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Shopify Inc. (SHOP)

Technology | Software - Application | Ottawa, Canada | NasdaqGS
131.15 USD +4.21 (3.317%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 131.30 +0.15 (0.118%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★★☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT

Shopify is currently a classic momentum trap disguised as a value turnaround. The massive 139x trailing PEG combined with negative earnings growth (-42%) makes the long-term thesis tenuous, yet technicals and options flow are screaming for a short-term pop. The market is pricing in a perfect execution of the upcoming May 5 earnings report, evidenced by the sheer volume of $130-$131 call buying. If earnings miss even slightly, the gamma exposure in the short calls could trigger a violent mean reversion, making the current 4-star short-term rating a high-risk, high-reward momentum spike rather than a sustained trend.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.119278
MSTL0.120130
AutoTheta0.122787
AutoETS0.123368

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 77%
H-stat 1.09
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.256
Excess Kurtosis 0.01
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 1.395
Revenue per Share 8.896
Market Cap 170,624,450,560
Trailing P/E 139.52
Forward P/E 57.14
Beta 2.82
Profit Margins 10.65%
Website https://www.shopify.com

As of April 18, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT: Speculators are deploying significant bullish momentum on short-dated expirations (April 17) with heavy volume spikes on $128, $130, and $131 calls, targeting a breakout above the $130 resistance. While Open Interest on $130 puts is building, it appears defensive (protective hedging) rather than aggressive directional bearishness, given the massive call OI concentration at the money. The skew towards near-term call volume suggests a 'gamma squeeze' setup or a short-term momentum play ahead of earnings, despite elevated implied volatility (IV ~49-66% ATM).


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.6064429
Address1 151 O'Connor Street
Address2 Ground floor
All Time High 182.19
All Time Low 1.7
Ask 151.05
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.7 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 8,257,360
Average Daily Volume3 Month 12,068,830
Average Volume 12,068,830
Average Volume10Days 8,257,360
Beta 2.822
Bid 114.05
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 8
Book Value 10.333
City Ottawa
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 131.15
Current Ratio 5.96
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 133.31
Day Low 129.975
Debt To Equity 1.395
Display Name Shopify
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Earnings Growth -0.423
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.425
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,777,984,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,777,984,200
Ebitda 1,928,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.16693
Enterprise To Ebitda 85.731
Enterprise To Revenue 14.311
Enterprise Value 165,375,213,568
Eps Current Year 1.82114
Eps Forward 2.29543
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.94
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 120.788
Fifty Day Average Change 10.361992
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.085786596
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 60.644295
Fifty Two Week High 182.19
Fifty Two Week High Change -51.04001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.28014714
Fifty Two Week Low 80.35
Fifty Two Week Low Change 50.799995
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.6322339
Fifty Two Week Range 80.35 - 182.19
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,432,128,600,000
Float Shares 1,223,099,975
Forward Eps 2.29543
Forward P E 57.13526
Free Cashflow 1,286,249,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 7,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.4807
Gross Profits 5,554,999,808
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0019200001
Held Percent Institutions 0.74164003
Implied Shares Outstanding 1,300,987,183
Industry Software - Application
Industry Disp Software - Application
Industry Key software-application
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-03-31
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,656,460,800
Last Split Factor 10:1
Long Business Summary Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The Company offers Shopify platform that enables merchants to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics, and reporting and access financing for running their business across all of their sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. It also provides Shopify Payments, a fully integrated payment processing service that allows merchants to accept and process payment cards online and offline. In addition, the company engages in the sale of themes and apps; shipping labels through Shopify Shipping; point-of-sale hardware; advertising on the Shopify App Store; and Shop Campaigns for buyer acquisitions, as well as registration of domain names. The company was formerly known as Jaded Pixel Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Shopify Inc. in November 2011. Shopify Inc. was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
Long Name Shopify Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 170,624,450,560
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_84159238
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Net Income To Common 1,231,000,064
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 170,624,468,919
Number Of Analyst Opinions 46
Open 130.14
Operating Cashflow 2,032,999,936
Operating Margins 0.20289
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 2.41
Phone 613-241-2828
Post Market Change 0.15420532
Post Market Change Percent 0.117579356
Post Market Price 131.3042
Post Market Time 1,776,470,391
Previous Close 126.94
Price Eps Current Year 72.01533
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 12.692344
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 14.76501
Profit Margins 0.106520005
Quick Ratio 4.584
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.73077
Region US
Regular Market Change 4.20999
Regular Market Change Percent 3.31652
Regular Market Day High 133.31
Regular Market Day Low 129.975
Regular Market Day Range 129.975 - 133.31
Regular Market Open 130.14
Regular Market Previous Close 126.94
Regular Market Price 131.15
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,000
Regular Market Volume 8,464,085
Return On Assets 0.08149
Return On Equity 0.09836
Revenue Growth 0.306
Revenue Per Share 8.896
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 1,222,913,587
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0128
Shares Short 16,687,530
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 16,415,184
Short Name Shopify Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0136
Short Ratio 1.89
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol SHOP
Target High Price 200.0
Target Low Price 110.0
Target Mean Price 159.69565
Target Median Price 160.0
Total Cash 5,847,000,064
Total Cash Per Share 4.484
Total Debt 188,000,000
Total Revenue 11,555,999,744
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.94
Trailing P E 139.52127
Trailing Peg Ratio 2.4103
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 141.44475
Two Hundred Day Average Change -10.294754
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.07278287
Type Disp Equity
Volume 8,464,085
Website https://www.shopify.com
Zip K2P 2L8