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RXO, Inc. (RXO)

Industrials | Trucking | Charlotte, United States | NYSE
18.70 USD +0.72 (4.004%) ⇧ (April 17, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 18.55 -0.15 (-0.149%) ⇩ (April 17, 2026, 7:56 p.m. EDT)

Short-term: ★★★☆☆ | Long-term: ★★☆☆☆ | Dividends: ☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT

RXO is currently trapped between fundamental weakness and technical momentum. Despite hitting a new 52-week high based on a trucking sector rebound, the underlying numbers are poor: negative profits, a massive -12% revenue contraction, a forward P/E of ~49, and analysts dragging the target price to $15.00. The excessive short interest (24% of float) explains the volume and the bounce, but the options market is screaming 'sell the rally' with heavy put positioning at declines relative to the $18.70 price. This is a classic contrarian contrarian move; while the price action looks strong on the technicals, the valuation metrics and earnings trajectory suggest the upside is highly precarious and likely a temporary liquidity event rather than a value capture.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.078532
AutoETS0.082603
AutoARIMA0.082605
AutoTheta0.086338

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 76%
H-stat 1.11
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.449
Excess Kurtosis -0.40
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 43.478
Revenue per Share 34.085
Market Cap 3,080,099,840
Forward P/E 48.99
Beta 1.53
Profit Margins -1.74%
Previous Name RXO
Website https://www.rxo.com

As of April 19, 2026, 12:13 a.m. EDT: Options data reveals a defensive posture. On the near-expiry (Apr 17), players are positioning heavy OTM puts (716 volume/mL against near-zero calls), suggesting a floor around $10-$12.50 despite the recent price surge. For medium-term expirations (May/Aug), activity is skewed towards deep OTM puts (7.5$-$10$ strikes), which likely acts as insurance on existing long positions or short-hedging. There is virtually no speculative buying in call spreads or back-expiry bullish positioning, indicating the options market is pricing in a potential correction or hesitation to break higher without a catalyst, evident in the massive disparity in Puts-to-Call volume.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.48648643
Address1 11,215 North Community House Road
All Time High 32.82
All Time Low 10.425
Ask 19.26
Ask Size 500
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 2.8 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,893,420
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,297,558
Average Volume 2,297,558
Average Volume10Days 1,893,420
Beta 1.525
Bid 18.0
Bid Size 800
Board Risk 4
Book Value 9.387
City Charlotte
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 18.7
Current Ratio 1.269
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,774,915,200
Day High 19.2
Day Low 18.3196
Debt To Equity 43.478
Display Name RXO
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,778,155,200
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,778,155,200
Earnings Timestamp 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,778,157,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,778,157,000
Ebitda 109,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.01898
Enterprise To Ebitda 34.16
Enterprise To Revenue 0.648
Enterprise Value 3,723,427,072
Eps Current Year -0.02267
Eps Forward 0.38171
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.59
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 14.942
Fifty Day Average Change 3.7580004
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.25150585
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 48.648643
Fifty Two Week High 19.2
Fifty Two Week High Change -0.5
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.026041666
Fifty Two Week Low 10.425
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.275001
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.793765
Fifty Two Week Range 10.425 - 19.2
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,666,877,400,000
Float Shares 124,518,132
Forward Eps 0.38171
Forward P E 48.990074
Free Cashflow 42,750,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,906
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,775,001,600
Gross Margins 0.16388
Gross Profits 941,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.008640001
Held Percent Institutions 1.07881
Implied Shares Outstanding 164,711,222
Industry Trucking
Industry Disp Trucking
Industry Key trucking
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. It offers truckload freight brokering services. The company also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services including middle mile. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Long Name RXO, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,080,099,840
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1777056302
Most Recent Quarter 1,767,139,200
Name Change Date 2,026-04-19
Net Income To Common -100,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,080,099,851
Number Of Analyst Opinions 17
Open 18.38
Operating Cashflow 51,000,000
Operating Margins -0.0061299996
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 22.22
Phone 980 308 6058
Post Market Change -0.14930153
Post Market Change Percent -0.79840386
Post Market Price 18.5507
Post Market Time 1,776,470,214
Prev Name RXO
Previous Close 17.98
Price Eps Current Year -824.8787
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 1.9921168
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.5364158
Profit Margins -0.01742
Quick Ratio 1.223
Quote Source Name Delayed Quote
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 2.7619
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.720001
Regular Market Change Percent 4.00446
Regular Market Day High 19.2
Regular Market Day Low 18.3196
Regular Market Day Range 18.3196 - 19.2
Regular Market Open 18.38
Regular Market Previous Close 17.98
Regular Market Price 18.7
Regular Market Time 1,776,456,002
Regular Market Volume 1,442,493
Return On Assets -0.00131
Return On Equity -0.06343
Revenue Growth -0.119
Revenue Per Share 34.085
Sand P52 Week Change 0.38150132
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 164,711,222
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0847
Shares Short 13,949,812
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,772,150,400
Shares Short Prior Month 13,463,039
Short Name RXO, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.24270001
Short Ratio 7.29
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol RXO
Target High Price 20.0
Target Low Price 12.0
Target Mean Price 15.85294
Target Median Price 15.0
Total Cash 17,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.104
Total Debt 670,000,000
Total Revenue 5,742,000,128
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.59
Trailing Peg Ratio 22.2222
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 15.24405
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.4559507
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.22670817
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,442,493
Website https://www.rxo.com
Zip 28,277