Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX)Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
3.62 USD
+0.06
(1.685%)
⇧
(July 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 3.62 |
Hot Take ↕ | July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Stitch Fix is currently broken by a severe structural decline in business value. Over the last seven years, the stock has lost approximately 88% of its value, driven by four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending with a sharp drop last year. This is not a temporary correction; it is a multi-year deterioration where the market has repeatedly punished the company's performance. Fundamentally, the picture is bleak: the company is generating negative earnings per share, posting negative operating margins, and destroying shareholder value with a return on equity of nearly -10%. The balance sheet, while not insolvent, shows significant distress with a debt-to-equity ratio nearing 37% and a forward P/E that is effectively infinite due to negative earnings. There is no dividend to provide income, and insider selling continues unabated. While the stock trades at a low price-to-book ratio, this is a reflection of the market's verdict on the deteriorating business, not a margin of safety. The recent price action shows a fragile bounce off lows, but the overwhelming options activity—where investors are buying insurance against further drops rather than betting on a recovery—confirms that the consensus view remains deeply bearish. Until the company demonstrates sustained profitability and a reversal in its multi-year decline, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle best avoided. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| MSTL_126 ✓ | 0.092636 |
| MSTL_70_126 | 0.105529 |
| MSTL | 0.114000 |
| AutoETS | 0.120959 |
| AutoTheta | 0.137649 |
| MSTL_70 | 0.141950 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.144943 |
Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 38% |
| H-stat | 0.50 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.176 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.10 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 36.994 |
| Revenue per Share | 9.973 |
| Market Cap | 483,001,568 |
| Forward P/E | -46.47 |
| Beta | 2.26 |
| Profit Margins | -1.43% |
| Website | https://www.stitchfix.com |
As of July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across nearly all expirations, particularly at the $2.50 strike where massive put volume and open interest suggest a 'floor' expectation. While there is some speculative call activity at distant strikes ($12.50) for 2027, the dominant theme is hedging against further declines, with implied volatility remaining low despite the heavy put positioning.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.17016315 |
| Address1 | 1 Montgomery Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1500 |
| All Time High | 113.759 |
| All Time Low | 2.06 |
| Ask | 4.13 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 7 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.7 - Hold |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 1,986,790 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 2,033,129 |
| Average Volume | 2,033,129 |
| Average Volume10Days | 1,986,790 |
| Beta | 2.261 |
| Bid | 3.09 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 7 |
| Book Value | 1.51 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 3.62 |
| Current Ratio | 1.499 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,782,777,600 |
| Day High | 3.67 |
| Day Low | 3.565 |
| Debt To Equity | 36.994 |
| Display Name | Stitch Fix |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,781,125,200 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,781,125,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,781,121,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,781,121,600 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,781,121,600 |
| Ebitda | -136,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | -0.0001 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -2,725.872 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.278 |
| Enterprise Value | 370,718,592 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.13046 |
| Eps Forward | -0.0779 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -0.14 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 3.6832 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.0632 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.017158993 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -17.016315 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 5.94 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.3200002 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.39057243 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.95 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.66999984 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.22711858 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.95 - 5.94 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,510,929,000,000 |
| Float Shares | 100,182,804 |
| Forward Eps | -0.0779 |
| Forward P E | -46.469833 |
| Free Cashflow | 35,315,376 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 4,165 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,782,864,000 |
| Gross Margins | 0.43659002 |
| Gross Profits | 582,822,016 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.0475 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.94737 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 133,425,856 |
| Industry | Apparel Retail |
| Industry Disp | Apparel Retail |
| Industry Key | apparel-retail |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,754,092,800 |
| Long Business Summary | Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application. Its products include denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | Stitch Fix, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 483,001,568 |
| Market State | POSTPOST |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_142659894 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,777,680,000 |
| Net Income To Common | -19,118,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,785,628,800 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 474,996,047 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 5 |
| Open | 3.61 |
| Operating Cashflow | 37,013,000 |
| Operating Margins | -0.0117999995 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 415 882 7765 |
| Post Market Change | 0.0 |
| Post Market Change Percent | 0.0 |
| Post Market Price | 3.62 |
| Post Market Time | 1,783,981,119 |
| Previous Close | 3.56 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -27.747969 |
| Price Hint | 4 |
| Price To Book | 2.397351 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.36181843 |
| Profit Margins | -0.01432 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.745 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | hold |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.66667 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0599999 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.68539 |
| Regular Market Day High | 3.67 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 3.565 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 3.565 - 3.67 |
| Regular Market Open | 3.61 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 3.56 |
| Regular Market Price | 3.62 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,783,972,800 |
| Regular Market Volume | 1,396,194 |
| Return On Assets | -0.03052 |
| Return On Equity | -0.09515 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.047 |
| Revenue Per Share | 9.973 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20847368 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 10 |
| Shares Outstanding | 118,286,238 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.0955 |
| Shares Short | 12,737,493 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,780,012,800 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 16,577,231 |
| Short Name | Stitch Fix, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1342 |
| Short Ratio | 4.64 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | SFIX |
| Target High Price | 6.0 |
| Target Low Price | 3.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 4.7 |
| Target Median Price | 5.0 |
| Total Cash | 186,814,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.4 |
| Total Debt | 74,531,000 |
| Total Revenue | 1,334,928,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -0.14 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 4.108525 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -0.4885249 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.11890519 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 1,396,194 |
| Website | https://www.stitchfix.com |
| Zip | 94,104 |