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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI)

Technology | Computer Hardware | San Jose, United States | NasdaqGS
28.56 USD +0.16 (0.563%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 28.59 +0.03 (0.105%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:28 p.m. EDT

SMCI is a high-risk mean reversion play catching a bottom. While the stock has found short-term technical support around 22-23 with bright call interest above, the persistent put 'wasting' at 15-20 and weak forward earnings trajectory create a bearish bias on the horizon. The gap between earnings growth expectations and the recent price action suggests the market is pricing in a sharp drop from highs, making this a 2-3 trade for established holders waiting for a technical confirmation higher, rather than a fresh long entry.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.105684
AutoETS0.119015
MSTL0.121144
AutoARIMA0.137305

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 40%
H-stat 17.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.045
Excess Kurtosis -0.90
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 75.28
Revenue per Share 47.032
Market Cap 17,149,763,584
Trailing P/E 20.85
Forward P/E 9.56
Beta 1.63
Profit Margins 3.11%
Website https://www.supermicro.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:28 p.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility with a significant mismatch between sentiment and technicals. Call volatility is elevated (14-83% ATM IV) while Put volatility is subdued (23-83% ATM IV), creating a high premium environment for buyers. Despite this, Put OI and 'major wall' concentrations are dominant at strikes ~15-20 (e.g., 17.5k OI at 15 strike, 21.0k OI at 20 strike) across weekly expirations, suggesting a speculative hedge against a downside break. Conversely, Call OI clusters heavily at upside strikes (28-32 range), indicating bullish stop-loss placements at these levels and speculative long exposure above the current 28.56 price. The forecast predicts a -1.9% move, but the options chain suggests traders price higher variance.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.03219247
Address1 980 Rock Avenue
All Time High 122.9
All Time Low 0.363
Ask 28.65
Ask Size 31
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 30,253,400
Average Daily Volume3 Month 36,665,906
Average Volume 36,665,906
Average Volume10Days 30,253,400
Beta 1.629
Bid 28.36
Bid Size 31
Board Risk 10
Book Value 11.674
City San Jose
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 28.56
Current Ratio 1.697
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 29.12
Day Low 28.18
Debt To Equity 75.28
Display Name Super Micro Computer
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,770,156,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,770,156,000
Earnings Growth 0.192
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.249
Earnings Timestamp 1,770,152,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,011,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,011,200
Ebitda 1,096,866,048
Ebitda Margins 0.03909
Enterprise To Ebitda 16.652
Enterprise To Revenue 0.651
Enterprise Value 18,264,739,840
Eps Current Year 2.25091
Eps Forward 2.9874
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.37
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 408 503 8008
Fifty Day Average 28.5232
Fifty Day Average Change 0.036800385
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0012901913
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -3.2192469
Fifty Two Week High 62.36
Fifty Two Week High Change -33.800003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.5420142
Fifty Two Week Low 19.48
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.08
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4661191
Fifty Two Week Range 19.48 - 62.36
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,175,175,000,000
Float Shares 499,575,153
Forward Eps 2.9874
Forward P E 9.560152
Free Cashflow 103,480,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 6,238
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.0802
Gross Profits 2,250,259,968
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.13854
Held Percent Institutions 0.56428003
Implied Shares Outstanding 600,481,952
Industry Computer Hardware
Industry Disp Computer Hardware
Industry Key computer-hardware
Ir Website http://ir.supermicro.com/
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,751,241,600
Last Split Date 1,727,740,800
Last Split Factor 10:1
Long Business Summary Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company provides liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, and WIO and rackmount systems; embedded (5G/IoT/Edge) systems; and MicroCloud server systems. It also offers workstations and networking devices; and modular server subsystems and accessories, including server boards, chassis, power supplies, and other accessories. In addition, the company provides remote system management solutions, such as Server Management suite comprising Supermicro Server Manager, Supermicro Power Management software, Supermicro Update Manager, SuperCloud Composer, and SuperDoctor 5. Further, the company identifies service requirements; creates and executes project plans; conducts verification testing; offers training; and provides technical documentation. Additionally, it offers rack level services from design to deployment for full rack and cluster level deployments of AI and HPC datacenters; help desk services and on-site product support; and warranties, maintenance, and technical support services. The company serves enterprise data centers, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, 5G, and edge computing markets through direct and indirect sales force, distributors, value-added resellers, system integrators, and original equipment manufacturers. Super Micro Computer, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Long Name Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 17,149,763,584
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_6479558
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 872,780,032
Next Fiscal Year End 1,782,777,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 17,149,764,549
Number Of Analyst Opinions 15
Open 29.06
Operating Cashflow 548,956,032
Operating Margins 0.0374
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.91
Phone 408 503 8000
Post Market Change 0.030000687
Post Market Change Percent 0.105044425
Post Market Price 28.59
Post Market Time 1,776,470,393
Previous Close 28.4
Price Eps Current Year 12.688201
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.4464622
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.611245
Profit Margins 0.03111
Quick Ratio 0.981
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.88889
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.16
Regular Market Change Percent 0.56338
Regular Market Day High 29.12
Regular Market Day Low 28.18
Regular Market Day Range 28.18 - 29.12
Regular Market Open 29.06
Regular Market Previous Close 28.4
Regular Market Price 28.56
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 21,810,534
Return On Assets 0.03418
Return On Equity 0.13193
Revenue Growth 1.234
Revenue Per Share 47.032
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 9
Shares Outstanding 600,481,952
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1385
Shares Short 83,186,147
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 85,083,070
Short Name Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1852
Short Ratio 1.85
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol SMCI
Target High Price 58.0
Target Low Price 15.0
Target Mean Price 33.2
Target Median Price 32.0
Total Cash 4,106,275,072
Total Cash Per Share 6.855
Total Debt 5,263,713,792
Total Revenue 28,057,104,384
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 1.37
Trailing P E 20.846714
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 38.86975
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.3097515
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.26523843
Type Disp Equity
Volume 21,810,534
Website https://www.supermicro.com
Zip 95,131