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Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO)

Consumer Cyclical | Footwear & Accessories | Long Island City, United States | NasdaqGS
42.36 USD +0.35 (0.821%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a severe disconnect between the company's deteriorating fundamentals and its current valuation. While the business is showing signs of recovery with a 75% surge in quarterly earnings and an 18% jump in revenue, the stock is still punishingly cheap relative to these improvements, trading at a trailing P/E of nearly 40x despite a forward P/E of only 15.5x. This suggests the market is pricing in a 'value trap' scenario where past performance is irrelevant to future expectations. The heavy put activity confirms this pessimism, with traders betting on further declines despite the positive earnings surprise. For the long term, the picture is mixed; the multi-year trajectory shows a net gain, but the most recent annual return was a crushing -42%, indicating a sharp reversal in sentiment. The balance sheet remains fragile with negative free cash flow and high debt, preventing a top-tier buy rating despite the improving operational metrics.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.077246
AutoARIMA0.107238
MSTL0.107681
AutoETS0.110902

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 48%
H-stat 0.77
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.326
Excess Kurtosis -1.07
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-07
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-07
Debt to Equity Ratio 57.041
Revenue per Share 37.109
Market Cap 3,095,533,824
Trailing P/E 39.96
Forward P/E 15.69
Beta 1.16
Profit Margins 2.89%
Website https://www.stevemadden.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:25 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money put volume and open interest compared to calls. The July expiration shows nearly 10x more put volume than call volume, while the October and January expirations feature significant put open interest at deep strikes ($25-$30), suggesting a fear of a significant drop rather than a rally. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money or slightly out-of-the-money, indicating limited bullish conviction beyond the current price level.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.46% 2.23% 2.28% 2.26%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-08 0.210000 0.463474
2026-03-11 0.210000 0.616921
2025-12-15 0.210000 0.475651
2025-09-12 0.210000 0.674157
2025-06-09 0.210000 0.804598
2025-03-10 0.210000 0.750000
2024-12-13 0.210000 0.480879
2024-09-13 0.210000 0.460425
2024-06-10 0.210000 0.476731
2024-03-07 0.210000 0.496102
2023-12-14 0.210000 0.496806
2023-09-14 0.210000 0.657071
2023-06-09 0.210000 0.630252
2023-03-09 0.210000 0.603448
2022-12-15 0.210000 0.646950
2022-09-15 0.210000 0.723140
2022-06-10 0.210000 0.583333
2022-03-10 0.210000 0.527108
2021-12-16 0.150000 0.333259
2021-09-16 0.150000 0.388299
2021-06-14 0.150000 0.340987
2021-03-15 0.150000 0.379267
2020-03-16 0.150000 0.686499
2019-12-13 0.150000 0.354442
2019-09-16 0.140000 0.394589
2019-06-17 0.140000 0.439009
2019-03-18 0.140000 0.422833
2018-12-20 0.140000 0.484429
2018-09-17 0.133333 0.352422
2018-06-11 0.133333 0.367984
2018-03-09 0.133333 0.440528
2006-11-09 0.197531 2.675229
2005-11-09 0.131687 3.675113
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.84
dividendYield 1.98
exDividendDate 2026-06-08
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.84
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.019995239
lastDividendValue 0.21
lastDividendDate 2026-06-08
dividendDate 2026-06-19

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.76573575
Address1 52-16 Barnett Avenue
All Time High 51.56
All Time Low 0.197531
Ask 54.15
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 4
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,096,440
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,114,785
Average Volume 1,114,785
Average Volume10Days 1,096,440
Beta 1.162
Bid 30.71
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 5
Book Value 12.498
City Long Island City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 42.355
Current Ratio 2.225
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 43.05
Day Low 41.95
Debt To Equity 57.041
Display Name Steven Madden
Dividend Date 1,781,827,200
Dividend Rate 0.84
Dividend Yield 1.98
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,070,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,070,600
Earnings Growth 0.754
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.777
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,070,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,328,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,328,200
Ebitda 255,470,000
Ebitda Margins 0.096999995
Enterprise To Ebitda 14.063
Enterprise To Revenue 1.364
Enterprise Value 3,592,790,528
Eps Current Year 2.12816
Eps Forward 2.69889
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.06
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,780,876,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 41.6454
Fifty Day Average Change 0.70959854
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.01703906
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 76.57358
Fifty Two Week High 47.11
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.755001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.100934006
Fifty Two Week Low 22.26
Fifty Two Week Low Change 20.095
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.9027403
Fifty Two Week Range 22.26 - 47.11
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 755,793,000,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 2.15
Float Shares 71,353,311
Forward Eps 2.69889
Forward P E 15.693489
Free Cashflow -14,376,750
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,200
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.46001
Gross Profits 1,211,512,960
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.022030002
Held Percent Institutions 1.05467
Implied Shares Outstanding 73,085,436
Industry Footwear & Accessories
Industry Disp Footwear & Accessories
Industry Key footwear-accessories
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=113367&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,780,876,800
Last Dividend Value 0.21
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,539,302,400
Last Split Factor 3:2
Long Business Summary Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to- Consumer, and Licensing segments. The company designs, sources, and markets various products, including dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, and casual shoes; and handbags, apparel, small leather goods, belts, soft accessories, fashion scarves, wraps, gifting, and other accessories. It also engages in the sale of footwear, handbags, apparel, and other accessories. In addition, the company is involved in the licensing of the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson trademarks for the sale of select apparel, accessory, home categories, and other non-core products. It sells its products under the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein brands. The company distributes its products in the wholesale channel through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, shoe chains, online retailers, national chains, specialty retailers, independent stores, and clubs, as well as through direct-to-consumer channel, which includes company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites. It markets its products through email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Long Name Steven Madden, Ltd.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,095,533,824
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_347145
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 76,060,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,095,533,641
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 42.01
Operating Cashflow 125,694,000
Operating Margins 0.15525
Overall Risk 3
Payout Ratio 0.7925
Peg Ratio 2.17
Phone 718 446 1800
Pre Market Change 0.025001526
Pre Market Change Percent 0.05902851
Pre Market Price 42.38
Pre Market Time 1,784,028,631
Previous Close 42.01
Price Eps Current Year 19.902168
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 3.3889422
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.1753685
Profit Margins 0.02888
Quick Ratio 1.124
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.345001
Regular Market Change Percent 0.821236
Regular Market Day High 43.05
Regular Market Day Low 41.95
Regular Market Day Range 41.95 - 43.05
Regular Market Open 42.01
Regular Market Previous Close 42.01
Regular Market Price 42.355
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 972,341
Return On Assets 0.08186
Return On Equity 0.0858
Revenue Growth 0.18
Revenue Per Share 37.109
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20365608
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 3
Shares Outstanding 73,085,436
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.057600003
Shares Short 4,206,544
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 3,781,334
Short Name Steven Madden, Ltd.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0947
Short Ratio 3.43
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol SHOO
Target High Price 54.0
Target Low Price 31.0
Target Mean Price 46.77778
Target Median Price 50.0
Total Cash 77,157,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.056
Total Debt 540,318,016
Total Revenue 2,633,670,912
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.84
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.019995239
Trailing Eps 1.06
Trailing P E 39.95755
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 39.15445
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.20055
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.08174167
Type Disp Equity
Volume 972,341
Website https://www.stevemadden.com
Zip 11,104