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Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML)

Basic Materials | Other Industrial Metals & Mining | Toronto, Canada | NasdaqCM
21.78 USD +0.08 (0.392%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 10:23 a.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★☆☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 10:37 p.m. EDT

High-risk liquidity play with deteriorating fundamentals. While the stock recently broke above key moving averages and news headlines claim a 'cash machine' turnaround, the financial data reveals a company with negative revenue growth (-64%), a negative payout ratio, and crushing debt-to-equity (253%). The options data reflects this fragility: deep out-of-the-money puts are being written in massive quantities, implying the market is actively hedging a potential collapse rather than betting on a breakout. Until the balance sheet debt is significantly reduced and revenue growth becomes positive, SGML remains a speculative liability, not an investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.127148
AutoTheta0.130097
AutoETS0.134512
AutoARIMA0.134707

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 46%
H-stat 5.92
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.135
Excess Kurtosis 0.41
Attribute Value
Sector Basic Materials
Debt to Equity Ratio 253.106
Revenue per Share 0.988
Market Cap 2,425,799,680
Forward P/E 19.57
Beta 0.08
Profit Margins -45.62%
Previous Name Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation
Website https://www.sigmalithiumresources.com

As of April 18, 2026, 10:37 p.m. EDT: Implied Volatility (IV) is exceptionally compressed (near 1.0x/100%) across all strikes despite significant price volatility, indicating a massive disconnect between risk premiums and actual realized moves. Put writing is heavily skewed to deep OTM strikes (e.g., $6, $9, $11) with massive OI accumulation, suggesting a strong hedge against a crash or a defensive 'short gamma' setup. Conversely, Call buying is concentrated in very near the money ($16-$22) and ATM locations, with notable activity at $21 and $30 in longer-dated expirations, signaling a belief in immediate stability but limited aggressive upside potential over the next month. The lack of upside IV skew suggests speculators are not pricing in a massive rally; they are pricing in high volatility with a slight downside floor preference.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 1.8279009
Address1 181, Bay Street
Address2 Suite 4400
All Time High 43.18
All Time Low 1.06
Ask 27.52
Ask Size 2
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,206,230
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,054,465
Average Volume 4,054,465
Average Volume10Days 4,206,230
Beta 0.078
Bid 15.98
Bid Size 2
Book Value 0.508
City Toronto
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,735,603,200
Country Canada
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.775
Current Ratio 0.246
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 22.3187
Day Low 21.3118
Debt To Equity 253.106
Display Name Sigma Lithium
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,774,870,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,774,870,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,774,873,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,761,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,761,800
Ebitda -10,966,000
Ebitda Margins -0.09968001
Enterprise To Ebitda -232.852
Enterprise To Revenue 23.211
Enterprise Value 2,553,450,496
Eps Current Year 0.88667
Eps Forward 1.1125
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.45
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NCM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 13.3588
Fifty Day Average Change 8.4162
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.6300117
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 182.79008
Fifty Two Week High 22.3187
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.5437012
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.024360789
Fifty Two Week Low 4.25
Fifty Two Week Low Change 17.525
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 4.1235294
Fifty Two Week Range 4.25 - 22.3187
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,530,624,600,000
Float Shares 58,679,291
Forward Eps 1.1125
Forward P E 19.573034
Free Cashflow 5,083,125
Full Exchange Name NasdaqCM
Full Time Employees 560
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Gross Margins 0.095240004
Gross Profits 10,477,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.037639998
Held Percent Institutions 0.84159
Implied Shares Outstanding 111,402,979
Industry Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Disp Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Key other-industrial-metals-mining
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-09-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It serves lithium-ion battery supply chain for electric vehicle industries. The company was formerly known as Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation and changed its name to Sigma Lithium Corporation in July 2021. Sigma Lithium Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.
Long Name Sigma Lithium Corporation
Market us_market
Market Cap 2,425,799,680
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_535782983
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-20
Net Income To Common -50,185,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 2,405,644,939
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 21.375
Operating Cashflow 2,445,000
Operating Margins 0.09531
Payout Ratio 0.0
Prev Name Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation
Previous Close 21.69
Price Eps Current Year 24.558178
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 42.86417
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 22.05032
Profit Margins -0.45618
Quick Ratio 0.066
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.084999084
Regular Market Change Percent 0.39188144
Regular Market Day High 22.3187
Regular Market Day Low 21.3118
Regular Market Day Range 21.3118 - 22.3187
Regular Market Open 21.375
Regular Market Previous Close 21.69
Regular Market Price 21.775
Regular Market Time 1,776,781,385
Regular Market Volume 1,086,628
Return On Assets -0.042930003
Return On Equity -0.67376
Revenue Growth -0.643
Revenue Per Share 0.988
Sand P52 Week Change 0.34445214
Sector Basic Materials
Sector Disp Basic Materials
Sector Key basic-materials
Shares Outstanding 111,402,979
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0654
Shares Short 7,288,208
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 8,197,736
Short Name Sigma Lithium Corporation
Short Percent Of Float 0.1144
Short Ratio 2.0
Source Interval 15
State ON
Symbol SGML
Target High Price 19.5
Target Low Price 17.0
Target Mean Price 18.16667
Target Median Price 18.0
Total Cash 6,214,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.056
Total Debt 143,334,000
Total Revenue 110,012,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.45
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.603875
Two Hundred Day Average Change 12.171124
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 1.2673138
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,086,628
Website https://www.sigmalithiumresources.com
Zip M5J 2T3