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Safehold Inc. (SAFE)

Real Estate | REIT - Diversified | New York, United States | NYSE
16.75 USD +0.31 (1.855%) ⇧ (July 15, 2026, 12:04 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is severely compromised by a brutal multi-year decline; the stock has lost nearly two-thirds of its value over the last nine years, with four consecutive years of negative returns ending recently. This persistent downward trajectory suggests the market views the current business fundamentals as deteriorating, rendering any 'value' arguments moot as the price has already priced in significant distress. While the company maintains a fortress-like balance sheet with a massive current ratio and pays a consistent dividend, the payout is barely covering inflation and represents a modest yield rather than a compelling income stream given the capital destruction occurring in the share price. Short-term momentum remains weak, with the statistical forecast showing no directional edge and options flow screaming caution. The recent partnership with Brookfield offers a glimmer of strategic hope, but it is insufficient to arrest the structural decline or justify a bullish entry at these levels. Investors should view this as a speculative recovery play at best, not a core holding.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.049470
AutoTheta0.056798
AutoETS0.057009
AutoARIMA0.057011

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 44%
H-stat 9.69
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.454
Excess Kurtosis -0.91
Attribute Value
Sector Real Estate
Ex Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Last Dividend Date 2026-06-29
Debt to Equity Ratio 191.041
Revenue per Share 5.806
Market Cap 1,199,109,504
Trailing P/E 10.60
Forward P/E 9.66
Beta 1.82
Profit Margins 27.35%
Website https://www.safeholdinc.com

As of July 11, 2026, 6:39 a.m. EDT: Speculators are heavily positioned for downside protection, evidenced by massive out-of-the-money put open interest relative to calls across all expirations. The strike distribution shows a distinct 'wall' of put volume at the $15.00 level, suggesting a collective expectation that the stock will breach its recent lows. While there is some call activity at higher strikes ($17.50-$20.00), the overwhelming open interest concentration in puts indicates a bearish sentiment and a fear of further decline rather than a bullish breakout.


Dividend Data

Yield Summary
Last Yield 1yr Yield 3yr Avg 5yr Avg
1.13% 4.88% 4.05% 3.86%
Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2026-06-30 0.17700 1.127389
2026-03-31 0.17700 1.308204
2025-12-30 0.17700 1.301471
2025-09-30 0.17700 1.142673
2025-06-30 0.17700 1.137532
2025-03-31 0.17700 0.945513
2024-12-30 0.17700 0.965104
2024-09-30 0.17700 0.674800
2024-06-28 0.17700 0.917574
2024-03-27 0.17700 0.877106
2023-12-28 0.17700 0.745891
2023-09-28 0.17700 1.012007
2023-06-29 0.17700 0.768563
2023-03-29 1.10625 2.366310
2022-08-31 0.78125 1.165577
2022-05-31 0.78125 0.922414
2022-02-28 0.78125 0.638933
2021-11-30 0.78125 0.659408
2021-08-31 0.78125 0.606805
2021-05-28 0.78125 0.954789
2021-02-26 0.68750 0.797065
2020-11-30 0.68750 1.001702
2020-08-31 0.68750 1.140872
2020-05-29 0.68750 1.292223
2020-02-28 0.62500 0.848645
2019-11-15 0.62500 1.043054
2019-08-14 0.62500 1.016627
2019-05-14 0.62500 1.482679
2019-03-01 0.56250 1.329804
2018-11-14 0.56250 1.096395
2018-08-14 0.56250 1.131832
2008-07-11 5.43750 10.239047
2008-03-13 5.43750 7.225615
2007-12-27 1.56250 1.234615
2007-12-13 5.43750 3.931996
2007-10-11 5.15625 3.070435
2007-07-12 5.15625 2.487788
2007-04-12 5.15625 2.303828
2006-12-13 4.81250 2.061468
2006-10-12 4.81250 2.266575
2006-07-13 4.81250 2.580736
2006-04-11 4.81250 2.685171
2005-12-13 4.58125 2.564501
2005-10-13 4.58125 2.581382
2005-07-13 4.58125 2.281629
2005-04-13 4.58125 2.310759
2004-12-13 4.36250 2.007239
2004-10-13 4.36250 2.132870
2004-07-13 4.36250 2.276434
2004-04-13 4.36250 2.421594
2003-12-11 4.14375 2.154079
2003-10-10 4.14375 2.150270
2003-07-11 4.14375 2.254481
2003-04-11 4.14375 2.864374
2002-12-12 3.93750 2.928747
2002-10-10 3.93750 3.123243
2002-07-11 3.93750 2.984945
2002-04-11 3.93750 2.685657
2001-12-13 3.83125 3.233739
2001-10-11 3.83125 3.080595
2001-07-12 3.83125 2.831266
2001-04-11 3.83125 3.444604
2000-12-27 3.75000 3.925605
2000-10-12 3.75000 3.828075
2000-07-13 3.75000 3.735273
2000-04-12 3.75000 4.221370
1999-12-29 3.56250 4.337067
1999-10-13 2.75000 2.112000
1999-07-13 2.68750 0.895935
1999-04-13 2.62500 1.139826
1998-12-29 2.56250 0.945347
1998-10-13 2.37500 1.016500
1998-07-08 2.18750 0.907879
1993-12-06 543.75000 2127.771403
Additional Data
dividendRate 0.71
dividendYield 4.31
exDividendDate 2026-06-30
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.708
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.043065693
lastDividendValue 0.177
lastDividendDate 2026-06-30
dividendDate 2026-07-15

Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.083004
Address1 1,114 Avenue of the Americas
Address2 39th Floor
All Time High 587.7629
All Time Low 3.212617
Ask 16.78
Ask Size 300
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 275,910
Average Daily Volume3 Month 371,788
Average Volume 371,788
Average Volume10Days 275,910
Beta 1.815
Bid 16.74
Bid Size 300
Board Risk 5
Book Value 33.563
City New York
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 5
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 16.745
Current Ratio 39.047
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 16.89
Day Low 16.48
Debt To Equity 191.041
Display Name Safehold
Dividend Date 1,784,073,600
Dividend Rate 0.71
Dividend Yield 4.31
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,777,582,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,777,582,800
Earnings Growth -0.024
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.017
Earnings Timestamp 1,777,579,200
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,441,600
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,441,600
Ebitda 339,200,992
Ebitda Margins 0.81408995
Enterprise To Ebitda 17.375
Enterprise To Revenue 14.145
Enterprise Value 5,893,597,184
Eps Current Year 1.64571
Eps Forward 1.73286
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 1.58
Esg Populated 0
Ex Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 212 930 9494
Fifty Day Average 15.352
Fifty Day Average Change 1.3930006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.0907374
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 8.3004
Fifty Two Week High 17.16
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.414999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.024184091
Fifty Two Week Low 12.76
Fifty Two Week Low Change 3.9850006
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.3123041
Fifty Two Week Range 12.76 - 17.16
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 627,229,800,000
Five Year Avg Dividend Yield 3.05
Float Shares 55,420,413
Forward Eps 1.73286
Forward P E 9.663217
Free Cashflow -303,372,640
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 72
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.95893997
Gross Profits 399,552,992
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.22686
Held Percent Institutions 0.75232005
Implied Shares Outstanding 71,610,002
Industry REIT - Diversified
Industry Disp REIT - Diversified
Industry Key reit-diversified
Ir Website http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=96452&p=irol-irhome
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Dividend Date 1,782,777,600
Last Dividend Value 0.177
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Last Split Date 1,680,220,800
Last Split Factor 16:100
Long Business Summary Safehold Inc. is revolutionizing real estate ownership by providing a new and better way for owners to unlock the value of the land beneath their buildings. Having created the modern ground lease industry in 2017, Safehold continues to help owners of high quality multifamily, affordable housing, office, industrial, hospitality, student housing, life science and mixed-use properties generate higher returns with less risk. The Company, which is taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT), seeks to deliver safe, growing income and long-term capital appreciation to its shareholders. Safehold Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in New York, United States.
Long Name Safehold Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,199,109,504
Market State REGULAR
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_427255106
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common 113,966,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,177,268,432
Number Of Analyst Opinions 11
Open 16.41
Operating Cashflow 30,314,000
Operating Margins 0.72328
Overall Risk 5
Payout Ratio 0.4481
Phone 212 930 9400
Previous Close 16.44
Price Eps Current Year 10.17494
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 0.4989125
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 2.877902
Profit Margins 0.27352
Quick Ratio 37.87
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.3050003
Regular Market Change Percent 1.855233
Regular Market Day High 16.89
Regular Market Day Low 16.48
Regular Market Day Range 16.48 - 16.89
Regular Market Open 16.41
Regular Market Previous Close 16.44
Regular Market Price 16.745
Regular Market Time 1,784,131,481
Regular Market Volume 89,753
Return On Assets 0.028719999
Return On Equity 0.04713
Revenue Growth 0.119
Revenue Per Share 5.806
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Real Estate
Sector Disp Real Estate
Sector Key real-estate
Share Holder Rights Risk 6
Shares Outstanding 71,610,002
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.044
Shares Short 3,148,405
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,891,418
Short Name Safehold Inc. New
Short Percent Of Float 0.0808
Short Ratio 7.63
Source Interval 15
State NY
Symbol SAFE
Target High Price 28.0
Target Low Price 14.0
Target Mean Price 18.72727
Target Median Price 17.0
Total Cash 19,304,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.27
Total Debt 4,702,454,784
Total Revenue 416,660,992
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.708
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.043065693
Trailing Eps 1.58
Trailing P E 10.598102
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 14.80015
Two Hundred Day Average Change 1.9448509
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.13140751
Type Disp Equity
Volume 89,753
Website https://www.safeholdinc.com
Zip 10,036