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SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Austin, United States | NasdaqGS
14.01 USD +0.30 (2.188%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 14.02 +0.01 (0.071%) ⇧ (July 13, 2026, 7:59 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:23 a.m. EDT

The investment case for SailPoint is currently fractured by a severe disconnect between its operational reality and its market valuation. Despite reporting robust revenue growth of 21.6%, the company is bleeding cash, with operating margins crushed to -28.5% and negative returns on equity. This fundamental deterioration is reflected in the stock's performance, which has lost nearly 33% of its value over the last year, dragging the price below its 200-day moving average. The technical picture is grim, with the stock trading below both its 50-day and 200-day averages, confirming a downtrend that analysts have yet to reverse despite a 'Buy' recommendation that seems disconnected from the negative earnings trajectory. Compounding the risk is a wave of insider selling, including significant sales by the CEO and President, which signals a lack of confidence among those closest to the business. Furthermore, the options market is screaming caution, with massive put open interest at lower strikes suggesting traders are betting on a further decline or aggressively hedging against one. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet showing negative profitability, the stock lacks the safety margin required for a turnaround play at these levels.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.170319
AutoETS0.175904
AutoARIMA0.175904
AutoTheta0.188066

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 140.99
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.135
Excess Kurtosis -0.76
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 0.277
Revenue per Share 2.001
Market Cap 7,946,233,856
Forward P/E 35.04
Profit Margins -14.04%
Website https://www.sailpoint.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a significant downside move, evidenced by heavy put open interest at strikes well below the current price (e.g., $7.50 and $10.00 expiring in September and December). While there is some call activity at higher strikes ($20.00), the volume of puts relative to calls suggests a hedging strategy or a bearish bet on a correction rather than a rally. Implied volatility is elevated on deep out-of-the-money puts, indicating fear of a sharp drop.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.33543384
Address1 11,120 Four Points Drive
Address2 Suite 100
All Time High 26.35
All Time Low 10.3
Ask 14.82
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 1
Average Analyst Rating 1.8 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 4,865,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 4,278,978
Average Volume 4,278,978
Average Volume10Days 4,865,420
Bid 13.0
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 10
Book Value 12.063
City Austin
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,798,675,200
Compensation Risk 9
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 14.01
Current Ratio 1.395
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 14.16
Day Low 13.64
Debt To Equity 0.277
Display Name SailPoint
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,781,008,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,781,008,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,788,957,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,788,957,000
Ebitda 8,976,000
Ebitda Margins 0.00801
Enterprise To Ebitda 843.851
Enterprise To Revenue 6.756
Enterprise Value 7,574,405,632
Eps Current Year 0.3235
Eps Forward 0.39984
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.25
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 512 346 2033
Fifty Day Average 14.4748
Fifty Day Average Change -0.46479988
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.03211097
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -33.543385
Fifty Two Week High 24.0
Fifty Two Week High Change -9.99
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.41625
Fifty Two Week Low 10.3
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.71
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.36019418
Fifty Two Week Range 10.3 - 24.0
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,739,457,000,000
Float Shares 325,755,882
Forward Eps 0.39984
Forward P E 35.039017
Free Cashflow 322,153,376
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 3,229
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.66350996
Gross Profits 743,857,984
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.0191
Held Percent Institutions 1.01648
Implied Shares Outstanding 567,182,997
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-02-13
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,769,817,600
Long Business Summary SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance; and address various types of systems and identities, including data and applications, employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities, as well as enable smarter access decisions, improve business processes, and provide deeper understanding of identity and access. The company offers Identity Security Cloud, a cloud-based identity security solution to discover, manage, and secure all enterprise identity types, as well as the data and cloud infrastructure; and IdentityIQ, a customer-hosted identity security solution. It also provides SailPoint platform, a security platform engineered to unify identity, data, and security intelligence in real time. It serves financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, and healthcare, as well as government agencies and public universities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Long Name SailPoint, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 7,946,233,856
Market State POSTPOST
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1917238503
Most Recent Quarter 1,777,507,200
Net Income To Common -157,416,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,801,353,600
Non Diluted Market Cap 7,776,078,888
Number Of Analyst Opinions 24
Open 13.72
Operating Cashflow 205,628,000
Operating Margins -0.28495002
Overall Risk 9
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 512 346 2000
Post Market Change 0.010000229
Post Market Change Percent 0.07137922
Post Market Price 14.02
Post Market Time 1,783,987,148
Previous Close 13.71
Price Eps Current Year 43.30757
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.1614027
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 7.087953
Profit Margins -0.14041
Quick Ratio 1.222
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 1.75
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.3
Regular Market Change Percent 2.18819
Regular Market Day High 14.16
Regular Market Day Low 13.64
Regular Market Day Range 13.64 - 14.16
Regular Market Open 13.72
Regular Market Previous Close 13.71
Regular Market Price 14.01
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,801
Regular Market Volume 2,729,504
Return On Assets -0.01679
Return On Equity -0.023120001
Revenue Growth 0.216
Revenue Per Share 2.001
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 8
Shares Outstanding 567,182,997
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.033299997
Shares Short 18,892,334
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 14,341,109
Short Name SailPoint, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2432
Short Ratio 3.16
Source Interval 15
State TX
Symbol SAIL
Target High Price 25.0
Target Low Price 10.0
Target Mean Price 18.89583
Target Median Price 19.0
Total Cash 390,806,016
Total Cash Per Share 0.689
Total Debt 18,978,000
Total Revenue 1,121,090,048
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.25
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 16.848925
Two Hundred Day Average Change -2.8389244
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.16849291
Type Disp Equity
Volume 2,729,504
Website https://www.sailpoint.com
Zip 78,726