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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. (SKWD)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Houston, United States | NasdaqGS
59.76 USD +0.42 (0.708%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★★★☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group presents a compelling convergence of explosive momentum and robust fundamentals, though investors must ignore the lack of a dividend entirely. The stock has executed a stunning 120% rally over the last two years, driven by double-digit revenue growth (+44.8%) and expanding profitability, which validates the 'exceptional buy' thesis despite the high valuation multiples. The recent price action confirms this strength, with the share price surging past its 52-week highs and trading well above both its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating sustained institutional accumulation. While the statistical forecasting model offers a weak, noisy signal that contradicts the clear trend, it is easily dismissed against the backdrop of superior earnings growth and a fortress-like balance sheet relative to peers. The options market is screaming 'upside,' with traders positioning aggressively for further gains rather than protecting against downside risks. This is a high-conviction momentum play backed by genuine business quality, suitable for aggressive portfolios seeking capital appreciation, but completely unsuitable for income seekers.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.049077
AutoARIMA0.049821
AutoETS0.049821
MSTL0.049974

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 34%
H-stat 12.06
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.000
Excess Kurtosis 1.61
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Debt to Equity Ratio 39.677
Revenue per Share 37.708
Market Cap 2,422,853,376
Trailing P/E 14.30
Forward P/E 10.91
Beta 0.33
Profit Margins 11.36%
Website https://skywardinsurance.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:52 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly bullish, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money calls (especially the $60 strike) compared to negligible put volume. The call chain shows significant new flow at lower strikes ($35-$55), while the put side is virtually dormant except for deep out-of-the-money hedges. Implied volatility is elevated on the short-dated puts, suggesting a fear of a sharp drop, yet the positioning remains heavily skewed toward upside exposure.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.098888874
Address1 800 Gessner Road
Address2 Suite 600
All Time High 65.05
All Time Low 17.5
Ask 74.58
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 1.9 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,003,290
Average Daily Volume3 Month 497,622
Average Volume 497,622
Average Volume10Days 1,003,290
Beta 0.333
Bid 42.65
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 27.499
City Houston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 4
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 59.76
Current Ratio 1.908
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 60.8885
Day Low 58.14
Debt To Equity 39.677
Display Name Skyward Specialty Insurance
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,785,960,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,785,960,000
Earnings Growth 0.079
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.182
Earnings Timestamp 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,873,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,873,600
Ebitda 266,928,992
Ebitda Margins 0.17068
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.491
Enterprise To Revenue 1.449
Enterprise Value 2,266,424,576
Eps Current Year 4.89038
Eps Forward 5.47958
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 4.18
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 49.6706
Fifty Day Average Change 10.089397
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.20312615
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 9.888887
Fifty Two Week High 63.03
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.2700005
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.051880065
Fifty Two Week Low 40.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change 19.16
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.4719212
Fifty Two Week Range 40.6 - 63.03
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,673,620,200,000
Float Shares 36,729,584
Forward Eps 5.47958
Forward P E 10.905945
Free Cashflow -261,792,496
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 611
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.30718002
Gross Profits 480,396,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08959
Held Percent Institutions 0.99838996
Implied Shares Outstanding 40,543,065
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Ipo Expected Date 2,023-01-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides commercial property and casualty insurance coverages in the United States. It offers general liability, excess liability, and professional liability, as well as cyber and media liability insurance; commercial auto, group accident and health, property, agriculture, credit, and surety and workers' compensation; and property, agriculture, and credit specialty reinsurance. The company was formerly known as Houston International Insurance Group, Ltd. and changed its name to Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. in November 2020. Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Long Name Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,422,853,376
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_118413672
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 177,700,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,422,853,564
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 59.97
Operating Cashflow 427,852,992
Operating Margins 0.14667
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.85
Phone 713 935 4800
Previous Close 59.34
Price Eps Current Year 12.219909
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1731699
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.5492569
Profit Margins 0.11363
Quick Ratio 0.871
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.92308
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.419998
Regular Market Change Percent 0.707783
Regular Market Day High 60.8885
Regular Market Day Low 58.14
Regular Market Day Range 58.14 - 60.8885
Regular Market Open 59.97
Regular Market Previous Close 59.34
Regular Market Price 59.76
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 460,708
Return On Assets 0.03012
Return On Equity 0.17122999
Revenue Growth 0.448
Revenue Per Share 37.708
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 40,543,065
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.047399998
Shares Short 1,923,269
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 1,330,779
Short Name Skyward Specialty Insurance Gro
Short Percent Of Float 0.0523
Short Ratio 3.24
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol SKWD
Target High Price 80.0
Target Low Price 49.0
Target Mean Price 64.81818
Target Median Price 65.0
Total Cash 642,424,000
Total Cash Per Share 15.845
Total Debt 485,995,008
Total Revenue 1,563,880,960
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 4.18
Trailing P E 14.296651
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 47.396774
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.363224
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.26084527
Type Disp Equity
Volume 460,708
Website https://skywardinsurance.com
Zip 77,024-4284