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Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (RXRX)

Healthcare | Biotechnology | Salt Lake City, United States | NasdaqGS
3.30 USD -0.26 (-7.303%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT

The fundamental reality here is stark: despite the recent price recovery and positive headlines, the business is deteriorating. Revenue has contracted by more than half (-56%), and the company is burning significant cash with negative operating margins. The market has correctly priced this as a value trap; the stock is down nearly 87% over the last four years, and the most recent annual return was another sharp decline. The recent price bounce appears to be a technical relief rally off lows rather than a reversal of the secular downtrend, especially given the heavy put option positioning protecting against further drops. While the analyst consensus is 'Buy' based on potential AI drug discovery catalysts, the balance sheet and cash burn tell a different story for the long-term holder. For now, the short-term outlook remains neutral-to-slightly-negative as the stock fights to break above the $4.00 resistance level, but the long-term investment case is severely compromised by the lack of revenue growth and profitability.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.073589
MSTL_1260.076013
AutoETS0.077481
AutoARIMA0.077482
MSTL0.080841

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 33%
H-stat 2.91
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.462
Excess Kurtosis -0.78
Attribute Value
Sector Healthcare
Debt to Equity Ratio 7.063
Revenue per Share 0.139
Market Cap 1,751,515,264
Forward P/E -3.51
Beta 1.00
Website https://www.recursion.com

As of July 11, 2026, 3:36 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for continued volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call Open Interest is heavily concentrated at the $4.00 and $5.00 strikes, suggesting a 'wall' of resistance where traders expect the price to struggle to advance. Conversely, Put Open Interest is massive at the $3.00 strike across multiple expirations, indicating a heavy hedge against further downside. The imbalance in volume versus open interest at the ATM ($3.50) suggests active trading but a lack of new directional conviction, while the high implied volatility across the board reflects uncertainty about whether the recent recovery can sustain itself.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.32575756
Address1 41 South Rio Grande Street
All Time High 42.81
All Time Low 2.77
Ask 4.24
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 10
Average Analyst Rating 2.4 - Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 28,977,210
Average Daily Volume3 Month 18,773,149
Average Volume 18,773,149
Average Volume10Days 28,977,210
Beta 0.995
Bid 2.53
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 9
Book Value 1.931
City Salt Lake City
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 10
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 3.3
Current Ratio 5.471
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 3.54
Day Low 3.271
Debt To Equity 7.063
Display Name Recursion Pharmaceuticals
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,068,800
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,068,800
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,070,600
Earnings Timestamp End 1,785,933,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,785,933,000
Ebitda -501,225,984
Ebitda Margins 0.0
Enterprise To Ebitda -2.327
Enterprise To Revenue 17.567
Enterprise Value 1,166,589,184
Eps Current Year -0.91833
Eps Forward -0.94143
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.07
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 3.3451
Fifty Day Average Change -0.045099974
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.013482399
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -32.575756
Fifty Two Week High 7.18
Fifty Two Week High Change -3.8799999
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.54038996
Fifty Two Week Low 2.77
Fifty Two Week Low Change 0.53
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.19133574
Fifty Two Week Range 2.77 - 7.18
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,618,579,800,000
Float Shares 513,011,821
Forward Eps -0.94143
Forward P E -3.5053058
Free Cashflow -177,795,632
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.0
Gross Profits -428,739,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.02365
Held Percent Institutions 0.68858004
Implied Shares Outstanding 530,762,198
Industry Biotechnology
Industry Disp Biotechnology
Industry Key biotechnology
Ipo Expected Date 2,021-04-16
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the decoding biology and chemistry by integrating technological innovations across biology, chemistry, automation, data science, and engineering to industrialize drug discovery in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company develops REC-4881, which is in Phase 1b/2 clinical trial to treat familial adenomatous polyposis; REC-617, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat advanced solid tumors; REC-1245, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to treat biomarker-enriched solid tumors and lymphoma; REC-3565 that is in Phase 1/2 for the treatment of relapsed or refractory B-cell malignancies; and REC-4539, a reversible, CNS penetrant, orally bioavailable, and potential best-in-class inhibitor of LSD1 for the treatment of solid tumors and hematology oncology. Its preclinical stage product includes REC-7735 for the treatment of HR+ breast cancer; and REC-102 for the treatment of hypophosphatasia. The company has collaboration and agreement with Roche & Genentech; Sanofi; Bayer AG; Tempus; and Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited. Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Long Name Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 1,751,515,264
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_261401243
Most Recent Quarter 1,774,915,200
Net Income To Common -559,776,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 1,751,515,252
Number Of Analyst Opinions 6
Open 3.515
Operating Cashflow -320,952,000
Operating Margins -19.85553
Overall Risk 10
Payout Ratio 0.0
Phone 385 269 0203
Pre Market Change 0.020100117
Pre Market Change Percent 0.60909444
Pre Market Price 3.3201
Pre Market Time 1,784,023,716
Previous Close 3.56
Price Eps Current Year -3.5934794
Price Hint 4
Price To Book 1.7089591
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 26.375065
Profit Margins 0.0
Quick Ratio 5.151
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key buy
Recommendation Mean 2.42857
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.26
Regular Market Change Percent -7.30337
Regular Market Day High 3.54
Regular Market Day Low 3.271
Regular Market Day Range 3.271 - 3.54
Regular Market Open 3.515
Regular Market Previous Close 3.56
Regular Market Price 3.3
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 24,390,566
Return On Assets -0.27662
Return On Equity -0.57157004
Revenue Growth -0.561
Revenue Per Share 0.139
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20847368
Sector Healthcare
Sector Disp Healthcare
Sector Key healthcare
Share Holder Rights Risk 10
Shares Outstanding 524,677,865
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.32459998
Shares Short 172,302,180
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 164,340,230
Short Name Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.3441
Short Ratio 7.99
Source Interval 15
State UT
Symbol RXRX
Target High Price 10.0
Target Low Price 4.0
Target Mean Price 7.25
Target Median Price 7.0
Total Cash 654,473,024
Total Cash Per Share 1.235
Total Debt 72,375,000
Total Revenue 66,408,000
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.07
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.071275
Two Hundred Day Average Change -0.7712753
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.18944317
Type Disp Equity
Volume 24,390,566
Website https://www.recursion.com
Zip 84,101