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Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Smithfield, United States | NasdaqGS
18.64 USD +0.16 (0.866%) ⇧ (Oct. 16, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.64

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 11:19 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook remains cautious due to persistent selling pressure. Despite the stock recently reclaiming the 200-day moving average, the options market is screaming caution, with massive put open interest at the $20 level acting as a formidable ceiling. This defensive positioning suggests that while the price has stabilized, the broader market is not yet convinced of a sustained reversal. The statistical forecast offers no directional edge, reinforcing the view that the recent bounce may be a pause rather than a trend change. For the long term, the company sits in a precarious spot: it trades at an attractive valuation with a healthy payout ratio, yet it is failing to generate top-line growth, which is a critical flaw for a consumer staple. The balance sheet is manageable, but the lack of revenue expansion limits the ability to justify a premium multiple. The dividend is a solid feature, offering a yield that exceeds inflation, but it cannot fully offset the stagnation in the core business. Until the company can demonstrate a return to revenue growth, the investment case relies entirely on mean reversion in costs or a multiple expansion driven by a turnaround in sentiment, neither of which is currently priced in with confidence.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.131486
AutoETS0.131639
MSTL0.136304
AutoTheta0.137815

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 58.96
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.296
Excess Kurtosis -1.10
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.755
Revenue per Share 39.345
Market Cap 7,339,824,640
Trailing P/E 6.93
Forward P/E 8.59
Profit Margins 6.84%
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com

As of Oct. 10, 2026, 11:19 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated at the $20 strike, creating a significant barrier to upside. Call activity is sparse and skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction despite the recent price recovery.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.39% 4.91% — —
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-13 0.313 1.392968
2026-05-14 0.313 1.255515
2026-04-07 0.313 1.102889
2025-11-13 0.250 1.154201
2025-08-14 0.250 0.969744
2025-05-15 0.250 1.089799
2025-04-10 0.250 1.283368
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.25
dividendYield 6.76
exDividendDate 2026-08-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.125
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.060876627
lastDividendValue 0.313
lastDividendDate 2026-08-13
dividendDate 2026-08-27

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.1671924
Address1 200 Commerce Street
All Time High 29.805
All Time Low 18.17
Ask 20.06
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.0 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,954,780
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,741,626
Average Volume 1,741,626
Average Volume10Days 1,954,780
Bid 17.07
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 17.787
City Smithfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.64
Current Ratio 2.562
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,790,726,400
Day High 18.82
Day Low 18.5361
Debt To Equity 32.755
Display Name Smithfield Foods
Dividend Date 1,787,788,800
Dividend Rate 1.25
Dividend Yield 6.76
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,793,131,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,793,131,200
Earnings Growth 0.255
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.266
Earnings Timestamp 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 1,691,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.10929
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.106
Enterprise To Revenue 0.558
Enterprise Value 8,633,822,208
Eps Current Year 2.12606
Eps Forward 2.17118
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.69
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,579,200
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 15
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 757 357 8165
Fifty Day Average 20.8166
Fifty Day Average Change -2.1766014
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.104560845
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -16.71924
Fifty Two Week High 29.805
Fifty Two Week High Change -11.165001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.3746016
Fifty Two Week Low 18.17
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.4699993
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.025866775
Fifty Two Week Range 18.17 - 29.805
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,738,074,600,000
Float Shares 46,251,922
Forward Eps 2.17118
Forward P E 8.585193
Free Cashflow 528,249,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 34,000
Fullday Change 0.15999985
Fullday Change Percent 0.8658001
Fullday Price 18.64
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,790,812,800
Gross Margins 0.13456
Gross Profits 2,082,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.88272005
Held Percent Institutions 0.14008
Implied Shares Outstanding 393,767,431
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,579,200
Last Dividend Value 0.313
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products, ready-to-eat products, and prepared foods to retail and foodservice customers. This segment markets its packaged meat products under the Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook's, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly's and Smithfield Culinary, as well as under private labels. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into a variety of primal, sub-primal, and offal products, such as bellies, butts, hams, loins, trimmings, picnics, and ribs. This segment sells its fresh pork products to retail, foodservice and industrial customers, as well as to export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. The Hog Production segment produces and raises its hogs on various company-owned farms and farms that are owned and operated by contract farmers. This segment also sells livestock feed and grains; and provides transportation and other ancillary services. The Other segment engages in the bioscience operations uses raw materials from hogs that process to manufacture heparin products, including an active pharmaceutical ingredient that mitigates the risk of blood clots; and produces fresh pork products in Mexico. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited.
Long Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,339,824,640
Market State POST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303885
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 1,059,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,459,923,980
Number Of Analyst Opinions 7
Open 18.6
Operating Cashflow 1,155,000,064
Operating Margins 0.08405
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.4182
Phone 757 365 3000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 18.64
Post Market Time 1,792,180,814
Previous Close 18.48
Price Eps Current Year 8.767391
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.0479563
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.47436336
Profit Margins 0.06844
Quick Ratio 1.208
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.0
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.15999985
Regular Market Change Percent 0.8658
Regular Market Day High 18.82
Regular Market Day Low 18.5361
Regular Market Day Range 18.5361 - 18.82
Regular Market Open 18.6
Regular Market Previous Close 18.48
Regular Market Price 18.64
Regular Market Time 1,792,180,801
Regular Market Volume 1,323,690
Return On Assets 0.07311
Return On Equity 0.15453
Revenue Growth -0.023
Revenue Per Share 39.345
Sand P52 Week Change 0.16207206
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 393,767,431
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.013099999
Shares Short 5,171,534
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,788,134,400
Shares Short Prior Month 4,572,265
Short Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.111899994
Short Ratio 2.42
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol SFD
Target High Price 29.0
Target Low Price 21.0
Target Mean Price 24.92857
Target Median Price 24.0
Total Cash 1,350,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.428
Total Debt 2,396,000,000
Total Revenue 15,473,000,448
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.125
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.060876627
Trailing Eps 2.69
Trailing P E 6.9293675
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.245174
Two Hundred Day Average Change -5.605175
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.23118724
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,323,690
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com
Zip 23,430