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Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury ETF (SCHR)

Intermediate Government | Exchange Traded Fund | NYSEArca
24.53 USD +0.04 (0.164%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 11:26 a.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★★⯪☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:07 a.m. EDT

This instrument offers a compelling income floor but lacks the capital appreciation potential required for a bullish stance. The dividend yield is robust at nearly 4%, providing a cushion against price stagnation, yet the payout history reveals significant volatility with cuts during high-rate periods, suggesting the yield is not entirely permanent. The long-term outlook is neutral. While the business quality of holding intermediate Treasuries is sound, the price trajectory tells a different story: the asset is down roughly 11% over the last nine years. Although the most recent annual return was positive, the cumulative drag from previous years prevents a 'buy and hold' recommendation. It is a defensive holding, not a growth engine. Short-term momentum is flat. The price is hovering near its 52-week lows, trading slightly below its 200-day average, which suggests weak relative strength. The statistical forecast model indicates a flat path over the next 45 days with very high confidence, reinforcing the view that there is no immediate catalyst for a breakout. Investors here are likely seeking yield preservation rather than price gains.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.008708
AutoARIMA0.009058
AutoETS0.009058
AutoTheta0.010390

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 80%
H-stat 1.37
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.472
Excess Kurtosis -0.89

As of July 11, 2026, 3:07 a.m. EDT: Speculator positioning is extremely light and non-directional. Call volume is negligible across all expirations, while put activity is similarly sparse. Open interest is concentrated at-the-money rather than showing a distinct bias toward upside or downside protection. Implied volatility remains low, indicating a lack of speculative fear or greed.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
0.32% 3.88% 3.75% 3.03%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-07-01 0.0790 0.321792
2026-06-01 0.0820 0.333198
2026-05-01 0.0800 0.323363
2026-04-01 0.0800 0.322451
2026-03-02 0.0750 0.297383
2026-02-02 0.0880 0.352847
2025-12-19 0.0800 0.318979
2025-12-01 0.0740 0.294352
2025-11-03 0.0860 0.342766
2025-10-01 0.0770 0.306529
2025-09-02 0.0790 0.316000
2025-08-01 0.0870 0.348139
2025-07-01 0.0770 0.309237
2025-06-02 0.0850 0.344408
2025-05-01 0.0790 0.316887
2025-04-01 0.0770 0.309984
2025-03-03 0.0740 0.298507
2025-02-03 0.0900 0.369914
2024-12-20 0.0740 0.304903
2024-12-02 0.0740 0.300325
2024-11-01 0.0850 0.347506
2024-10-01 0.0715 0.282720
2024-09-03 0.0810 0.322388
2024-08-01 0.0775 0.311433
2024-07-01 0.0710 0.293388
2024-06-03 0.0830 0.342551
2024-05-01 0.0745 0.311260
2024-04-01 0.0765 0.314685
2024-03-01 0.0715 0.291956
2024-02-01 0.0760 0.304731
2023-12-15 0.0670 0.270762
2023-12-01 0.0775 0.316973
2023-11-01 0.0690 0.289794
2023-10-02 0.0695 0.292201
2023-09-01 0.0680 0.279778
2023-08-01 0.0605 0.247900
2023-07-03 0.0655 0.267402
2023-06-01 0.0630 0.251950
2023-05-01 0.0565 0.225369
2023-04-03 0.0680 0.269414
2023-03-01 0.0580 0.238340
2023-02-01 0.0635 0.251236
2022-12-16 0.0590 0.235576
2022-12-01 0.0535 0.213701
2022-11-01 0.0515 0.212240
2022-10-03 0.0540 0.218579
2022-09-01 0.0530 0.209445
2022-08-01 0.0400 0.152265
2022-07-01 0.0515 0.198229
2022-06-01 0.0460 0.177743
2022-05-02 0.0200 0.077700
2022-04-01 0.0215 0.081517
2022-03-01 0.0220 0.079566
2022-02-01 0.0255 0.092525
2021-12-17 0.0190 0.067412
2021-12-01 0.0260 0.092117
2021-11-01 0.0225 0.080071
2021-10-01 0.0215 0.075691
2021-09-01 0.0220 0.076856
2021-08-02 0.0220 0.076389
2021-07-01 0.0220 0.077492
2021-06-01 0.0190 0.066890
2021-05-03 0.0315 0.111131
2021-04-01 0.0255 0.090329
2021-03-01 0.0225 0.078837
2021-02-01 0.0265 0.091442
2020-12-17 0.0235 0.080839
2020-12-01 0.0245 0.084352
2020-11-02 0.0300 0.103075
2020-10-01 0.0285 0.097203
2020-09-01 0.0330 0.112474
2020-08-03 0.0310 0.105281
2020-07-01 0.0640 0.218356
2020-06-01 0.0430 0.146433
2020-05-01 0.0430 0.146633
2020-04-01 0.0495 0.168597
2020-03-02 0.0445 0.156004
2020-02-03 0.0555 0.198391
2019-12-19 0.0485 0.176878
2019-12-02 0.0510 0.185084
2019-11-01 0.0520 0.187523
2019-10-01 0.0480 0.172631
2019-09-03 0.0560 0.199643
2019-08-01 0.0540 0.195794
2019-07-01 0.0495 0.180558
2019-06-03 0.0590 0.215801
2019-05-01 0.0540 0.202058
2019-04-01 0.0570 0.213283
2019-03-01 0.0495 0.187856
2019-02-01 0.0570 0.215542
2018-12-19 0.0505 0.192308
2018-12-03 0.0540 0.207612
2018-11-01 0.0545 0.211036
2018-10-01 0.0470 0.181994
2018-09-04 0.0570 0.218600
2018-08-01 0.0540 0.208253
2018-07-02 0.0485 0.185895
2018-06-01 0.0265 0.101649
2018-05-01 0.0425 0.163808
2018-04-02 0.0445 0.169395
2018-03-01 0.0375 0.143184
2018-02-01 0.0425 0.162400
2017-12-27 0.0390 0.146232
2017-12-01 0.0380 0.141923
2017-11-01 0.0375 0.139743
2017-10-02 0.0375 0.139328
2017-09-01 0.0380 0.139937
2017-08-01 0.0350 0.129342
2017-07-03 0.0390 0.144981
2017-06-01 0.0365 0.134910
2017-05-01 0.0335 0.124304
2017-04-03 0.0385 0.143657
2017-03-01 0.0320 0.120007
2017-02-01 0.0355 0.132934
2016-12-28 0.0305 0.114770
2016-12-01 0.0305 0.114339
2016-11-01 0.0295 0.107273
2016-10-03 0.0325 0.117329
2016-09-01 0.0315 0.113636
2016-08-01 0.0315 0.112964
2016-07-01 0.0305 0.109045
2016-06-01 0.0325 0.118635
2016-05-02 0.0340 0.123884
2016-02-01 0.0335 0.122643
2015-12-29 0.0345 0.129093
2015-12-01 0.0360 0.133556
2015-11-02 0.0360 0.133506
2015-10-01 0.0340 0.124931
2015-09-01 0.0325 0.120393
2015-08-03 0.0390 0.144391
2015-07-01 0.0340 0.127460
2015-06-01 0.0360 0.133680
2015-05-01 0.0330 0.122335
2015-04-01 0.0340 0.124771
2015-03-02 0.0325 0.120975
2015-02-02 0.0370 0.134889
2014-12-29 0.0405 0.151799
2014-12-01 0.0325 0.120998
2014-11-03 0.0320 0.119963
2014-10-01 0.0310 0.116629
2014-09-02 0.0320 0.120550
2014-08-01 0.0315 0.118868
2014-07-01 0.0315 0.118958
2014-06-02 0.0285 0.107486
2014-05-01 0.0425 0.161137
2014-04-01 0.0305 0.116301
2014-03-03 0.0255 0.096154
2014-02-03 0.0280 0.105601
2013-12-27 0.0270 0.103707
2013-12-02 0.0250 0.094823
2013-11-01 0.0370 0.140045
2013-10-01 0.0265 0.100607
2013-09-03 0.0185 0.071154
2013-08-01 0.0245 0.093583
2013-07-01 0.0215 0.081656
2013-06-03 0.0205 0.076550
2013-05-01 0.0185 0.067778
2013-04-01 0.0205 0.075674
2013-03-01 0.0180 0.066507
2013-02-01 0.0205 0.076421
2012-12-27 0.0210 0.077548
2012-12-03 0.0195 0.071678
2012-10-01 0.0210 0.077277
2012-09-04 0.0225 0.082781
2012-08-01 0.0245 0.090156
2012-07-02 0.0235 0.086812
2012-06-01 0.0265 0.097355
2012-05-01 0.0275 0.102804
2012-04-02 0.0305 0.115465
2012-03-01 0.0230 0.086434
2012-02-01 0.0300 0.111732
2011-12-28 0.0320 0.120098
2011-12-01 0.0280 0.105700
2011-11-01 0.0320 0.120278
2011-10-03 0.0310 0.115975
2011-09-01 0.0360 0.135900
2011-08-01 0.0405 0.157129
2011-07-01 0.0340 0.135270
2011-06-01 0.0335 0.131682
2011-05-02 0.0380 0.152733
2011-04-01 0.0340 0.138776
2011-03-01 0.0345 0.140073
2011-02-01 0.0365 0.148253
2010-12-29 0.0330 0.134010
2010-12-01 0.0330 0.131553
2010-11-01 0.0285 0.111393
2010-10-01 0.0295 0.115618
2010-09-01 0.0155 0.061229
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 3.9

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 50.28
All Time Low 23.515
Ask 24.54
Ask Size 68,000
Average Daily Volume10 Day 2,602,790
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,957,819
Average Volume 2,957,819
Average Volume10Days 2,602,790
Beta3 Year 0.78
Bid 24.53
Bid Size 42,200
Category Intermediate Government
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 24.54
Day Low 24.51
Dividend Yield 3.9
Esg Populated 0
Exchange PCX
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.6114
Fifty Day Average Change -0.081300735
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.003303377
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -1.050508
Fifty Two Week High 25.42
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.8899002
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.035007875
Fifty Two Week Low 24.42
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.11009979
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.004508591
Fifty Two Week Range 24.42 - 25.42
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,281,015,000,000
Five Year Average Return -0.000529
Full Exchange Name NYSEArca
Fund Family Schwab ETFs
Fund Inception Date 1,280,966,400
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund will invest at least 90% of its net assets (including, for this purpose, any borrowings for investment purposes) in securities included in the index. The index includes all publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to three years and less than ten years, are rated investment grade, and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value. The securities in the index must be denominated in U.S. dollars and must be fixed-rate and non-convertible.
Long Name Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
Market us_market
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_111311605
Nav Price 24.49
Net Assets 13,378,999,300.0
Net Expense Ratio 0.03
Open 24.52
Phone 1-800-435-4000
Previous Close 24.49
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.040100098
Regular Market Change Percent 0.16374071
Regular Market Day High 24.54
Regular Market Day Low 24.51
Regular Market Day Range 24.51 - 24.54
Regular Market Open 24.52
Regular Market Previous Close 24.49
Regular Market Price 24.5301
Regular Market Time 1,784,129,202
Regular Market Volume 810,813
Shares Outstanding 78,600,000
Short Name Schwab Intermediate-Term U.S. T
Source Interval 15
Symbol SCHR
Three Year Average Return 0.035397697
Total Assets 13,378,999,296
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 0.04851
Trailing Three Month Returns 0.04851
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 24.9655
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.4354
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.017440068
Type Disp ETF
Volume 810,813
Yield 0.039
Ytd Return 0.01419