SM Energy Company (SM)Energy | Oil & Gas E&P | Denver, United States | NYSE
39.50 USD
+1.98
(5.277%)
⇧
(Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 39.50 |
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 1:41 a.m. EDT
SM Energy presents a compelling value case driven by robust fundamentals, yet the market sentiment remains cautious due to lingering concerns about the energy sector's trajectory. Fundamentally, the company is a standout performer with revenue growing at 176% and earnings up 154%, supported by exceptional gross margins of 86% and an operating margin exceeding 60%. The balance sheet is surprisingly healthy for an E&P operator, with a payout ratio of just 18% and a forward P/E of 4.5x, suggesting significant room for share buybacks or dividend growth. The stock trades at a discount to its book value, reflecting the market's skepticism about oil prices, which seems unjustified given the operational efficiency. However, the short-term outlook is muted. The statistical forecasting model offers no directional edge, and the heavy concentration of out-of-the-money put options indicates that retail and institutional speculators are worried about a potential decline or stagnation. This defensive positioning creates a ceiling on immediate upside, even as the long-term thesis strengthens. For investors, this is a 'buy and wait' situation: the business quality is exceptional, but the market needs to resolve its commodity price fears before the stock can run to its fair value. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.108858 |
| AutoETS | 0.117230 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.120517 |
| AutoTheta | 0.126668 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 44% |
| H-stat | 0.94 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.778 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.52 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Energy |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2026-09-03 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2026-09-03 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 95.136 |
| Revenue per Share | 29.713 |
| Market Cap | 9,395,235,840 |
| Trailing P/E | 7.00 |
| Forward P/E | 4.75 |
| Beta | 0.96 |
| Profit Margins | 20.15% |
| Website | https://www.sm-energy.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 1:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound scenario with a distinct defensive bias. While there is notable open interest in out-of-the-money calls (particularly the $50 strike in November), the overwhelming majority of open interest sits in out-of-the-money puts across nearly all expirations. This heavy put positioning suggests traders are hedging against a downside move or expecting volatility to keep prices suppressed, rather than betting on a breakout. The implied volatility remains moderate, indicating a lack of extreme fear or greed.
| Last Yield | 1yr Yield | 3yr Avg | 5yr Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.60% | 4.15% | 2.79% | 2.04% |
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | 0.2200 | 0.603732 |
| 2026-06-08 | 0.2200 | 0.679642 |
| 2026-03-09 | 0.2200 | 0.845503 |
| 2025-12-26 | 0.2000 | 1.080497 |
| 2025-10-17 | 0.2000 | 0.940734 |
| 2025-07-18 | 0.2000 | 0.772499 |
| 2025-04-17 | 0.2000 | 0.868432 |
| 2025-01-24 | 0.2000 | 0.498878 |
| 2024-10-25 | 0.2000 | 0.459982 |
| 2024-07-19 | 0.1800 | 0.385852 |
| 2024-04-18 | 0.1800 | 0.374688 |
| 2024-01-18 | 0.1800 | 0.503919 |
| 2023-10-23 | 0.1500 | 0.358680 |
| 2023-07-20 | 0.1500 | 0.433401 |
| 2023-04-20 | 0.1500 | 0.536289 |
| 2023-01-19 | 0.1500 | 0.448430 |
| 2022-10-24 | 0.1500 | 0.342309 |
| 2022-04-21 | 0.0100 | 0.026350 |
| 2021-10-22 | 0.0100 | 0.032468 |
| 2021-04-22 | 0.0100 | 0.063735 |
| 2020-10-22 | 0.0100 | 0.628931 |
| 2020-04-23 | 0.0100 | 0.540541 |
| 2019-10-24 | 0.0500 | 0.645161 |
| 2019-04-25 | 0.0500 | 0.303767 |
| 2018-10-25 | 0.0500 | 0.192604 |
| 2018-04-26 | 0.0500 | 0.213584 |
| 2017-10-19 | 0.0500 | 0.274123 |
| 2017-04-19 | 0.0500 | 0.230309 |
| 2016-10-19 | 0.0500 | 0.122760 |
| 2016-04-20 | 0.0500 | 0.182615 |
| 2015-10-21 | 0.0500 | 0.138850 |
| 2015-04-22 | 0.0500 | 0.090563 |
| 2014-10-22 | 0.0500 | 0.084388 |
| 2014-04-23 | 0.0500 | 0.063549 |
| 2013-10-23 | 0.0500 | 0.060183 |
| 2013-04-24 | 0.0500 | 0.080502 |
| 2012-10-24 | 0.0500 | 0.094197 |
| 2012-04-25 | 0.0500 | 0.076069 |
| 2011-10-26 | 0.0500 | 0.060082 |
| 2011-04-27 | 0.0500 | 0.066551 |
| 2010-10-27 | 0.0500 | 0.119617 |
| 2010-04-28 | 0.0500 | 0.123640 |
| 2009-10-28 | 0.0500 | 0.148104 |
| 2009-04-29 | 0.0500 | 0.278396 |
| 2008-10-29 | 0.0500 | 0.224316 |
| 2008-04-30 | 0.0500 | 0.114364 |
| 2007-10-31 | 0.0500 | 0.118036 |
| 2007-05-02 | 0.0500 | 0.132240 |
| 2006-11-01 | 0.0500 | 0.136054 |
| 2006-05-03 | 0.0500 | 0.115473 |
| 2005-11-02 | 0.0500 | 0.142857 |
| 2005-05-04 | 0.0500 | 0.219298 |
| 2004-11-03 | 0.0250 | 0.128436 |
| 2004-05-05 | 0.0250 | 0.143266 |
| 2003-11-05 | 0.0250 | 0.193349 |
| 2003-05-07 | 0.0250 | 0.184026 |
| 2002-11-06 | 0.0250 | 0.196696 |
| 2002-05-08 | 0.0250 | 0.207297 |
| 2001-11-07 | 0.0250 | 0.263992 |
| 2001-05-09 | 0.0250 | 0.217391 |
| 2000-11-02 | 0.0125 | 0.109890 |
| 2000-08-02 | 0.0125 | 0.149533 |
| 2000-05-11 | 0.0125 | 0.143885 |
| 2000-02-09 | 0.0125 | 0.196560 |
| 1999-11-03 | 0.0125 | 0.190024 |
| 1999-08-04 | 0.0125 | 0.183276 |
| 1999-05-12 | 0.0125 | 0.250000 |
| 1999-02-10 | 0.0125 | 0.283688 |
| 1998-11-04 | 0.0125 | 0.229885 |
| 1998-08-05 | 0.0125 | 0.307692 |
| 1998-05-06 | 0.0125 | 0.160000 |
| 1998-02-11 | 0.0125 | 0.138889 |
| 1997-11-05 | 0.0125 | 0.114613 |
| 1997-07-30 | 0.0125 | 0.151515 |
| 1997-04-30 | 0.0125 | 0.192308 |
| 1997-02-12 | 0.0125 | 0.195122 |
| 1996-11-06 | 0.0100 | 0.196319 |
| 1996-07-31 | 0.0100 | 0.260163 |
| 1996-05-01 | 0.0100 | 0.248062 |
| 1996-01-31 | 0.0100 | 0.271186 |
| 1995-11-01 | 0.0100 | 0.299065 |
| 1995-08-02 | 0.0100 | 0.307692 |
| 1995-05-01 | 0.0100 | 0.313725 |
| 1995-01-30 | 0.0100 | 0.297674 |
| 1994-10-31 | 0.0100 | 0.297674 |
| 1994-08-01 | 0.0100 | 0.329897 |
| 1994-05-02 | 0.0100 | 0.285714 |
| 1994-01-31 | 0.0100 | 0.285714 |
| 1993-10-25 | 0.0100 | 0.275862 |
| 1993-07-26 | 0.0100 | 0.313725 |
| 1993-05-17 | 0.0100 | 0.250000 |
| 1993-02-12 | 0.0100 | 0.296296 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.85794926 |
| Address1 | 1,700 Lincoln Street |
| Address2 | Suite 3200 |
| All Time High | 94.0 |
| All Time Low | 0.9 |
| Ask | 39.43 |
| Ask Size | 400 |
| Audit Risk | 2 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 2,446,030 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 3,627,557 |
| Average Volume | 3,627,557 |
| Average Volume10Days | 2,446,030 |
| Beta | 0.961 |
| Bid | 38.95 |
| Bid Size | 500 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | 32.898 |
| City | Denver |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 1 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 39.5 |
| Current Ratio | 0.615 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 39.54 |
| Day Low | 37.93 |
| Debt To Equity | 95.136 |
| Display Name | SM Energy |
| Dividend Date | 1,789,948,800 |
| Dividend Rate | 0.88 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.23 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 1.539 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 4.302 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,736,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,736,000 |
| Ebitda | 3,204,999,936 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.64591 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 5.057 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.266 |
| Enterprise Value | 16,208,235,520 |
| Eps Current Year | 7.81838 |
| Eps Forward | 8.31514 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.64 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,788,480,000 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 20 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 36.0058 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 3.4942017 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.097045526 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 85.79492 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 41.56 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.0600014 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.04956692 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 17.45 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 22.05 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 1.2636102 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 17.45 - 41.56 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 724,516,200,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 0.23 |
| Float Shares | 222,745,578 |
| Forward Eps | 8.31514 |
| Forward P E | 4.750371 |
| Free Cashflow | 1,472,082,944 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 1,241 |
| Fullday Change | 1.9799995 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 5.277184 |
| Fullday Price | 39.5 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.86457 |
| Gross Profits | 4,289,999,872 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.00925 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.99885005 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 237,854,068 |
| Industry | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Disp | Oil & Gas E&P |
| Industry Key | oil-gas-e-p |
| Ir Website | http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=90687&p=irol-irhome |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,788,480,000 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.22 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Last Split Date | 1,112,313,600 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company holds working interests in oil and gas producing wells in the Midland Basin, South Texas, Uinta Basin, and DJ Basin. The company was formerly known as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company and changed its name to SM Energy Company in May 2010. SM Energy Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. |
| Long Name | SM Energy Company |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 9,395,235,840 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_323532 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 1,000,000,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 7,470,569,523 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 18 |
| Open | 37.95 |
| Operating Cashflow | 2,700,000,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.60323 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.1844 |
| Peg Ratio | 0.62 |
| Phone | 303 861 8140 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 39.5 |
| Post Market Time | 1,792,193,963 |
| Previous Close | 37.52 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 5.0521975 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.200681 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.8934374 |
| Profit Margins | 0.20153 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.521 |
| Quote Source Name | Delayed Quote |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 1.98 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 5.27718 |
| Regular Market Day High | 39.54 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 37.93 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 37.93 - 39.54 |
| Regular Market Open | 37.95 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 37.52 |
| Regular Market Price | 39.5 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,180,802 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,751,729 |
| Return On Assets | 0.06898 |
| Return On Equity | 0.16125 |
| Revenue Growth | 1.761 |
| Revenue Per Share | 29.713 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.13723719 |
| Sector | Energy |
| Sector Disp | Energy |
| Sector Key | energy |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 237,854,068 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0587 |
| Shares Short | 13,957,972 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 12,802,701 |
| Short Name | SM Energy Company |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.0686 |
| Short Ratio | 3.34 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | SM |
| Target High Price | 58.0 |
| Target Low Price | 32.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 44.55556 |
| Target Median Price | 44.5 |
| Total Cash | 620,000,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.607 |
| Total Debt | 7,432,999,936 |
| Total Revenue | 4,961,999,872 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.82 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.02185501 |
| Trailing Eps | 5.64 |
| Trailing P E | 7.003546 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 0.5501 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 29.2794 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 10.2206 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.34907135 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,751,729 |
| Website | https://www.sm-energy.com |
| Zip | 80,203 |