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RXO, Inc. (RXO)

Industrials | Trucking | Charlotte, United States | NYSE
21.91 USD -0.38 (-1.705%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 21.91

Short-term:★★☆☆☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:23 a.m. EDT

RXO presents a classic value trap where the balance sheet is deteriorating under the weight of debt and negative operating cash flow, despite a headline-grabbing 25% revenue growth. The market has correctly punished the stock, sending it tumbling nearly 40% year-over-year, yet the fundamentals remain broken with negative returns on equity and assets. While the forward P/E looks cheap, it is priced on a tiny earnings base that hasn't materialized yet. The options market confirms this skepticism, with traders buying protection at the lows rather than betting on an imminent bounce. Until the company demonstrates a path to profitability and stabilizes its cash burn, this remains a high-risk speculative play rather than a solid investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.087625
AutoTheta0.089556
AutoETS0.089665
AutoARIMA0.089666

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 32%
H-stat 15.78
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.036
Excess Kurtosis -0.51
Attribute Value
Sector Industrials
Debt to Equity Ratio 48.34
Revenue per Share 36.027
Market Cap 3,613,531,392
Forward P/E 35.89
Beta 1.99
Profit Margins -1.72%
Previous Name RXO
Website https://www.rxo.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:23 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume relative to calls, creating a 'glass ceiling' around the $20 strike. Call interest is concentrated far out-of-the-money ($30-$40 strikes), suggesting a speculative hope for a massive rebound rather than a near-term catalyst. Implied volatility is elevated, pricing in significant uncertainty, while open interest in deep OTM puts indicates a fear of further downside or a lack of confidence in the immediate recovery.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.38361263
Address1 11,215 North Community House Road
All Time High 32.82
All Time Low 10.425
Ask 21.95
Ask Size 400
Audit Risk 7
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,330,550
Average Daily Volume3 Month 1,912,524
Average Volume 1,912,524
Average Volume10Days 1,330,550
Beta 1.986
Bid 21.9
Bid Size 100
Board Risk 4
Book Value 9.132
City Charlotte
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 3
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 21.91
Current Ratio 1.268
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 22.78
Day Low 21.71
Debt To Equity 48.34
Display Name RXO
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,017,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,017,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,019,400
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,881,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,881,800
Ebitda 92,000,000
Ebitda Margins 0.01511
Enterprise To Ebitda 47.028
Enterprise To Revenue 0.711
Enterprise Value 4,326,531,584
Eps Current Year 0.12085
Eps Forward 0.61044
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -0.62
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NYQ
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 24.6314
Fifty Day Average Change -2.7213993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.110484965
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 38.361263
Fifty Two Week High 29.9
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.99
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.26722407
Fifty Two Week Low 10.425
Fifty Two Week Low Change 11.485
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.1016786
Fifty Two Week Range 10.425 - 29.9
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,666,877,400,000
Float Shares 135,379,612
Forward Eps 0.61044
Forward P E 35.892143
Free Cashflow 5,750,000
Full Exchange Name NYSE
Full Time Employees 6,906
Fullday Change -0.380001
Fullday Change Percent -1.70481
Fullday Price 21.91
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.14912
Gross Profits 908,000,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.00808
Held Percent Institutions 1.10875
Implied Shares Outstanding 164,926,128
Industry Trucking
Industry Disp Trucking
Industry Key trucking
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary RXO, Inc. engages in truck brokerage business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Asia, and Europe. It offers truckload freight brokering services. The company also provides asset-light managed transportation and last mile services, as well as freight forwarding services, including facilitation of ocean and air transportation, customs brokerage, and additional domestic services including middle mile. RXO, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Long Name RXO, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 3,613,531,392
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1777056302
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Name Change Date 2,026-08-29
Net Income To Common -105,000,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 3,676,203,393
Number Of Analyst Opinions 18
Open 22.62
Operating Cashflow -17,000,000
Operating Margins 0.00676
Overall Risk 2
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 172.13
Phone 980 308 6058
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 21.91
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Prev Name RXO
Previous Close 22.29
Price Eps Current Year 181.29913
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 2.3992553
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.59345233
Profit Margins -0.017239999
Quick Ratio 1.189
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.380001
Regular Market Change Percent -1.70481
Regular Market Day High 22.78
Regular Market Day Low 21.71
Regular Market Day Range 21.71 - 22.78
Regular Market Open 22.62
Regular Market Previous Close 22.29
Regular Market Price 21.91
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,202
Regular Market Volume 666,136
Return On Assets -0.00263
Return On Equity -0.06787
Revenue Growth 0.25
Revenue Per Share 36.027
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Industrials
Sector Disp Industrials
Sector Key industrials
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 164,926,128
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.0883
Shares Short 14,561,764
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 14,801,430
Short Name RXO, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.2524
Short Ratio 6.76
Source Interval 15
State NC
Symbol RXO
Target High Price 35.0
Target Low Price 13.0
Target Mean Price 24.47222
Target Median Price 23.0
Total Cash 15,000,000
Total Cash Per Share 0.091
Total Debt 728,000,000
Total Revenue 6,088,999,936
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -0.62
Trailing Peg Ratio 172.1333
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 18.6418
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.2682
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.17531568
Type Disp Equity
Volume 666,136
Website https://www.rxo.com
Zip 28,277