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Septerna, Inc. (SEPN)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | South San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGM
38.91 USD -1.56 (-3.855%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 38.91

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4 a.m. EDT

The investment case here is defined by a stark disconnect between explosive top-line growth and deteriorating profitability. Revenue surged 224% year-over-year, yet the company is burning cash with negative operating margins and a forward P/E that indicates no expected earnings for the foreseeable future. While the balance sheet remains healthy with a current ratio near 5.0 and manageable debt, the lack of free cash flow conversion creates a precarious runway for a biotech firm dependent on capital markets. The recent price action shows a volatile rebound from multi-month lows, trading well above its 200-day average, which suggests some short-covering or renewed interest in the pipeline catalysts. However, the options market tells a different story for the medium-to-long term: traders are aggressively buying deep out-of-the-money puts for delivery in early 2027, betting on a potential failure of the drug development cycle or a prolonged period of dilution. This heavy put positioning acts as a significant headwind, capping upside potential until the next major clinical readout provides definitive proof of commercial viability. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability or secures substantial non-dilutive funding, the risk-reward profile remains skewed toward caution.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.092053
AutoETS0.119192
AutoARIMA0.119195
MSTL0.122751

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.71
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.451
Excess Kurtosis -0.92
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 5.83
Revenue per Share 2.213
Market Cap 1,816,200,064
Forward P/E -20.05
Profit Margins -24.51%
Website https://septerna.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioning for downside protection over the long term, evidenced by massive open interest in January 2027 puts at strikes significantly below the current price (30.00 strike holds nearly 1,000 contracts). Conversely, call activity is sparse and concentrated near the money, suggesting limited speculative conviction in a near-term breakout despite elevated implied volatility on the short-dated side.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 2.2795787
Address1 250 East Grand Avenue
All Time High 51.1
All Time Low 4.17
Ask 49.92
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 1.1 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 378,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 447,027
Average Volume 447,027
Average Volume10Days 378,910
Bid 28.35
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 6
Book Value 8.426
City South San Francisco
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 8
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 38.91
Current Ratio 4.995
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 40.945
Day Low 38.74
Debt To Equity 5.83
Display Name Septerna
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda -54,395,000
Ebitda Margins -0.55009997
Enterprise To Ebitda -28.297
Enterprise To Revenue 15.566
Enterprise Value 1,539,239,040
Eps Current Year -1.18679
Eps Forward -1.94098
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.53
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 37.2742
Fifty Day Average Change 1.6357994
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.043885566
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 227.95787
Fifty Two Week High 51.1
Fifty Two Week High Change -12.189999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.23855184
Fifty Two Week Low 11.98
Fifty Two Week Low Change 26.93
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.2479134
Fifty Two Week Range 11.98 - 51.1
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,729,863,000,000
Float Shares 26,409,817
Forward Eps -1.94098
Forward P E -20.046576
Free Cashflow 29,544,876
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 123
Fullday Change -1.56
Fullday Change Percent -3.85471
Fullday Price 38.91
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 1.0
Gross Profits 98,882,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.030669998
Held Percent Institutions 0.98692
Implied Shares Outstanding 46,676,947
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,024-10-25
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Septerna, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, discovers and develops G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) oral small molecule products for the treatment of endocrinology, immunology and inflammation, and metabolic diseases. It develops PTH1R Program, oral small molecule Parathyroid Hormone 1 Receptor agonists for the treatment of hypoparathyroidism; SEP-631, an oral small molecule MRGPRX2 negative allosteric modulator (NAM) for chronic spontaneous urticaria and other mast cell diseases; and TSHR Program, an oral small molecule TSHR NAM for graves' disease and thyroid eye disease. In addition, it focuses on other therapeutic areas, including neurology, women's health, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory disease. It has global collaboration and license agreement with Novo Nordisk to discover, develop and commercialize multiple potential oral small molecule therapies for metabolic-related diseases based on certain specified molecular targets. The company was formerly known as GPCR NewCo, Inc. and changed its name to Septerna Inc. in June 2021. Septerna, Inc. was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Long Name Septerna, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,816,200,064
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1765584396
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common -24,236,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,887,615,736
Number Of Analyst Opinions 9
Open 40.25
Operating Cashflow 106,007,000
Operating Margins -0.62948
Overall Risk 7
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 650 338 3533
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 38.91
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 40.47
Price Eps Current Year -32.78592
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.61785
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 18.367348
Profit Margins -0.2451
Quick Ratio 4.895
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.1
Region US
Regular Market Change -1.56
Regular Market Change Percent -3.85471
Regular Market Day High 40.945
Regular Market Day Low 38.74
Regular Market Day Range 38.74 - 40.945
Regular Market Open 40.25
Regular Market Previous Close 40.47
Regular Market Price 38.91
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 385,854
Return On Assets -0.071339995
Return On Equity -0.06342
Revenue Growth 223.756
Revenue Per Share 2.213
Sand P52 Week Change 0.1966995
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 46,676,947
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0616
Shares Short 2,874,690
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 3,350,617
Short Name Septerna, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1177
Short Ratio 7.05
Source Interval 15
State CA
Symbol SEPN
Target High Price 62.0
Target Low Price 48.0
Target Mean Price 54.22222
Target Median Price 51.0
Total Cash 372,321,984
Total Cash Per Share 7.977
Total Debt 22,545,000
Total Revenue 98,882,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.53
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 29.176676
Two Hundred Day Average Change 9.733324
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.33359948
Type Disp Equity
Volume 385,854
Website https://septerna.com
Zip 94,080