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Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Smithfield, United States | NasdaqGS
21.94 USD -0.17 (-0.769%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.95 +0.01 (0.045%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:46 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT

The immediate outlook is bearish due to a distinct lack of momentum and a sharp price decline over the last two weeks, dropping from the mid-$25s to the low-$22s. While the statistical forecast model suggests a negligible drift, the actual price action shows a clear downward trend that contradicts any 'momentum' narratives found in recent headlines. The company is trading at a deep discount to its 200-day moving average, confirming that the market is currently pricing in weakness rather than opportunity. Long-term, the picture is mixed but lacks the explosive growth required for a top-tier rating. The business is fundamentally stable with a decent ROE and manageable debt, yet it is suffering from a multi-year stagnation where the stock has failed to generate meaningful cumulative returns. The recent pullback has erased previous gains, leaving the asset in a neutral-to-slightly-bearish zone rather than a clear buy. The valuation metrics look attractive, but without a proven recovery in revenue growth or a reversal in the long-term price trajectory, the risk of a value trap remains. The dividend is a bright spot, offering a yield well above inflation with a sustainable payout ratio. This makes the stock suitable for income-focused investors who can tolerate the lack of capital appreciation, but it does not compensate for the stagnant equity growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoETS ✓0.042835
AutoARIMA0.042934
AutoTheta0.043991
MSTL0.044332

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 43.60
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.353
Excess Kurtosis -0.61
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-08-12
Last Dividend Date 2026-08-12
Debt to Equity Ratio 32.755
Revenue per Share 39.345
Market Cap 8,639,257,600
Trailing P/E 8.22
Forward P/E 8.96
Profit Margins 6.84%
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:07 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, with significant open interest in out-of-the-money puts relative to calls. The put/call ratio is skewed towards selling, particularly in the near term, while call volume remains thin and concentrated at strikes far above the current price, indicating limited speculative bullishness.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.39% 4.91%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-08-13 0.313 1.392968
2026-05-14 0.313 1.255515
2026-04-07 0.313 1.102889
2025-11-13 0.250 1.154201
2025-08-14 0.250 0.969744
2025-05-15 0.250 1.089799
2025-04-10 0.250 1.283368
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.25
dividendYield 5.66
exDividendDate 2026-08-13
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.125
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.050881952
lastDividendValue 0.313
lastDividendDate 2026-08-13
dividendDate 2026-08-27

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.13328105
Address1 200 Commerce Street
All Time High 29.805
All Time Low 18.43
Ask 21.92
Ask Size 1
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,446,390
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,360,385
Average Volume 1,360,385
Average Volume10Days 1,446,390
Bid 21.92
Bid Size 1
Board Risk 10
Book Value 17.444
City Smithfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.94
Current Ratio 2.562
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 22.26
Day Low 21.88
Debt To Equity 32.755
Display Name Smithfield Foods
Dividend Date 1,787,788,800
Dividend Rate 1.25
Dividend Yield 5.66
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,453,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,453,200
Earnings Growth 0.255
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.266
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,451,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,104,200
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,104,200
Ebitda 1,691,000,064
Ebitda Margins 0.10929
Enterprise To Ebitda 5.911
Enterprise To Revenue 0.646
Enterprise Value 9,996,257,280
Eps Current Year 2.52456
Eps Forward 2.44929
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.67
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,786,579,200
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 757 357 8165
Fifty Day Average 24.6108
Fifty Day Average Change -2.6707993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.10852143
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -13.328105
Fifty Two Week High 29.805
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.865
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.2638819
Fifty Two Week Low 21.08
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.8600006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.04079699
Fifty Two Week Range 21.08 - 29.805
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,738,074,600,000
Float Shares 46,362,177
Forward Eps 2.44929
Forward P E 8.957698
Free Cashflow 528,249,984
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 34,000
Fullday Change -0.17
Fullday Change Percent -0.768883
Fullday Price 21.9499
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.13456
Gross Profits 2,082,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.88272005
Held Percent Institutions 0.13851
Implied Shares Outstanding 393,767,431
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,786,579,200
Last Dividend Value 0.313
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products, ready-to-eat products, and prepared foods to retail and foodservice customers. This segment markets its packaged meat products under the Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook's, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly's and Smithfield Culinary, as well as under private labels. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into a variety of primal, sub-primal, and offal products, such as bellies, butts, hams, loins, trimmings, picnics, and ribs. This segment sells its fresh pork products to retail, foodservice and industrial customers, as well as to export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. The Hog Production segment produces and raises its hogs on various company-owned farms and farms that are owned and operated by contract farmers. This segment also sells livestock feed and grains; and provides transportation and other ancillary services. The Other segment engages in the bioscience operations uses raw materials from hogs that process to manufacture heparin products, including an active pharmaceutical ingredient that mitigates the risk of blood clots; and produces fresh pork products in Mexico. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited.
Long Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 8,639,257,600
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303885
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,604,800
Net Income To Common 1,059,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 8,702,260,225
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 22.18
Operating Cashflow 1,155,000,064
Operating Margins 0.08405
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.4182
Phone 757 365 3000
Post Market Change 0.009899139
Post Market Change Percent 0.04511914
Post Market Price 21.9499
Post Market Time 1,787,960,819
Previous Close 22.11
Price Eps Current Year 8.690623
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.2577391
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.55834407
Profit Margins 0.06844
Quick Ratio 1.208
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.17
Regular Market Change Percent -0.768883
Regular Market Day High 22.26
Regular Market Day Low 21.88
Regular Market Day Range 21.88 - 22.26
Regular Market Open 22.18
Regular Market Previous Close 22.11
Regular Market Price 21.94
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,291,048
Return On Assets 0.07311
Return On Equity 0.15453
Revenue Growth -0.023
Revenue Per Share 39.345
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 393,767,431
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0094
Shares Short 3,704,271
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 5,789,222
Short Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.0801
Short Ratio 2.63
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol SFD
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 26.0
Target Mean Price 30.25
Target Median Price 30.0
Total Cash 1,350,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.428
Total Debt 2,396,000,000
Total Revenue 15,473,000,448
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.125
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.050881952
Trailing Eps 2.67
Trailing P E 8.217229
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.610575
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.6705742
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.10851328
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,291,048
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com
Zip 23,430