Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | New York, United States | NYSE
62.18 USD
+3.58
(6.109%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 62.05 -0.13 (-0.130%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 7:54 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT
The long-term investment case remains neutral despite a spectacular historical run-up, as the company is currently trapped by deteriorating operational fundamentals. While the business boasts massive revenue growth and a dominant brand, the recent guidance cut and a reported 19.9% stock drop following earnings reveal that the market is pricing in severe execution risks and margin compression. The balance sheet is fragile, with negative free cash flow and a debt load that dwarfs equity, making the high valuation multiple unjustifiable given the current profitability crisis. In the short term, the sentiment is decidedly bearish. The recent price action shows a struggle to recover from the earnings miss, trading well below key moving averages. Options flow confirms this pessimism, with traders aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts to hedge against further declines, while call buying lacks the conviction needed to drive a sustained rally. The statistical forecast model adds little clarity due to its extremely low reliability, leaving the short-term outlook dependent entirely on whether management can reverse the margin trend in the next few quarters. Until the path to profitability is restored, the risk-reward profile leans toward caution. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.481284 |
| AutoETS | 0.484887 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.484888 |
| MSTL | 0.485263 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 29% |
| H-stat | 1.84 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.000 |
| Excess Kurtosis | 8.52 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 169.028 |
| Revenue per Share | 37.043 |
| Market Cap | 2,660,154,880 |
| Trailing P/E | 59.79 |
| Forward P/E | 41.65 |
| Beta | 1.63 |
| Profit Margins | 2.76% |
| Website | https://www.shakeshack.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 2:51 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume and open interest, particularly at strikes below the current price (e.g., 47, 50, 55), creating a significant 'floor' of downside protection. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a hope for a bounce to test resistance around 65, but the overwhelming put weight indicates fear of further downside rather than aggressive bullish bets.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.5815481 |
| Address1 | 225 Varick Street |
| Address2 | Suite 301 |
| All Time High | 144.65 |
| All Time Low | 30.0 |
| Ask | 0.0 |
| Ask Size | 200 |
| Audit Risk | 6 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,934,930 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,321,113 |
| Average Volume | 2,321,113 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,934,930 |
| Beta | 1.633 |
| Bid | 0.0 |
| Bid Size | 200 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 13.034 |
| City | New York |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 62.18 |
| Current Ratio | 1.693 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 62.215 |
| Day Low | 59.14 |
| Debt To Equity | 169.028 |
| Display Name | Shake Shack |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,778,155,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,778,155,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,778,157,000 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,785,414,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,785,414,600 |
| Ebitda | 170,267,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.11419 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 18.568 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 2.12 |
| Enterprise Value | 3,161,445,632 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.1155 |
| Eps Forward | 1.49294 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.04 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NYQ |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 63.7136 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.5335999 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.024070213 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -58.154808 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 142.2 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -80.02 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5627285 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 51.6 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 10.580002 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.2050388 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 51.6 - 142.2 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,422,628,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 38,451,423 |
| Forward Eps | 1.49294 |
| Forward P E | 41.649364 |
| Free Cashflow | -10,021,750 |
| Full Exchange Name | NYSE |
| Full Time Employees | 13,873 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.40442002 |
| Gross Profits | 603,048,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.043870002 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.08085 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 42,781,521 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 1 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Shake Shack Inc. owns, operates, and licenses Shake Shack restaurants (Shacks) in the United States and internationally. It offers burger, chicken, hot dogs, crinkle cut fries, shakes, frozen custard, beer, wine, and other products. The company was founded in 2001 and is based in New York, New York. |
| Long Name | Shake Shack Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 2,660,154,880 |
| Market State | PREPRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_228987805 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,775,001,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 41,190,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,364,552,895 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 23 |
| Open | 59.42 |
| Operating Cashflow | 199,622,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.00482 |
| Overall Risk | 6 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 646 747 7200 |
| Post Market Change | -0.13000107 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.20907216 |
| Post Market Price | 62.05 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,986,852 |
| Previous Close | 58.6 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 55.74182 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 4.7706 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 1.783968 |
| Profit Margins | 0.02762 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.554 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 3.58 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 6.10922 |
| Regular Market Day High | 62.215 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 59.14 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 59.14 - 62.215 |
| Regular Market Open | 59.42 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 58.6 |
| Regular Market Price | 62.18 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,803 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,536,828 |
| Return On Assets | 0.02095 |
| Return On Equity | 0.08535 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.143 |
| Revenue Per Share | 37.043 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 40,350,732 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.090900004 |
| Shares Short | 3,666,327 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4,107,880 |
| Short Name | Shake Shack, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1114 |
| Short Ratio | 1.53 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | NY |
| Symbol | SHAK |
| Target High Price | 124.0 |
| Target Low Price | 60.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 82.04348 |
| Target Median Price | 79.0 |
| Total Cash | 313,649,984 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 7.773 |
| Total Debt | 937,409,984 |
| Total Revenue | 1,491,144,960 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.04 |
| Trailing P E | 59.788464 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 84.41825 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -22.23825 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.2634294 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,536,828 |
| Website | https://www.shakeshack.com |
| Zip | 10,014 |