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Shoe Station Group Inc. (SHOE)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | Fort Mill, United States | NasdaqGS
15.38 USD +0.02 (0.130%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 15.38

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 2:45 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is severely compromised by a deteriorating business trajectory. While the company recently rebranded from Shoe Carnival to Shoe Station Group, the stock has delivered a brutal -45% return over the last year, marking the fifth consecutive year of negative annual performance. This multi-year decline suggests the market has permanently downgraded the brand's competitive position, evidenced by shrinking revenue (-2.5%) and thin operating margins (2.8%). The valuation metrics, which look attractive on paper with a low P/E and high yield, are a trap; the price has already priced in a failing business, making the current yield unsustainable if the decline continues. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts rather than betting on a recovery. The short-term outlook remains weak as the stock trades below its 50-day moving average, and the long-term outlook is bleak given the lack of growth and persistent margin compression. The dividend, while currently yielding over 4%, appears to be a desperate attempt to retain capital in a struggling operation rather than a sign of financial strength.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.058334
AutoETS0.077747
AutoARIMA0.077748
MSTL0.084597

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 1.90
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.173
Excess Kurtosis -1.37
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Ex Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Last Dividend Date 2026-07-05
Debt to Equity Ratio 53.638
Revenue per Share 41.246
Market Cap 417,587,136
Trailing P/E 11.39
Forward P/E 8.34
Beta 1.42
Profit Margins 3.31%
Previous Name Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Website https://www.shoecarnival.com

As of July 11, 2026, 2:45 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection, with out-of-the-money puts dominating open interest across nearly every expiration. Call activity is sparse and concentrated in the money, while put volume is massive relative to calls, indicating a strong bearish sentiment and fear of further declines.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.15% 3.72% 2.56% 2.08%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-06 0.1700 1.152542
2026-04-06 0.1700 1.067169
2026-01-12 0.1500 0.802139
2025-10-06 0.1500 0.700607
2025-07-07 0.1500 0.722195
2025-04-07 0.1500 0.761808
2025-01-13 0.1350 0.439883
2024-10-07 0.1350 0.353126
2024-07-08 0.1350 0.374792
2024-04-05 0.1350 0.388937
2024-01-05 0.1200 0.437158
2023-10-02 0.1200 0.491803
2023-07-03 0.1000 0.414938
2023-03-31 0.1000 0.389864
2023-01-06 0.0900 0.365408
2022-10-03 0.0900 0.427350
2022-07-08 0.0900 0.419776
2022-04-01 0.0900 0.307903
2022-01-07 0.0700 0.183968
2021-10-01 0.0700 0.211800
2021-07-02 0.0700 0.196216
2021-04-01 0.0700 0.231635
2021-01-08 0.0450 0.224607
2020-10-02 0.0450 0.263620
2020-07-02 0.0450 0.309172
2020-04-03 0.0425 0.572005
2020-01-10 0.0425 0.226909
2019-10-04 0.0425 0.266541
2019-07-05 0.0425 0.295241
2019-04-05 0.0400 0.244126
2019-01-11 0.0400 0.210915
2018-10-04 0.0400 0.217155
2018-07-06 0.0400 0.240746
2018-04-06 0.0375 0.314334
2018-01-05 0.0375 0.291149
2017-09-29 0.0375 0.335121
2017-06-29 0.0375 0.358680
2017-04-06 0.0350 0.292887
2017-01-05 0.0350 0.264650
2016-09-29 0.0350 0.266464
2016-06-30 0.0350 0.279330
2016-03-31 0.0325 0.241098
2016-01-07 0.0325 0.280535
2015-10-01 0.0325 0.274030
2015-07-01 0.0325 0.223061
2015-04-01 0.0300 0.206968
2015-01-08 0.0300 0.243408
2014-10-02 0.0300 0.342270
2014-07-02 0.0300 0.291121
2014-04-03 0.0300 0.259516
2014-01-09 0.0300 0.219539
2013-10-03 0.0300 0.226415
2013-07-03 0.0300 0.252101
2013-04-10 0.0300 0.293974
2012-12-13 0.5250 5.514706
2012-10-03 0.0250 0.219974
2012-06-28 0.0250 0.238322
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.64
dividendYield 4.17
exDividendDate 2026-07-06
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.62
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.040364586
lastDividendValue 0.17
lastDividendDate 2026-07-06
dividendDate 2026-07-20

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.26857144
Address1 1,800 Innovation Point
Address2 5th Floor
All Time High 46.92
All Time Low 0.916667
Ask 15.41
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 567,830
Average Daily Volume3 Month 488,370
Average Volume 488,370
Average Volume10Days 567,830
Beta 1.42
Bid 15.04
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 4
Book Value 24.802
City Fort Mill
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 15.38
Current Ratio 4.022
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 15.85
Day Low 15.33
Debt To Equity 53.638
Display Name Shoe Station
Dividend Date 1,784,505,600
Dividend Rate 0.64
Dividend Yield 4.17
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,438,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,438,600
Ebitda 94,591,000
Ebitda Margins 0.08383001
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.866
Enterprise To Revenue 0.576
Enterprise Value 649,440,128
Eps Current Year 1.49667
Eps Forward 1.84333
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.35
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 16.5018
Fifty Day Average Change -1.1218004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.06798048
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -26.857143
Fifty Two Week High 26.57
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.19
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.42115167
Fifty Two Week Low 14.68
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.6999998
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.04768391
Fifty Two Week Range 14.68 - 26.57
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 732,292,200,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 1.76
Float Shares 17,822,390
Forward Eps 1.84333
Forward P E 8.3435955
Free Cashflow 48,060,124
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 2,300
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.36290002
Gross Profits 409,473,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.33927
Held Percent Institutions 0.74224
Implied Shares Outstanding 27,151,308
Industry Apparel Retail
Industry Disp Apparel Retail
Industry Key apparel-retail
Ir Website http://locator.shoecarnival.com/Investors/default.aspx?selpage=corpSite
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,783,296,000
Last Dividend Value 0.17
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Last Split Date 1,626,739,200
Last Split Factor 2:1
Long Business Summary Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. It offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. The company also operates stores. It sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. The company was formerly known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. and changed its name to Shoe Station Group Inc. in June 2026. Shoe Station Group Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina.
Long Name Shoe Station Group Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 417,587,136
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_324135
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Name Change Date 2,026-07-13
Net Income To Common 37,298,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 417,044,090
Number Of Analyst Opinions 1
Open 15.39
Operating Cashflow 104,016,000
Operating Margins 0.02795
Overall Risk 4
Payout Ratio 0.4593
Peg Ratio 0.95
Phone 803 650 4600
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 15.38
Post Market Time 1,783,981,120
Prev Name Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Previous Close 15.36
Price Eps Current Year 10.276146
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.6201113
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.37009016
Profit Margins 0.03306
Quick Ratio 0.959
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0200005
Regular Market Change Percent 0.130211
Regular Market Day High 15.85
Regular Market Day Low 15.33
Regular Market Day Range 15.33 - 15.85
Regular Market Open 15.39
Regular Market Previous Close 15.36
Regular Market Price 15.38
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 889,601
Return On Assets 0.0339
Return On Equity 0.056209996
Revenue Growth -0.025
Revenue Per Share 41.246
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 27,151,308
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.13859999
Shares Short 3,763,001
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,450,878
Short Name Shoe Station Group, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.21030001
Short Ratio 5.79
Source Interval 15
State SC
Symbol SHOE
Target High Price 22.0
Target Low Price 22.0
Target Mean Price 22.0
Target Median Price 22.0
Total Cash 129,348,000
Total Cash Per Share 4.764
Total Debt 361,200,992
Total Revenue 1,128,338,944
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.62
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.040364586
Trailing Eps 1.35
Trailing P E 11.392592
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.13495
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.7549505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.15191387
Type Disp Equity
Volume 889,601
Website https://www.shoecarnival.com
Zip 29,715