Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)Consumer Defensive | Grocery Stores | Phoenix, United States | NasdaqGS
75.29 USD
+0.94
(1.264%)
⇧
(April 21, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 76.20 +0.91 (1.209%) ⇧ (April 21, 2026, 6:39 p.m. EDT) Short-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Long-term: ★★★☆☆ | Dividends: ★★☆☆☆ |
Hot Take | April 18, 2026, 11:53 p.m. EDT
Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is showing the classic symptoms of a 'permission trade.' While the fundamental thesis remains intact with an 18% earnings growth trajectory and a low P/E of ~13X, the options market is actively shorting the equity's downside via aggressive Iron Condor and call-pair selling. The $85 strike is acting as a hard cap for recent price action, suggesting that unless there is unexpected macro easing, speculators view the next 45 days more as a consolidation period than a breakout. The short-term outlook is merely slightly bearish to neutral due to this options-side selling pressure, even though the stock is merely WHOOPs away from the lower of the two major analyst price targets. Do not expect a breakout above $75 without fundamental catalysts. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.070098 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.070099 |
| MSTL | 0.074996 |
| AutoTheta | 0.086633 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 58% |
| H-stat | 2.27 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.496 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.63 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 138.506 |
| Revenue per Share | 90.147 |
| Market Cap | 7,120,656,896 |
| Trailing P/E | 14.18 |
| Forward P/E | 12.79 |
| Beta | 0.67 |
| Profit Margins | 5.95% |
| Website | https://www.sprouts.com |
As of April 18, 2026, 11:53 p.m. EDT: Options speculative positioning is heavily skewed towards downside protection, primarily through Iron Condors and Straddles centered around the current price of $74.15. In the near-term (May/June), there is a deep OTM call wall at $95 (99% OI concentration) versus a massive underlying short gamma wall at $85 for calls and $60-65 for puts. This 'pin risk' suggests a neutral-to-defensive stance where dealers are keen to sell tail risk rather than support upside momentum. The downside is capped by high strikes ($95 calls), while the upside is effectively limited by the heavy short call gamma around $85. Implied volatilities are elevated (60-65% IV) due to this supply of volatility at the short-end expirations. The 1-year and 2-year data shows a complete inversion: heavy long-term bullish positioning (OTM calls) and no bullish deep OTM call skew, confirming that the 'volatility risk premium' is priced by speculators as a multi-day observation rather than a multi-year trend.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.544703 |
| Address1 | 5,455 East High Street |
| Address2 | Suite 111 |
| All Time High | 182.0 |
| All Time Low | 13.0 |
| Ask | 78.95 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 1 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.3 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,699,840 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,653,473 |
| Average Volume | 2,653,473 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,699,840 |
| Beta | 0.666 |
| Bid | 71.64 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 3 |
| Book Value | 14.627 |
| City | Phoenix |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 5 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 75.29 |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,774,915,200 |
| Day High | 76.83 |
| Day Low | 74.06 |
| Debt To Equity | 138.506 |
| Display Name | Sprouts Farmers Market |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,777,496,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,777,496,400 |
| Earnings Growth | 0.184 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | 0.128 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,777,492,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,777,492,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,777,492,800 |
| Ebitda | 843,880,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.09583 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 10.436 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 1.0 |
| Enterprise Value | 8,806,718,464 |
| Eps Current Year | 5.54794 |
| Eps Forward | 5.88461 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 5.31 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fax | 480 814 8017 |
| Fifty Day Average | 75.0664 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.2236023 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.0029787268 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -54.4703 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 182.0 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -106.71 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.5863187 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 64.75 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 10.540001 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.16277994 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 64.75 - 182.0 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,375,363,800,000 |
| Float Shares | 93,806,541 |
| Forward Eps | 5.88461 |
| Forward P E | 12.794391 |
| Free Cashflow | 536,194,880 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 36,000 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,775,001,600 |
| Gross Margins | 0.39032 |
| Gross Profits | 3,437,189,120 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0058600004 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.03828 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 94,576,394 |
| Industry | Grocery Stores |
| Industry Disp | Grocery Stores |
| Industry Key | grocery-stores |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the retailing of fresh, natural, and organic food products in the United States. The company offers healthy grocery stores; and lifestyle-friendly ingredients such as organic, plant-based, keto, paleo, non-GMO, and gluten-free. The company also offers perishable product categories, including produce, meat and meat alternatives, seafood, deli, bakery, floral, and dairy alternatives; and non-perishable product categories, such as grocery, vitamins and supplements, bulk items, frozen foods, beer and wine, and natural health and body care. It sells its products under the Sprouts brand. The company was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. |
| Long Name | Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 7,120,656,896 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_6757990 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,766,880,000 |
| Net Income To Common | 523,670,016 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 7,030,277,559 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 14 |
| Open | 74.7 |
| Operating Cashflow | 715,998,016 |
| Operating Margins | 0.05728 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.04 |
| Phone | 480 814 8016 |
| Post Market Change | 0.90999603 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 1.2086545 |
| Post Market Price | 76.2 |
| Post Market Time | 1,776,811,199 |
| Previous Close | 74.35 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 13.570804 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 5.1473303 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.8085996 |
| Profit Margins | 0.05947 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.406 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.940002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.26429 |
| Regular Market Day High | 76.83 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 74.06 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 74.06 - 76.83 |
| Regular Market Open | 74.7 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 74.35 |
| Regular Market Price | 75.29 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,776,801,600 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,855,049 |
| Return On Assets | 0.109969996 |
| Return On Equity | 0.38435 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.076 |
| Revenue Per Share | 90.147 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.34445214 |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Defensive |
| Sector Key | consumer-defensive |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 6 |
| Shares Outstanding | 94,556,524 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.1088 |
| Shares Short | 10,287,549 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,772,150,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 11,725,535 |
| Short Name | Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.14050001 |
| Short Ratio | 3.96 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | AZ |
| Symbol | SFM |
| Target High Price | 140.0 |
| Target Low Price | 70.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 92.14286 |
| Target Median Price | 91.0 |
| Total Cash | 257,282,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.72 |
| Total Debt | 1,943,344,000 |
| Total Revenue | 8,806,159,360 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 5.31 |
| Trailing P E | 14.178908 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 1.038 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 101.3407 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -26.050697 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.25706056 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,855,049 |
| Website | https://www.sprouts.com |
| Zip | 85,054 |