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Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI)

Financial Services | Insurance - Property & Casualty | Branchville, United States | NasdaqGS
88.56 USD +1.25 (1.438%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 11:08 a.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★★⯪☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT

Selective Insurance Group presents a compelling value proposition anchored by a robust nine-year track record of capital appreciation, yet the stock is currently trading below its 200-day moving average, reflecting near-term headwinds. While the company delivered a strong earnings beat in Q2 and maintains a healthy payout ratio with a growing dividend, the balance sheet shows elevated leverage and tight liquidity ratios that warrant caution. The long-term trajectory remains positive despite the last two years of price compression, suggesting the market may be pricing in cyclical pressures rather than structural decline. For investors seeking income and value, the low valuation multiples offer a margin of safety, though the lack of immediate momentum suggests patience is required.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.058013
AutoARIMA0.058683
AutoETS0.058819
AutoTheta0.066413

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 51%
H-stat 17.57
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.159
Excess Kurtosis -1.40
Attribute Value
Sector Financial Services
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-16
Debt to Equity Ratio 24.596
Revenue per Share 91.026
Market Cap 5,277,878,272
Trailing P/E 10.99
Forward P/E 10.07
Beta 0.25
Profit Margins 9.10%
Website https://www.selective.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 5:54 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a range-bound recovery with asymmetric downside protection. Call interest clusters at the $100 strike for later expirations, targeting a return to prior highs, while October puts show elevated implied volatility at the $90 level, indicating a hedge against near-term weakness.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.47% 2.00% 1.73% 1.57%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-17 0.430000 0.466884
2026-05-15 0.430000 0.487528
2026-02-13 0.430000 0.497570
2025-11-14 0.430000 0.548190
2025-08-15 0.380000 0.495372
2025-05-15 0.380000 0.428749
2025-02-14 0.380000 0.462568
2024-11-15 0.380000 0.384071
2024-08-15 0.350000 0.394322
2024-05-14 0.350000 0.361570
2024-02-14 0.350000 0.337382
2023-11-14 0.350000 0.340202
2023-08-14 0.300000 0.298211
2023-05-12 0.300000 0.292141
2023-02-14 0.300000 0.299252
2022-11-14 0.300000 0.322200
2022-08-12 0.280000 0.342885
2022-05-13 0.280000 0.367021
2022-02-14 0.280000 0.368664
2021-11-12 0.280000 0.350088
2021-08-12 0.250000 0.298009
2021-05-13 0.250000 0.328386
2021-02-11 0.250000 0.363636
2020-11-12 0.250000 0.425532
2020-08-13 0.230000 0.411817
2020-05-15 0.230000 0.494411
2020-02-13 0.230000 0.328947
2019-11-14 0.230000 0.340741
2019-08-14 0.200000 0.256772
2019-05-14 0.200000 0.284091
2019-02-14 0.200000 0.305297
2018-11-14 0.200000 0.321285
2018-08-14 0.180000 0.288925
2018-05-14 0.180000 0.326087
2018-02-14 0.180000 0.307692
2017-11-14 0.180000 0.309544
2017-08-11 0.160000 0.322256
2017-05-11 0.160000 0.320641
2017-02-13 0.160000 0.369089
2016-11-10 0.160000 0.415045
2016-08-11 0.150000 0.383730
2016-05-12 0.150000 0.413451
2016-02-11 0.150000 0.457178
2015-11-10 0.150000 0.423729
2015-08-12 0.140000 0.444303
2015-05-13 0.140000 0.521610
2015-02-11 0.140000 0.507246
2014-11-12 0.140000 0.518903
2014-08-13 0.130000 0.554607
2014-05-13 0.130000 0.551315
2014-02-12 0.130000 0.590372
2013-11-13 0.130000 0.486345
2013-08-13 0.130000 0.533881
2013-05-13 0.130000 0.547830
2013-02-13 0.130000 0.603528
2012-11-13 0.130000 0.737798
2012-08-13 0.130000 0.747556
2012-05-11 0.130000 0.755375
2012-02-13 0.130000 0.712719
2011-11-10 0.130000 0.819672
2011-08-11 0.130000 0.868984
2011-05-11 0.130000 0.750577
2011-02-11 0.130000 0.706522
2010-11-09 0.130000 0.765156
2010-08-11 0.130000 0.860357
2010-05-12 0.130000 0.791236
2010-02-10 0.130000 0.835476
2009-11-10 0.130000 0.852459
2009-08-12 0.130000 0.781720
2009-05-13 0.130000 0.999231
2009-02-11 0.130000 0.915493
2008-11-12 0.130000 0.645482
2008-08-13 0.130000 0.545531
2008-05-13 0.130000 0.614077
2008-02-13 0.130000 0.536304
2007-11-13 0.130000 0.546908
2007-08-13 0.120000 0.552741
2007-05-11 0.120000 0.449775
2007-02-09 0.120000 0.469025
2006-11-13 0.110000 0.405829
2006-08-11 0.110000 0.437463
2006-05-11 0.110000 0.411061
2006-02-13 0.110000 0.406204
2005-11-10 0.110000 0.380689
2005-08-11 0.095000 0.394027
2005-05-12 0.095000 0.414124
2005-02-11 0.095000 0.395586
2004-11-10 0.095000 0.454002
2004-08-12 0.085000 0.486827
2004-05-06 0.085000 0.482406
2004-02-12 0.085000 0.468191
2003-11-13 0.085000 0.540025
2003-08-14 0.075000 0.537442
2003-05-15 0.075000 0.563910
2003-02-13 0.075000 0.679964
2002-11-14 0.075000 0.598325
2002-08-15 0.075000 0.626043
2002-05-16 0.075000 0.518135
2002-02-14 0.075000 0.693481
2001-11-15 0.075000 0.662544
2001-08-16 0.075000 0.582298
2001-05-11 0.075000 0.639114
2001-02-15 0.075000 0.623377
2000-11-13 0.075000 0.747664
2000-08-11 0.075000 0.842105
2000-05-11 0.075000 0.792079
2000-02-11 0.075000 1.000000
1999-11-10 0.075000 0.851064
1999-08-12 0.075000 0.808081
1999-05-12 0.075000 0.750000
1999-02-11 0.070000 0.764505
1998-11-12 0.070000 0.660767
1998-08-12 0.070000 0.732026
1998-05-13 0.070000 0.520930
1998-02-11 0.070000 0.516129
1997-11-13 0.070000 0.506787
1997-08-13 0.070000 0.523364
1997-05-13 0.070000 0.638177
1997-02-12 0.070000 0.666667
1996-11-13 0.070000 0.826568
1996-08-13 0.070000 0.854962
1996-05-13 0.070000 0.864865
1996-02-20 0.070000 0.751678
1995-11-13 0.070000 0.744186
1995-08-11 0.070000 0.848485
1995-05-09 0.070000 0.957265
1995-02-09 0.070000 1.009009
1994-11-08 0.070000 1.125628
1994-08-09 0.070000 1.018182
1994-05-10 0.070000 1.066667
1994-02-09 0.070000 0.978166
1993-11-08 0.070000 0.941176
1993-08-10 0.070000 1.000000
1993-05-11 0.070000 1.230769
1992-11-09 0.070000 1.349398
1992-08-10 0.070000 1.317647
1992-05-11 0.070000 1.435897
1992-02-10 0.065000 1.414966
1991-11-08 0.065000 1.529412
1991-08-09 0.065000 1.704918
1991-05-09 0.065000 1.575758
1990-11-08 0.065000 1.925926
1990-08-09 0.065000 1.677419
1990-02-09 0.060000 1.324138
1989-11-09 0.060000 1.352113
1989-08-09 0.040000 0.941176
1989-05-09 0.058333 1.399992
1989-02-09 0.051667 1.362646
1988-11-08 0.051667 1.227731
1988-08-09 0.051667 1.215694
1988-05-10 0.051667 1.319157
1988-02-09 0.045000 1.255814
1987-11-09 0.045000 1.241379
1987-08-10 0.045000 1.000000
1987-05-11 0.038333 0.893196
1987-02-09 0.038333 1.010980
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.72
dividendYield 1.97
exDividendDate 2026-08-17
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.67
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019129438
lastDividendValue 0.43
lastDividendDate 2026-08-17
dividendDate 2026-09-01

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.07578564
Address1 40 Wantage Avenue
All Time High 109.58
All Time Low 0.763889
Ask 112.92
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 2
Average Analyst Rating 2.9 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 442,470
Average Daily Volume3 Month 477,059
Average Volume 477,059
Average Volume10Days 442,470
Beta 0.254
Bid 88.48
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 58.134
City Branchville
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 1
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 88.555
Current Ratio 0.318
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 88.695
Day Low 87.01
Debt To Equity 24.596
Display Name Selective Insurance
Dividend Date 1,788,220,800
Dividend Rate 1.72
Dividend Yield 1.97
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,792,756,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,792,756,800
Earnings Growth 0.551
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.505
Earnings Timestamp 1,792,699,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,792,699,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,792,699,200
Ebitda 715,995,008
Ebitda Margins 0.13087
Enterprise To Ebitda 8.271
Enterprise To Revenue 1.082
Enterprise Value 5,921,907,200
Eps Current Year 8.27125
Eps Forward 8.79125
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 8.06
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 89.3742
Fifty Day Average Change -0.8191986
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.009165941
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 7.5785637
Fifty Two Week High 100.4
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.845001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.117978096
Fifty Two Week Low 72.78
Fifty Two Week Low Change 15.775002
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.21674913
Fifty Two Week Range 72.78 - 100.4
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 322,151,400,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.44
Float Shares 55,689,382
Forward Eps 8.79125
Forward P E 10.073084
Free Cashflow 1,355,778,304
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,800
Fullday Change 1.2549973
Fullday Change Percent 1.4375684
Fullday Price 88.555
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.22764
Gross Profits 1,245,433,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0073900004
Held Percent Institutions 0.90282
Implied Shares Outstanding 59,600,000
Industry Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Disp Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Key insurance-property-casualty
Ir Website http://www.selective.com/WebApplications/EDS/PublicSite/Investor_Relations/Investor_Landing.aspx?MenuPath=.3265.3270.&LinkType=CONTENT&ContentID=1905&MenuID=3270
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,924,800
Last Dividend Value 0.43
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,172,016,000
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Selective Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products and services in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, E&S Lines, and Investments. It offers casualty insurance products that covers the financial consequences of third-party bodily injury and/or property damage from an insured's negligent acts, omissions, and legal liabilities; property insurance products, which covers the accidental loss of an insured's real property, personal property, and/or earnings due to the property's loss; and flood insurance products. The company also invests in fixed income investments and commercial mortgage loans, as well as equity securities, short-term investments, and alternative investments, and other investments. It offers its insurance products and services to businesses, non-profit organizations, local government agencies, and individuals through independent retail agents and wholesale general agents. Selective Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Branchville, New Jersey.
Long Name Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 5,277,878,272
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_302804
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 488,432,992
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 5,223,020,353
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 87.4
Operating Cashflow 1,232,523,008
Operating Margins 0.12693
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.20719999
Peg Ratio 0.28
Phone 973 948 3000
Previous Close 87.3
Price Eps Current Year 10.706363
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.5232911
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.9647084
Profit Margins 0.090959996
Quick Ratio 0.191
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.875
Region US
Regular Market Change 1.2549973
Regular Market Change Percent 1.4375684
Regular Market Day High 88.695
Regular Market Day Low 87.01
Regular Market Day Range 87.01 - 88.695
Regular Market Open 87.4
Regular Market Previous Close 87.3
Regular Market Price 88.555
Regular Market Time 1,792,163,298
Regular Market Volume 77,596
Return On Assets 0.02832
Return On Equity 0.14152999
Revenue Growth 0.045
Revenue Per Share 91.026
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Financial Services
Sector Disp Financial Services
Sector Key financial-services
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 59,600,000
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0312
Shares Short 1,857,547
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 1,447,996
Short Name Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.041199997
Short Ratio 3.86
Source Interval 15
State NJ
Symbol SIGI
Target High Price 115.0
Target Low Price 80.0
Target Mean Price 100.14286
Target Median Price 98.0
Total Cash 379,436,000
Total Cash Per Share 6.37
Total Debt 900,958,976
Total Revenue 5,470,957,056
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.67
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019129438
Trailing Eps 8.06
Trailing P E 10.986972
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 86.98385
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.5711517
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.01806257
Type Disp Equity
Volume 77,596
Website https://www.selective.com
Zip 7,890