Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV)Industrials | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Redwood City, United States | NasdaqCM
5.03 USD
+0.15
(3.074%)
⇧
(Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
After hours: 4.99 -0.04 (-0.040%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:57 p.m. EDT) |
Hot Take ↕ | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:40 a.m. EDT
The investment case for Serve Robotics is currently broken by a severe disconnect between its valuation and its operational reality. Despite a 'strong buy' analyst recommendation and a lofty target price of $22, the company is trading at a forward P/E of negative 2.8, driven by significant losses and negative free cash flow. The balance sheet shows a massive operating cash burn of nearly $140 million, which is unsustainable without substantial external financing. Furthermore, the stock has underperformed significantly over the trailing twelve months, dropping nearly 4% year-over-year while failing to generate positive momentum. The options market confirms this pessimism, with traders loading up on deep out-of-the-money puts to protect against further declines, ignoring the bullish analyst narrative. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability or a drastic reduction in cash burn, the high valuation multiples and negative earnings render it a poor long-term hold. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoETS ✓ | 0.131558 |
| AutoTheta | 0.131941 |
| MSTL | 0.149234 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.357786 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoETS
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 33% |
| H-stat | 7.58 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.181 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -1.00 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Industrials |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 2.756 |
| Revenue per Share | 0.107 |
| Market Cap | 436,138,752 |
| Forward P/E | -2.87 |
| Beta | 2.47 |
| Website | https://www.serverobotics.com |
As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are aggressively positioning for downside protection, evidenced by massive open interest in out-of-the-money puts (strikes 8.0, 9.0, 11.0) compared to negligible call volume. While there is some speculative call flow at strikes 6.0 and 8.0, the overwhelming capital allocation is hedging against a drop below current levels, suggesting a consensus view of continued weakness rather than an imminent breakout.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.52575314 |
| Address1 | 730 Broadway |
| All Time High | 30.0 |
| All Time Low | 1.77 |
| Ask | 5.88 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 10 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.3 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 4,792,070 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 4,735,100 |
| Average Volume | 4,735,100 |
| Average Volume10Days | 4,792,070 |
| Beta | 2.47 |
| Bid | 4.85 |
| Bid Size | 8 |
| Board Risk | 9 |
| Book Value | 4.067 |
| City | Redwood City |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 10 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 5.03 |
| Current Ratio | 12.832 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,786,665,600 |
| Day High | 5.105 |
| Day Low | 4.81 |
| Debt To Equity | 2.756 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,046,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,427,200 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,427,200 |
| Ebitda | -172,091,008 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.0 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | -1.222 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 26.983 |
| Enterprise Value | 210,226,848 |
| Eps Current Year | -2.11 |
| Eps Forward | -1.755 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -2.56 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NCM |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 0 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 5.4687 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -0.43869972 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.08022011 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -52.575314 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 18.64 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -13.609999 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.73015016 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 4.32 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.71000004 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.16435185 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 4.32 - 18.64 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,709,908,200,000 |
| Float Shares | 82,236,928 |
| Forward Eps | -1.755 |
| Forward P E | -2.866097 |
| Free Cashflow | -90,129,128 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqCM |
| Full Time Employees | 370 |
| Fullday Change | 0.15 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 3.07377 |
| Fullday Price | 4.99 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,785,542,400 |
| Gross Margins | 0.0 |
| Gross Profits | -28,834,000 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.05205 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.43418 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 86,707,507 |
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Industry Disp | Integrated Freight & Logistics |
| Industry Key | integrated-freight-logistics |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Serve Robotics Inc. designs, develops, and operates low-emission robots that serve people in public and commercial spaces for food delivery activity in the United States. It builds self-driving delivery robots. Serve Robotics Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California. |
| Long Name | Serve Robotics Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 436,138,752 |
| Market State | CLOSED |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_706394437 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | -180,424,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 422,699,096 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 8 |
| Open | 4.87 |
| Operating Cashflow | -139,552,992 |
| Operating Margins | -20.27949 |
| Overall Risk | 10 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Phone | 818 860 1352 |
| Post Market Change | -0.04000044 |
| Post Market Change Percent | -0.7952373 |
| Post Market Price | 4.99 |
| Post Market Time | 1,787,961,425 |
| Previous Close | 4.88 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -2.3838866 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 1.236784 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 55.979816 |
| Profit Margins | 0.0 |
| Quick Ratio | 12.5 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.25 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.15 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.07377 |
| Regular Market Day High | 5.105 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 4.81 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 4.81 - 5.105 |
| Regular Market Open | 4.87 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 4.88 |
| Regular Market Price | 5.03 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,787,947,200 |
| Regular Market Volume | 3,151,637 |
| Return On Assets | -0.39921 |
| Return On Equity | -0.64553 |
| Revenue Growth | 4.044 |
| Revenue Per Share | 0.107 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.20504117 |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Sector Disp | Industrials |
| Sector Key | industrials |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 8 |
| Shares Outstanding | 86,707,507 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.3133 |
| Shares Short | 27,166,256 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,784,073,600 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 24,301,820 |
| Short Name | Serve Robotics Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.3268 |
| Short Ratio | 6.59 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | SERV |
| Target High Price | 22.0 |
| Target Low Price | 7.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 12.625 |
| Target Median Price | 12.5 |
| Total Cash | 235,407,008 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 2.716 |
| Total Debt | 9,697,000 |
| Total Revenue | 7,791,000 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -2.56 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 8.866575 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -3.836575 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.4327009 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 3,151,637 |
| Website | https://www.serverobotics.com |
| Zip | 94,063 |