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Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX)

Consumer Cyclical | Apparel Retail | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
3.62 USD +0.06 (1.685%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 3.62

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT

The investment case for Stitch Fix is currently broken by a severe structural decline in business value. Over the last seven years, the stock has lost approximately 88% of its value, driven by four consecutive years of negative annual returns ending with a sharp drop last year. This is not a temporary correction; it is a multi-year deterioration where the market has repeatedly punished the company's performance. Fundamentally, the picture is bleak: the company is generating negative earnings per share, posting negative operating margins, and destroying shareholder value with a return on equity of nearly -10%. The balance sheet, while not insolvent, shows significant distress with a debt-to-equity ratio nearing 37% and a forward P/E that is effectively infinite due to negative earnings. There is no dividend to provide income, and insider selling continues unabated. While the stock trades at a low price-to-book ratio, this is a reflection of the market's verdict on the deteriorating business, not a margin of safety. The recent price action shows a fragile bounce off lows, but the overwhelming options activity—where investors are buying insurance against further drops rather than betting on a recovery—confirms that the consensus view remains deeply bearish. Until the company demonstrates sustained profitability and a reversal in its multi-year decline, this remains a high-risk speculative vehicle best avoided.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL_126 ✓0.092636
MSTL_70_1260.105529
MSTL0.114000
AutoETS0.120959
AutoTheta0.137649
MSTL_700.141950
AutoARIMA0.144943

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: MSTL_126

Forecast Reliability
Score 38%
H-stat 0.50
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.176
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Debt to Equity Ratio 36.994
Revenue per Share 9.973
Market Cap 483,001,568
Forward P/E -46.47
Beta 2.26
Profit Margins -1.43%
Website https://www.stitchfix.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are overwhelmingly positioning for downside protection rather than upside participation. Put open interest significantly exceeds call open interest across nearly all expirations, particularly at the $2.50 strike where massive put volume and open interest suggest a 'floor' expectation. While there is some speculative call activity at distant strikes ($12.50) for 2027, the dominant theme is hedging against further declines, with implied volatility remaining low despite the heavy put positioning.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.17016315
Address1 1 Montgomery Street
Address2 Suite 1500
All Time High 113.759
All Time Low 2.06
Ask 4.13
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 2.7 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,986,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,033,129
Average Volume 2,033,129
Average Volume10Days 1,986,790
Beta 2.261
Bid 3.09
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 7
Book Value 1.51
City San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.62
Current Ratio 1.499
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 3.67
Day Low 3.565
Debt To Equity 36.994
Display Name Stitch Fix
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,781,125,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,781,125,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,121,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,781,121,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,781,121,600
Ebitda -136,000
Ebitda Margins -0.0001
Enterprise To Ebitda -2,725.872
Enterprise To Revenue 0.278
Enterprise Value 370,718,592
Eps Current Year -0.13046
Eps Forward -0.0779
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.14
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.6832
Fifty Day Average Change -0.0632
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.017158993
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -17.016315
Fifty Two Week High 5.94
Fifty Two Week High Change -2.3200002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.39057243
Fifty Two Week Low 2.95
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.66999984
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.22711858
Fifty Two Week Range 2.95 - 5.94
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,510,929,000,000
Float Shares 100,182,804
Forward Eps -0.0779
Forward P E -46.469833
Free Cashflow 35,315,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 4,165
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.43659002
Gross Profits 582,822,016
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0475
Held Percent Institutions 0.94737
Implied Shares Outstanding 133,425,856
Industry Apparel Retail
Industry Disp Apparel Retail
Industry Key apparel-retail
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,754,092,800
Long Business Summary Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application. Its products include denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Long Name Stitch Fix, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 483,001,568
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_142659894
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,680,000
Net Income To Common -19,118,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,785,628,800
Non Diluted Market Cap 474,996,047
Number Of Analyst Opinions 5
Open 3.61
Operating Cashflow 37,013,000
Operating Margins -0.0117999995
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 415 882 7765
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 3.62
Post Market Time 1,783,981,119
Previous Close 3.56
Price Eps Current Year -27.747969
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 2.397351
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.36181843
Profit Margins -0.01432
Quick Ratio 0.745
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.66667
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.0599999
Regular Market Change Percent 1.68539
Regular Market Day High 3.67
Regular Market Day Low 3.565
Regular Market Day Range 3.565 - 3.67
Regular Market Open 3.61
Regular Market Previous Close 3.56
Regular Market Price 3.62
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 1,396,194
Return On Assets -0.03052
Return On Equity -0.09515
Revenue Growth 0.047
Revenue Per Share 9.973
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 118,286,238
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0955
Shares Short 12,737,493
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 16,577,231
Short Name Stitch Fix, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1342
Short Ratio 4.64
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol SFIX
Target High Price 6.0
Target Low Price 3.0
Target Mean Price 4.7
Target Median Price 5.0
Total Cash 186,814,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.4
Total Debt 74,531,000
Total Revenue 1,334,928,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.14
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.108525
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.4885249
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.11890519
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,396,194
Website https://www.stitchfix.com
Zip 94,104