2025-06-05 1.580 8.681318
2025-05-08 1.413 8.400714
2025-04-10 1.501 8.104751
2025-03-13 1.974 8.526998
2025-02-13 2.090 7.757981
2025-01-16 1.722 7.365270
2024-12-19 2.355 9.009182
2024-11-21 2.203 8.156238
2024-10-24 5.354 10.547052
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 79.23

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 59.2
All Time Low 4.391
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 7,500
Average Daily Volume10 Day 924,840
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,127,609
Average Volume 1,127,609
Average Volume10Days 924,840
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 3,700
Category Derivative Income
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 4.79
Day Low 4.66
Dividend Yield 79.23
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 6.0658
Fifty Day Average Change -1.3458004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.22186692
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -76.221016
Fifty Two Week High 23.79
Fifty Two Week High Change -19.070002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.80159736
Fifty Two Week Low 4.391
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.329
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.07492599
Fifty Two Week Range 4.391 - 23.79
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,726,147,800,000
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family YieldMax ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,726,012,800
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary Under normal circumstances, the fund will invest at least 80% of its net assets, plus borrowings for investment purposes, in securities and financial instruments that provide indirect exposure to SMCI. The fund is non-diversified.
Market us_market
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1884572038
Nav Price 4.7799
Net Assets 110,973,776.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.01
Open 4.76
Post Market Change -0.047899723
Post Market Change Percent -1.0148246
Post Market Price 4.6721
Post Market Time 1,783,986,778
Previous Close 4.82
Price Hint 4
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.1
Regular Market Change Percent -2.0747
Regular Market Day High 4.79
Regular Market Day Low 4.66
Regular Market Day Range 4.66 - 4.79
Regular Market Open 4.76
Regular Market Previous Close 4.82
Regular Market Price 4.72
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 447,148
Short Name YieldMax SMCI Option Income Str
Source Interval 15
Symbol SMCY
Total Assets 110,973,776
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 14.39621
Trailing Three Month Returns 14.39621
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 8.674075
Two Hundred Day Average Change -3.9540753
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.4558498
Type Disp ETF
Volume 447,148
Yield 0.79230005
Ytd Return -7.45425