Simulations Plus, Inc. (SLP)Healthcare | Health Information Services | Research Triangle Park, United States | NasdaqGS
18.39 USD
-0.03
(-0.163%) ⇩
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 18.40 +0.01 (0.054%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 3:42 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Simulations Plus is currently broken by a severe multi-year structural decline. Despite a technically impressive 82% gain over the last nine years, the company has suffered three consecutive years of negative annual returns, culminating in a catastrophic -60% drop last year. This trajectory suggests the market has permanently repriced the business due to deteriorating fundamentals or a loss of competitive moat, rendering the current low valuation a reflection of reality rather than a margin of safety. While the balance sheet remains pristine with minimal debt and strong cash flow, the stock is trading at a forward P/E of roughly 21x, which is not cheap for a software firm with only 7.5% revenue growth. The recent agreement to a $375 million cash buyout provides a definitive floor, but the stock has already rallied significantly off its lows, leaving little room for further capital appreciation before the deal closes. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts while avoiding calls entirely. The dividend yield is negligible and insufficient to offset the capital destruction risk. Until the buyout closes and the uncertainty resolves, this remains a speculative hold rather than a buy. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL ✓ | 0.004884 |
| AutoETS | 0.009796 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.009796 |
| AutoTheta | 0.051255 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 46% |
| H-stat | 1.18 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.694 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.32 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Ex Dividend Date | 2024-07-28 |
| Last Dividend Date | 2024-07-28 |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 0.35 |
| Revenue per Share | 4.07 |
| Market Cap | 371,934,752 |
| Trailing P/E | 45.98 |
| Forward P/E | 20.84 |
| Beta | 1.33 |
| Profit Margins | 9.88% |
| Website | https://www.simulations-plus.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 3:42 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in September and December compared to negligible call volume. The implied volatility skew is extreme, with deep put strikes trading at significantly higher IV than ATM options, indicating a market consensus of significant downside risk rather than upside potential.
| Date | Dividend | Yield % |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | 0.06 | 0.149105 |
| 2024-04-26 | 0.06 | 0.134258 |
| 2024-01-26 | 0.06 | 0.154400 |
| 2023-10-27 | 0.06 | 0.176678 |
| 2023-07-28 | 0.06 | 0.121605 |
| 2023-04-21 | 0.06 | 0.139082 |
| 2023-01-27 | 0.06 | 0.151668 |
| 2022-10-28 | 0.06 | 0.140878 |
| 2022-07-22 | 0.06 | 0.099108 |
| 2022-04-22 | 0.06 | 0.123941 |
| 2022-01-28 | 0.06 | 0.146915 |
| 2021-10-22 | 0.06 | 0.152400 |
| 2021-07-23 | 0.06 | 0.126716 |
| 2021-04-23 | 0.06 | 0.087007 |
| 2021-01-22 | 0.06 | 0.080418 |
| 2020-10-23 | 0.06 | 0.085641 |
| 2020-07-24 | 0.06 | 0.091241 |
| 2020-04-23 | 0.06 | 0.141376 |
| 2020-01-24 | 0.06 | 0.177989 |
| 2019-10-24 | 0.06 | 0.178891 |
| 2019-07-24 | 0.06 | 0.164294 |
| 2019-04-23 | 0.06 | 0.271862 |
| 2019-01-24 | 0.06 | 0.311850 |
| 2018-10-31 | 0.06 | 0.296883 |
| 2018-07-25 | 0.06 | 0.317460 |
| 2018-04-24 | 0.06 | 0.341880 |
| 2018-01-25 | 0.06 | 0.372671 |
| 2017-11-10 | 0.06 | 0.363636 |
| 2017-07-26 | 0.05 | 0.318471 |
| 2017-05-04 | 0.05 | 0.395257 |
| 2017-01-26 | 0.05 | 0.507614 |
| 2016-11-08 | 0.05 | 0.571429 |
| 2016-08-09 | 0.05 | 0.603865 |
| 2016-04-28 | 0.05 | 0.609756 |
| 2016-01-27 | 0.05 | 0.484027 |
| 2015-11-05 | 0.05 | 0.561798 |
| 2015-07-21 | 0.05 | 0.741840 |
| 2015-05-07 | 0.05 | 0.847458 |
| 2015-01-22 | 0.05 | 0.763359 |
| 2014-11-05 | 0.05 | 0.778816 |
| 2014-07-31 | 0.05 | 0.837521 |
| 2014-05-07 | 0.05 | 0.830565 |
| 2014-02-12 | 0.05 | 0.854701 |
| 2013-11-06 | 0.04 | 0.739372 |
| 2013-08-08 | 0.03 | 0.625000 |
| 2013-05-03 | 0.03 | 0.750000 |
| 2012-12-20 | 0.14 | 3.233256 |
| 2012-11-06 | 0.05 | 1.077586 |
| 2012-08-03 | 0.05 | 1.204819 |
| 2012-04-25 | 0.05 | 1.133787 |
| 2012-02-16 | 0.05 | 1.201923 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.2779708 |
| Address1 | 800 Park Offices Drive |
| Address2 | Suite 401 |
| All Time High | 90.92 |
| All Time Low | 0.140625 |
| Ask | 23.61 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 5 |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 160,610 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 417,846 |
| Average Volume | 417,846 |
| Average Volume10Days | 160,610 |
| Beta | 1.334 |
| Bid | 13.25 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 6.877 |
| City | Research Triangle Park |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 18.39 |
| Current Ratio | 5.538 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 18.42 |
| Day Low | 18.39 |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 |
| Display Name | Simulations Plus |
| Dividend Date | 1,722,816,000 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,775,768,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,775,768,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,783,627,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,304,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,304,000 |
| Ebitda | 15,016,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.18299 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 21.473 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 3.929 |
| Enterprise Value | 322,431,776 |
| Eps Current Year | 0.86 |
| Eps Forward | 0.8825 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 0.4 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Ex Dividend Date | 1,722,211,200 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 18.3028 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.087200165 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0047643078 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 27.79708 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 21.01 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.6200008 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.12470256 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 11.09 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 7.299999 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.6582506 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 11.09 - 21.01 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 866,640,600,000 |
| Five Year Avg Dividend Yield | 0.52 |
| Float Shares | 16,809,267 |
| Forward Eps | 0.8825 |
| Forward P E | 20.838526 |
| Free Cashflow | 18,406,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 212 |
| Fullday Change | -0.030000687 |
| Fullday Change Percent | -0.16287018 |
| Fullday Price | 18.4 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.63376 |
| Gross Profits | 52,005,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.16912001 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.79433995 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 20,224,838 |
| Industry | Health Information Services |
| Industry Disp | Health Information Services |
| Industry Key | health-information-services |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Dividend Date | 1,722,211,200 |
| Last Dividend Value | 0.06 |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,756,598,400 |
| Last Split Date | 1,191,283,200 |
| Last Split Factor | 2:1 |
| Long Business Summary | Simulations Plus, Inc. develops drug discovery and development software for modeling and simulation, and prediction of molecular properties utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning based technology worldwide. It operates through Software and Services segments. The company offers GastroPlus, which predicts absorption, biopharmaceutics, pharmacokinetics, and pharmacodynamics in humans and animals; and DDDPlus and MembranePlus simulation products. It also provides products based on mechanistic and mathematical models, such as DILIsym, NAFLDsym, ILDsym, IPFsym, RENAsym, MITOsym, OBESITYsym, and Thales products. In addition, the company offers Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism, Excretion, and Toxicity (ADMET) predictor for chemistry-based computer program that takes molecular structures as inputs and predicts their properties; and MedChem Designer, as well as MonolixSuite products for modeling and simulation that allows for population analyses, rapid clinical trial data analyses, and regulatory submissions. Further, it provides clinical-pharmacology-based consulting services, which includes population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modeling, exposure-response analyses, clinical trial simulations, data programming, and technical writing services in support of regulatory submissions; and early drug discovery services. Additionally, the company offers creative and insightful consulting services to support its quantitative systems pharmacology and other modeling systems. The company serves pharmaceutical, biotechnology, agrochemical, cosmetics, and food industry companies, as well as academic and regulatory agencies. Simulations Plus, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Research Triangle Park, North Carolina. |
| Long Name | Simulations Plus, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 371,934,752 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_366946 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,780,185,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 8,105,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,788,134,400 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 372,440,391 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 2 |
| Open | 18.42 |
| Operating Cashflow | 24,942,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.22840999 |
| Overall Risk | 3 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 9.88 |
| Phone | 661 723 7723 |
| Post Market Change | 0.010000229 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.054378625 |
| Post Market Price | 18.4 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,959,805 |
| Previous Close | 18.42 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 21.38372 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 2.6741312 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 4.5325837 |
| Profit Margins | 0.09877 |
| Quick Ratio | 5.307 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | none |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | -0.030000687 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | -0.16287018 |
| Regular Market Day High | 18.42 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 18.39 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 18.39 - 18.42 |
| Regular Market Open | 18.42 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 18.42 |
| Regular Market Price | 18.39 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,201 |
| Regular Market Volume | 139,108 |
| Return On Assets | 0.054819997 |
| Return On Equity | 0.061680004 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.075 |
| Revenue Per Share | 4.07 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20204377 |
| Sector | Healthcare |
| Sector Disp | Healthcare |
| Sector Key | healthcare |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 20,224,838 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.13939999 |
| Shares Short | 2,818,580 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,780,772 |
| Short Name | Simulations Plus, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1965 |
| Short Ratio | 7.35 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NC |
| Symbol | SLP |
| Target High Price | 18.5 |
| Target Low Price | 16.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 17.25 |
| Target Median Price | 17.25 |
| Total Cash | 49,990,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.472 |
| Total Debt | 487,000 |
| Total Revenue | 82,058,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 0.4 |
| Trailing P E | 45.975 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 16.31595 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 2.074049 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.12711787 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 139,108 |
| Website | https://www.simulations-plus.com |
| Zip | 27,709 |