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The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Orrville, United States | NYSE
110.53 USD -1.07 (-0.959%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 110.21 -0.32 (-0.320%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:50 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:19 a.m. EDT

The most critical tension here is between the attractive forward valuation and the deteriorating core profitability. While the forward P/E of 10.4x looks cheap, the company is currently reporting negative earnings and negative return on equity, which casts doubt on the sustainability of the turnaround implied by the analyst targets. The balance sheet is also strained, with a current ratio below 1.0 and significant debt relative to equity. On the short-term side, technicals are supportive with the price trading above key moving averages, and analyst consensus leans bullish, but options flow reveals a defensive bias with more put volume than call volume in the immediate months. For the long term, the nine-year price trajectory shows a substantial decline, and while the consecutive negative years at the end of the window are only two, the underlying fundamentals remain fragile. The dividend yield is compelling at nearly 4%, but the payout ratio sits at 86%, which is aggressive given the negative trailing earnings, relying instead on strong operating cash flow to sustain the checks. Investors should view this as a speculative recovery play rather than a stable compounder.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.086588
AutoETS0.086589
MSTL0.089289
AutoTheta0.090591

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 39%
H-stat 26.53
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.015
Excess Kurtosis 0.09
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-14
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-14
Debt to Equity Ratio 128.609
Revenue per Share 84.826
Market Cap 11,813,522,432
Forward P/E 10.32
Beta 0.25
Profit Margins -1.53%
Website https://www.jmsmucker.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:19 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively in the near term, with significantly higher open interest in puts compared to calls for the July and September expirations, suggesting hedging against downside risk. However, longer-dated calls show notable concentration at the 130 and 140 strikes, indicating some speculative upside bets. Implied volatility remains elevated at deep out-of-the-money strikes across both sides.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.09% 4.09% 3.83% 3.45%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-15 1.10 1.094092
2026-02-13 1.10 0.995205
2025-11-14 1.10 1.007880
2025-08-15 1.10 0.993138
2025-05-16 1.08 0.951626
2025-02-14 1.08 1.058512
2024-11-15 1.08 1.010101
2024-08-16 1.08 0.909014
2024-05-16 1.06 0.916321
2024-02-15 1.06 0.852022
2023-11-16 1.06 0.952638
2023-08-17 1.06 0.752413
2023-05-11 1.02 0.648072
2023-02-09 1.02 0.698248
2022-11-09 1.02 0.690916
2022-08-11 1.02 0.768883
2022-05-12 0.99 0.684127
2022-02-10 0.99 0.741073
2021-11-10 0.99 0.775801
2021-08-12 0.99 0.756187
2021-05-13 0.90 0.660841
2021-02-11 0.90 0.789681
2020-11-12 0.90 0.763683
2020-08-13 0.90 0.785135
2020-05-14 0.88 0.771456
2020-02-13 0.88 0.816933
2019-11-14 0.88 0.842186
2019-08-15 0.88 0.775126
2019-05-16 0.85 0.675998
2019-02-14 0.85 0.837109
2018-11-15 0.85 0.752612
2018-08-16 0.85 0.758319
2018-05-10 0.78 0.683252
2018-02-08 0.78 0.658951
2017-11-09 0.78 0.760234
2017-08-09 0.78 0.638350
2017-05-10 0.75 0.598372
2017-02-08 0.75 0.546687
2016-11-08 0.75 0.565696
2016-08-10 0.75 0.487045
2016-05-11 0.67 0.513567
2016-02-10 0.67 0.524175
2015-11-10 0.67 0.584031
2015-08-12 0.67 0.612711
2015-05-13 0.64 0.548979
2015-02-11 0.64 0.575229
2014-11-12 0.64 0.637577
2014-08-13 0.64 0.623356
2014-05-14 0.58 0.588295
2014-02-12 0.58 0.618931
2013-11-13 0.58 0.537385
2013-08-14 0.58 0.515235
2013-05-15 0.52 0.499952
2013-02-13 0.52 0.575667
2012-11-14 0.52 0.606768
2012-08-08 0.52 0.676819
2012-05-09 0.48 0.633329
2012-02-08 0.48 0.609137
2011-11-08 0.48 0.612557
2011-08-10 0.48 0.667965
2011-05-11 0.44 0.588786
2011-02-09 0.44 0.698745
2010-11-09 0.40 0.630120
2010-08-11 0.40 0.691802
2010-05-12 0.40 0.688824
2010-02-10 0.35 0.586166
2009-11-10 0.35 0.645518
2009-08-12 0.35 0.679216
2009-05-13 0.35 0.872818
2009-02-11 0.32 0.755608
2008-11-17 0.32 0.820303
2008-09-26 5.00 9.684292
2008-08-13 0.32 0.633663
2008-05-14 0.32 0.619915
2008-02-13 0.30 0.618047
2007-11-13 0.30 0.566893
2007-08-14 0.30 0.538987
2007-05-11 0.30 0.528728
2007-02-08 0.28 0.583212
2006-11-13 0.28 0.563154
2006-08-14 0.28 0.642202
2006-05-11 0.28 0.693928
2006-02-09 0.27 0.645007
2005-11-09 0.27 0.586829
2005-08-12 0.27 0.573492
2005-05-12 0.27 0.538815
2005-02-10 0.25 0.526981
2004-11-15 0.25 0.528318
2004-08-16 0.25 0.559534
2004-05-14 0.25 0.500400
2004-02-12 0.23 0.488115
2003-11-13 0.23 0.515926
2003-08-15 0.23 0.577164
2003-05-15 0.23 0.634133
2003-02-12 0.20 0.519346
2002-11-14 0.20 0.580889
2002-08-16 0.20 0.555247
2002-05-16 0.16 0.471281
2002-02-13 0.16 0.512985
2001-11-15 0.16 0.500313
2001-08-17 0.16 0.598131
2001-05-16 0.16 0.597907
2001-02-13 0.16 0.586941
2000-11-15 0.16 0.625917
Additional Data
dividendRate 4.4
dividendYield 3.94
exDividendDate 2026-05-15
trailingAnnualDividendRate 4.4
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.039426524
lastDividendValue 1.1
lastDividendDate 2026-05-15
dividendDate 2026-06-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.065800786
Address1 One Strawberry Lane
All Time High 163.07
All Time Low 15.0
Ask 0.0
Ask Size 200
Audit Risk 5
Average Analyst Rating 2.1 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,572,070
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,803,137
Average Volume 1,803,137
Average Volume10Days 1,572,070
Beta 0.247
Bid 0.0
Bid Size 200
Board Risk 5
Book Value 51.975
City Orrville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 7
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 110.53
Current Ratio 0.777
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 113.7775
Day Low 110.1
Debt To Equity 128.609
Dividend Date 1,780,272,000
Dividend Rate 4.4
Dividend Yield 3.94
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,781,010,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,781,010,000
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,787,833,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,787,833,800
Ebitda 1,926,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.21280001
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.793
Enterprise To Revenue 2.084
Enterprise Value 18,860,566,528
Eps Current Year 10.00427
Eps Forward 10.71414
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.29
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,803,200
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 106.2246
Fifty Day Average Change 4.305397
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.040531073
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 6.5800786
Fifty Two Week High 119.39
Fifty Two Week High Change -8.860001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.07421058
Fifty Two Week Low 88.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 22.279999
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.25246456
Fifty Two Week Range 88.25 - 119.39
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 783,613,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.38
Float Shares 104,353,964
Forward Eps 10.71414
Forward P E 10.316274
Free Cashflow 1,005,774,976
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.34257
Gross Profits 3,100,600,064
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0227
Held Percent Institutions 0.94288003
Implied Shares Outstanding 106,880,690
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=77952&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,803,200
Last Dividend Value 1.1
Last Fiscal Year End 1,777,507,200
Long Business Summary The J. M. Smucker Company manufactures and markets branded food and beverage products worldwide. The company operates through five segments: U.S. Retail Coffee, U.S. Retail Frozen Handheld and Spreads, U.S. Retail Pet Foods, Sweet Baked Snacks, and Away From Home. It offers coffee, sweet baked goods, pet snacks, frozen handheld products, peanut butter, cat and dog food, fruit and specialty spreads, cookies, frozen sandwiches and snacks, hot beverages, portion control products, toppings and syrups, baking mixes and ingredients, and flour. The company provides its products under the Folgers, Café Bustelo, Dunkin', Jif, Smucker's, Uncrustables, Meow Mix, Milk-Bone, Pup-Peroni, Canine Carry Outs, Hostess, and 1850 brand names. It sells its products through direct sales and brokers to food retailers, club stores, discount and dollar stores, online retailers, pet specialty stores, distributors, drug stores, military commissaries, mass merchandisers, supermarket chains, national mass retailers, convenience stores, vending channels, and foodservice distributors and operators. The J. M. Smucker Company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Orrville, Ohio.
Long Name The J. M. Smucker Company
Market us_market
Market Cap 11,813,522,432
Market State PREPRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303591
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common -138,700,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,809,043,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 11,927,885,004
Number Of Analyst Opinions 16
Open 112.75
Operating Cashflow 1,473,600,000
Operating Margins 0.18456
Overall Risk 8
Payout Ratio 0.8606
Peg Ratio 2.17
Phone 330 682 3000
Post Market Change -0.3199997
Post Market Change Percent -0.2895139
Post Market Price 110.21
Post Market Time 1,783,986,601
Previous Close 111.6
Price Eps Current Year 11.048283
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.1265993
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.3052317
Profit Margins -0.015319999
Quick Ratio 0.282
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.10526
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.07
Regular Market Change Percent -0.958781
Regular Market Day High 113.7775
Regular Market Day Low 110.1
Regular Market Day Range 110.1 - 113.7775
Regular Market Open 112.75
Regular Market Previous Close 111.6
Regular Market Price 110.53
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,802
Regular Market Volume 1,178,340
Return On Assets 0.05065
Return On Equity -0.02386
Revenue Growth 0.058
Revenue Per Share 84.826
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 106,880,690
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.052600004
Shares Short 5,622,306
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 5,060,741
Short Name The J.M. Smucker Company
Short Percent Of Float 0.0539
Short Ratio 3.14
Source Interval 15
State OH
Symbol SJM
Target High Price 135.0
Target Low Price 98.0
Target Mean Price 122.3125
Target Median Price 125.0
Total Cash 58,600,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.549
Total Debt 7,129,800,192
Total Revenue 9,050,900,480
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 4.4
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.039426524
Trailing Eps -1.29
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 103.80445
Two Hundred Day Average Change 6.725548
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.064790554
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,178,340
Website https://www.jmsmucker.com
Zip 44,667-0280