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Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD)

Consumer Defensive | Packaged Foods | Smithfield, United States | NasdaqGS
24.85 USD +0.16 (0.648%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 10:18 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT

Smithfield Foods presents a classic value trap scenario where attractive metrics mask a lack of genuine momentum. While the valuation looks compelling with a sub-10 P/E and a 5% dividend yield, the business is stagnant; revenue growth is effectively flat at less than 1%, and the stock has failed to generate meaningful gains over the trailing twelve months. The recent price action shows the stock hovering near its 200-day average but failing to break out, trading below its 50-day line which signals lingering weakness. Analysts are optimistic, projecting a target price significantly higher than current levels, but the market has not yet priced in this recovery. The options data confirms this hesitation, with traders buying protection on the downside rather than betting aggressively on a surge. Until there is concrete evidence of accelerating revenue growth or a decisive technical breakout above the 50-day average, the investment case remains neutral; the cheap price reflects uncertainty about whether the company can revive its growth engine.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.103018
MSTL0.103799
AutoETS0.103878
AutoTheta0.109256

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 43%
H-stat 1.93
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.002
Excess Kurtosis 1.49
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Defensive
Ex Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Last Dividend Date 2026-05-13
Debt to Equity Ratio 33.296
Revenue per Share 39.577
Market Cap 9,777,909,760
Trailing P/E 9.67
Forward P/E 9.74
Profit Margins 6.49%
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com

As of July 11, 2026, 4:21 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume at strikes below the current price (20 and 22.5), creating a significant floor around the $22-$23 range. Call interest is concentrated at the money and slightly out-of-the-money, suggesting a bias toward stability rather than a breakout. Implied volatility is elevated relative to historical norms, indicating fear of a downside move or earnings volatility rather than a strong bullish conviction.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.26% 4.48%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-05-14 0.313 1.255515
2026-04-07 0.313 1.102889
2025-11-13 0.250 1.154201
2025-08-14 0.250 0.969744
2025-05-15 0.250 1.089799
2025-04-10 0.250 1.283368
Additional Data
dividendRate 1.25
dividendYield 5.06
exDividendDate 2026-05-14
trailingAnnualDividendRate 1.063
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.043053865
lastDividendValue 0.313
lastDividendDate 2026-05-14
dividendDate 2026-05-28

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.030467391
Address1 200 Commerce Street
All Time High 29.805
All Time Low 18.43
Ask 26.79
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 7
Average Analyst Rating 1.5 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,419,730
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,359,729
Average Volume 1,359,729
Average Volume10Days 1,419,730
Bid 22.77
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 17.444
City Smithfield
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 24.85
Current Ratio 2.412
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 24.88
Day Low 24.64
Debt To Equity 33.296
Display Name Smithfield Foods
Dividend Date 1,779,926,400
Dividend Rate 1.25
Dividend Yield 5.06
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,381,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,381,200
Earnings Growth 0.088
Earnings Quarterly Growth 0.098
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,379,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,241,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,241,800
Ebitda 1,676,999,936
Ebitda Margins 0.10778
Enterprise To Ebitda 6.577
Enterprise To Revenue 0.709
Enterprise Value 11,028,954,112
Eps Current Year 2.64689
Eps Forward 2.55213
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 2.57
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 757 357 8165
Fifty Day Average 25.6055
Fifty Day Average Change -0.7554989
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.029505337
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 3.046739
Fifty Two Week High 29.805
Fifty Two Week High Change -4.955
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.16624726
Fifty Two Week Low 21.08
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.7700005
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.17884253
Fifty Two Week Range 21.08 - 29.805
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,738,074,600,000
Float Shares 46,044,709
Forward Eps 2.55213
Forward P E 9.736965
Free Cashflow 630,374,976
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 34,500
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.13432
Gross Profits 2,090,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.88337
Held Percent Institutions 0.12743
Implied Shares Outstanding 393,477,263
Industry Packaged Foods
Industry Disp Packaged Foods
Industry Key packaged-foods
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-01-28
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,778,716,800
Last Dividend Value 0.313
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces various packaged meats and fresh pork products in the United States and internationally. It operates through Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, Hog Production, and Other segments. The Packaged Meats segment processes fresh meat into various packaged meats products, including bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and lunch meats, dry sausage products, ham products, ready-to-eat products, and prepared foods to retail and foodservice customers. This segment markets its packaged meat products under the Smithfield, Eckrich, Nathan's Famous, Farmland, Armour, Farmer John, Kretschmar, Krakus, John Morrell, Cook's, Gwaltney, Carando, Margherita, Curly's and Smithfield Culinary, as well as under private labels. The Fresh Pork segment processes live hogs into a variety of primal, sub-primal, and offal products, such as bellies, butts, hams, loins, trimmings, picnics, and ribs. This segment sells its fresh pork products to retail, foodservice and industrial customers, as well as to export markets, including China, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, and Canada. The Hog Production segment produces and raises its hogs on various company-owned farms and farms that are owned and operated by contract farmers. This segment also sells livestock feed and grains; and provides transportation and other ancillary services. The Other segment engages in the bioscience operations uses raw materials from hogs that process to manufacture heparin products, including an active pharmaceutical ingredient that mitigates the risk of blood clots; and produces fresh pork products in Mexico. The company was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Smithfield, Virginia. Smithfield Foods, Inc. is a subsidiary of SFDS UK Holdings Limited.
Long Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 9,777,909,760
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_303885
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,742,400
Net Income To Common 1,009,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 9,722,823,168
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 24.71
Operating Cashflow 1,160,000,000
Operating Margins 0.08789
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.4134
Phone 757 365 3000
Previous Close 24.69
Price Eps Current Year 9.388377
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.4245586
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.6284004
Profit Margins 0.06485
Quick Ratio 1.175
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.5
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.15999985
Regular Market Change Percent 0.648035
Regular Market Day High 24.88
Regular Market Day Low 24.64
Regular Market Day Range 24.64 - 24.88
Regular Market Open 24.71
Regular Market Previous Close 24.69
Regular Market Price 24.85
Regular Market Time 1,784,125,116
Regular Market Volume 81,157
Return On Assets 0.07285
Return On Equity 0.14953
Revenue Growth 0.008
Revenue Per Share 39.577
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Consumer Defensive
Sector Disp Consumer Defensive
Sector Key consumer-defensive
Share Holder Rights Risk 7
Shares Outstanding 393,477,263
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.015800001
Shares Short 6,236,099
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 4,420,319
Short Name Smithfield Foods, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1357
Short Ratio 5.0
Source Interval 15
State VA
Symbol SFD
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 28.0
Target Mean Price 31.41667
Target Median Price 32.0
Total Cash 1,386,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 3.522
Total Debt 2,388,999,936
Total Revenue 15,559,999,488
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 1.063
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.043053865
Trailing Eps 2.57
Trailing P E 9.669261
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.23965
Two Hundred Day Average Change 0.61034966
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.025179803
Type Disp Equity
Volume 81,157
Website https://www.smithfieldfoods.com
Zip 23,430