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iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF (SHY)

Short Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
81.17 USD -0.03 (-0.037%) ⇩ (Oct. 12, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:41 a.m. EDT

The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF presents a classic defensive profile with a robust 3.65% yield, which is highly attractive in a rising-rate environment. However, the price action tells a different story: the asset is trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating persistent selling pressure and a failure to capitalize on recent yield increases. While the dividend stream is reliable and growing, the underlying capital appreciation has been stagnant, with the fund failing to generate positive returns over the last nine years despite a final year of slight recovery. The options market reinforces this caution, with traders placing significant bets against the asset in the distant future while keeping implied volatility near zero. For investors seeking income, the yield is compelling, but the lack of capital gains and the technical weakness suggest this is a hold for income preservation rather than a vehicle for growth or capital appreciation.
Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.002645
AutoETS0.002681
AutoARIMA0.002681
MSTL0.002892

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 78%
H-stat 19.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.025
Excess Kurtosis -0.31
Attribute Value
Trailing P/E 3689.55

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy open interest in out-of-the-money puts expiring in early 2028, suggesting a fear of a significant bond rally (price drop) over the long term. Conversely, call activity is concentrated in the near term (late 2026/early 2027) with strikes slightly above current prices, indicating a tactical bet on continued stability or modest yields rather than a major bull case. Implied volatility remains extremely low across all tenors, reflecting a market that expects a flat, low-volatility path.

Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.30% 3.58% 3.77% 2.96%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-10-01 0.241 0.297164
2026-09-01 0.244 0.299056
2026-08-03 0.251 0.306959
2026-07-01 0.238 0.290811
2026-06-01 0.243 0.296305
2026-05-01 0.243 0.295441
2026-04-01 0.247 0.300049
2026-03-02 0.223 0.269291
2026-02-02 0.250 0.302297
2025-12-19 0.255 0.308120
2025-12-01 0.249 0.300870
2025-11-03 0.263 0.317940
2025-10-01 0.256 0.309179
2025-09-02 0.258 0.312046
2025-08-01 0.270 0.326639
2025-07-01 0.264 0.319961
2025-06-02 0.272 0.330458
2025-05-01 0.259 0.313218
2025-04-01 0.280 0.339476
2025-03-03 0.253 0.306964
2025-02-03 0.273 0.333089
2024-12-18 0.280 0.342801
2024-12-02 0.265 0.322974
2024-11-01 0.283 0.344912
2024-10-01 0.273 0.329193
2024-09-03 0.288 0.348668
2024-08-01 0.272 0.330860
2024-07-01 0.270 0.332062
2024-06-03 0.262 0.322263
2024-05-01 0.262 0.323257
2024-04-01 0.270 0.331940
2024-03-01 0.240 0.293902
2024-02-01 0.242 0.294476
2023-12-14 0.260 0.317848
2023-12-01 0.247 0.302548
2023-11-01 0.230 0.284021
2023-10-02 0.209 0.259048
2023-09-01 0.206 0.254352
2023-08-01 0.212 0.262246
2023-07-03 0.206 0.255014
2023-06-01 0.197 0.241392
2023-05-01 0.191 0.233468
2023-04-03 0.180 0.219298
2023-03-01 0.162 0.200793
2023-02-01 0.152 0.185842
2022-12-15 0.181 0.222495
2022-12-01 0.165 0.202628
2022-11-01 0.141 0.174548
2022-10-03 0.108 0.132874
2022-09-01 0.100 0.121758
2022-08-01 0.088 0.106075
2022-07-01 0.079 0.095227
2022-06-01 0.065 0.078191
2022-05-02 0.044 0.053108
2022-04-01 0.036 0.043300
2022-03-01 0.025 0.029505
2022-02-01 0.023 0.027084
2021-12-16 0.018 0.021021
2021-12-01 0.050 0.058309
2021-11-01 0.011 0.012821
2021-10-01 0.011 0.012764
2021-09-01 0.013 0.015076
2021-08-02 0.012 0.013903
2021-07-01 0.013 0.015093
2021-06-01 0.012 0.013907
2021-05-03 0.012 0.013911
2021-04-01 0.019 0.022034
2021-03-01 0.022 0.025495
2021-02-01 0.030 0.034730
2020-12-17 0.032 0.037046
2020-12-01 0.033 0.038225
2020-11-02 0.039 0.045144
2020-10-01 0.040 0.046270
2020-09-01 0.049 0.056654
2020-08-03 0.050 0.057750
2020-07-01 0.061 0.070504
2020-06-01 0.070 0.080850
2020-05-01 0.072 0.083141
2020-04-01 0.106 0.122374
2020-03-02 0.125 0.146079
2020-02-03 0.135 0.158898
2019-12-19 0.137 0.162073
2019-12-02 0.134 0.158374
2019-11-01 0.140 0.165172
2019-10-01 0.135 0.159236
2019-09-03 0.146 0.171765
2019-08-01 0.150 0.177179
2019-07-01 0.156 0.184463
2019-06-03 0.169 0.199882
2019-05-01 0.156 0.185980
2019-04-01 0.164 0.195541
2019-03-01 0.154 0.184343
2019-02-01 0.152 0.181862
2018-12-18 0.119 0.142823
2018-12-03 0.142 0.171002
2018-11-01 0.146 0.175946
2018-10-01 0.137 0.165200
2018-09-04 0.131 0.157471
2018-08-01 0.138 0.166145
2018-07-02 0.130 0.156194
2018-06-01 0.126 0.151315
2018-05-01 0.103 0.123902
2018-04-02 0.094 0.112588
2018-03-01 0.086 0.103031
2018-02-01 0.086 0.103006
2017-12-21 0.094 0.112145
2017-12-01 0.079 0.094070
2017-11-01 0.078 0.092626
2017-10-02 0.073 0.086452
2017-09-01 0.072 0.085116
2017-08-01 0.071 0.083984
2017-07-03 0.067 0.079422
2017-06-01 0.064 0.075704
2017-05-01 0.062 0.073373
2017-04-03 0.058 0.068607
2017-03-01 0.054 0.063981
2017-02-01 0.051 0.060384
2016-12-22 0.061 0.072326
2016-12-01 0.050 0.059235
2016-11-01 0.051 0.060071
2016-10-03 0.049 0.057661
2016-09-01 0.050 0.058844
2016-08-01 0.051 0.059894
2016-07-01 0.050 0.058617
2016-06-01 0.051 0.060177
2016-05-02 0.049 0.057695
2016-04-01 0.051 0.060049
2016-03-01 0.047 0.055425
2016-02-01 0.045 0.053054
2015-12-24 0.043 0.050918
2015-12-01 0.041 0.048475
2015-11-02 0.041 0.048383
2015-10-01 0.040 0.047087
2015-09-01 0.040 0.047187
2015-08-03 0.038 0.044785
2015-07-01 0.038 0.044838
2015-06-01 0.037 0.043642
2015-05-01 0.035 0.041274
2015-04-01 0.037 0.043591
2015-03-02 0.031 0.036643
2015-02-02 0.033 0.038860
2014-12-24 0.033 0.039100
2014-12-01 0.029 0.034226
2014-11-03 0.029 0.034255
2014-10-01 0.030 0.035474
2014-09-02 0.028 0.033136
2014-08-01 0.027 0.031934
2014-07-01 0.025 0.029586
2014-06-02 0.023 0.027196
2014-05-01 0.021 0.024852
2014-04-01 0.021 0.024887
2014-03-03 0.018 0.021279
2014-02-03 0.023 0.027203
2013-12-26 0.021 0.024899
2013-12-02 0.019 0.022485
2013-11-01 0.019 0.022496
2013-10-01 0.018 0.021319
2013-09-03 0.018 0.021365
2013-08-01 0.018 0.021340
2013-07-01 0.017 0.020166
2013-06-03 0.017 0.020145
2013-05-01 0.017 0.020116
2013-04-01 0.018 0.021312
2013-03-01 0.018 0.021312
2013-02-01 0.021 0.024882
2012-12-26 0.021 0.024884
2012-12-03 0.020 0.023688
2012-10-01 0.022 0.026042
2012-09-04 0.024 0.028409
2012-08-01 0.026 0.030773
2012-07-02 0.026 0.030817
2012-06-01 0.028 0.033152
2012-05-01 0.028 0.033164
2012-04-02 0.030 0.035583
2012-03-01 0.035 0.041484
2012-02-01 0.031 0.036682
2011-12-27 0.039 0.046198
2011-12-01 0.045 0.053254
2011-11-01 0.048 0.056798
2011-10-03 0.049 0.057961
2011-09-01 0.054 0.063769
2011-08-01 0.061 0.072283
2011-07-01 0.061 0.072438
2011-06-01 0.066 0.078236
2011-05-02 0.066 0.078525
2011-04-01 0.067 0.080000
2011-03-01 0.061 0.072697
2011-02-01 0.068 0.081020
2010-12-28 0.068 0.081233
2010-12-01 0.064 0.076136
2010-11-01 0.067 0.079327
2010-10-01 0.065 0.077087
2010-09-01 0.070 0.083116
2010-08-02 0.071 0.084403
2010-07-01 0.073 0.086884
2010-06-01 0.071 0.084756
2010-05-03 0.078 0.093548
2010-04-01 0.080 0.096085
2010-03-01 0.075 0.089734
2010-02-01 0.084 0.100599
2009-12-29 0.085 0.102299
2009-12-01 0.581 0.693566
2009-11-02 0.190 0.226622
2009-10-01 0.104 0.123824
2009-09-01 0.108 0.128755
2009-08-03 0.112 0.134196
2009-07-01 0.112 0.133843
2009-06-01 0.131 0.156474
2009-05-01 0.167 0.199260
2009-04-01 0.141 0.167538
2009-03-02 0.129 0.153407
2009-02-02 0.138 0.163837
2008-12-29 0.336 0.397069
2008-12-01 0.279 0.329553
2008-11-03 0.327 0.389147
2008-10-01 0.280 0.335169
2008-09-02 0.235 0.283064
2008-08-01 0.266 0.321334
2008-07-01 0.219 0.264973
2008-06-02 0.223 0.269161
2008-05-01 0.162 0.195063
2008-04-01 0.176 0.210124
2008-03-03 0.163 0.193978
2008-02-01 0.221 0.264924
2007-12-27 0.279 0.340410
2007-12-03 0.276 0.334911
2007-11-01 0.303 0.372648
2007-10-01 0.297 0.366757
2007-09-04 0.306 0.378666
2007-08-01 0.302 0.376559
2007-07-02 0.302 0.377925
2007-06-01 0.289 0.362428
2007-05-01 0.286 0.357098
2007-04-02 0.295 0.367922
2007-03-01 0.271 0.337863
2007-02-01 0.300 0.376034
2006-12-27 0.246 0.307538
2006-12-01 0.287 0.357365
2006-11-01 0.297 0.370740
2006-10-02 0.294 0.366995
2006-09-01 0.291 0.363523
2006-08-01 0.289 0.362610
2006-07-03 0.278 0.350126
2006-06-01 0.268 0.336683
2006-05-01 0.263 0.330444
2006-04-03 0.266 0.333835
2006-03-01 0.279 0.349580
2006-02-01 0.247 0.308634
2005-12-28 0.249 0.310087
2005-12-01 0.231 0.288390
2005-11-01 0.232 0.289566
2005-10-03 0.234 0.291190
2005-09-01 0.228 0.281586
2005-08-01 0.181 0.224789
2005-07-01 0.186 0.230113
2005-06-01 0.190 0.233990
2005-05-02 0.190 0.234800
2005-04-01 0.190 0.235352
2005-03-01 0.163 0.201633
2005-02-01 0.171 0.210462
2004-12-31 0.154 0.189119
2004-12-01 0.145 0.178023
2004-11-01 0.138 0.168375
2004-10-01 0.132 0.161271
2004-09-01 0.132 0.160701
2004-08-02 0.143 0.175009
2004-07-01 0.147 0.180191
2004-06-01 0.124 0.151942
2004-05-03 0.116 0.141653
2004-04-01 0.120 0.145015
2004-03-01 0.113 0.136622
2004-02-02 0.119 0.144277
2003-12-31 0.116 0.140657
2003-12-16 0.335 0.406455
2003-12-01 0.108 0.131836
2003-11-03 0.111 0.135135
2003-10-01 0.093 0.112523
2003-09-02 0.103 0.125855
2003-08-01 0.102 0.124390
2003-07-01 0.102 0.123472
2003-06-02 0.107 0.129650
2003-05-01 0.130 0.157805
2003-04-01 0.112 0.135988
2003-03-03 0.107 0.129902
2003-02-03 0.122 0.148635
2002-12-31 0.139 0.168874
2002-12-02 0.120 0.147023
2002-11-01 0.133 0.162314
2002-10-01 0.120 0.146592
2002-09-03 0.133 0.162850
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.313
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0038546799
dividendYield 3.65

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 86.8
All Time Low 79.26
Ask 81.85
Ask Size 37
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,212,860
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,078,146
Average Volume 4,078,146
Average Volume10Days 4,212,860
Beta3 Year 0.24
Bid 81.84
Bid Size 6
Book Value 86.242
Category Short Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 81.19
Day Low 81.16
Display Name 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Dividend Yield 3.65
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.022
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 81.5756
Fifty Day Average Change -0.4056015
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.0049720933
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -2.2401571
Fifty Two Week High 83.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.0299988
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.024399025
Fifty Two Week Low 80.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.22000122
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.0027177422
Fifty Two Week Range 80.95 - 83.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,028,035,800,000
Five Year Average Return 0.0180791
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fullday Change -0.019996643
Fullday Change Percent -0.024626408
Fullday Price 81.17
Fund Family iShares
Fund Inception Date 1,027,296,000
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The underlying index consists of publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to one year and less than three years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value, excluding amounts held by the Federal Reserve System. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index.
Long Name iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_8797409
Nav Price 81.16387
Net Assets 26,281,537,500.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.15
Open 81.17
Phone 415-670-2000
Previous Close 81.2
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.94118875
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.0299988
Regular Market Change Percent -0.0369443
Regular Market Day High 81.19
Regular Market Day Low 81.16
Regular Market Day Range 81.16 - 81.19
Regular Market Open 81.17
Regular Market Previous Close 81.2
Regular Market Price 81.17
Regular Market Time 1,791,835,200
Regular Market Volume 2,326,734
Shares Outstanding 209,300,000
Short Name iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
Source Interval 15
Symbol SHY
Three Year Average Return 0.0389655
Total Assets 26,281,537,536
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.313
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0038546799
Trailing P E 3,689.5454
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns -0.20793
Trailing Three Month Returns -0.20793
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 82.2117
Two Hundred Day Average Change -1.0417023
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.012670973
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,326,734
Yield 0.0365
Ytd Return 0.37505