Sunrun Inc. (RUN)Technology | Solar | San Francisco, United States | NasdaqGS
7.56 USD
+0.26
(3.633%)
⇧
(Oct. 15, 2026, 10:07 a.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT
Sunrun presents a classic value trap scenario where the math looks attractive but the business reality is deteriorating. While the trailing P/E of 5x and a 53% revenue surge might tempt a value investor, the company is bleeding cash with negative free cash flow and a crushing debt-to-equity ratio of nearly 300%. The balance sheet is fragile, and the recent earnings collapse (-59%) signals that the previous growth story has stalled. The stock has recovered significantly over the last decade, yet it remains trapped below its 200-day average, indicating the market sees no sustainable path to profitability at current valuations. Analysts see a path to $15, but without a turnaround in cash generation, that target relies on a multiple expansion that seems unlikely given the sector's headwinds. For now, the stock is a hold for those waiting for a fundamental reset, but it lacks the conviction to be a core holding. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoARIMA ✓ | 0.095262 |
| AutoETS | 0.095265 |
| AutoTheta | 0.098978 |
| MSTL | 0.106958 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 28% |
| H-stat | 16.14 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.808 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.47 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Technology |
| Debt to Equity Ratio | 292.511 |
| Revenue per Share | 14.833 |
| Market Cap | 1,820,803,072 |
| Trailing P/E | 5.44 |
| Forward P/E | 14.58 |
| Beta | 2.44 |
| Profit Margins | 11.59% |
| Website | https://www.sunrun.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 6:53 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for significant volatility rather than a clear directional breakout. Call Open Interest builds heavily at distant strikes ($17, $20, $13) suggesting a 'long gamma' environment where the market expects a massive move either way, while Put Open Interest concentrates near the money ($8, $9, $11), creating a dense wall of resistance just above current prices. The implied volatility surface shows massive spikes at deep out-of-the-money strikes for both calls and puts, indicating fear of a binary event or a crash, but the lack of directional bias in volume suggests uncertainty. The heavy put volume at the $8 strike acts as a psychological floor, while the call wall at $13-$20 suggests a speculative ceiling.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | -0.6377855 |
| Address1 | 600 California Street |
| Address2 | Suite 1800 |
| All Time High | 100.93 |
| All Time Low | 4.15 |
| Ask | 8.93 |
| Ask Size | 1 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 2.0 - Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 7,948,580 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 8,311,834 |
| Average Volume | 8,311,834 |
| Average Volume10Days | 7,948,580 |
| Beta | 2.435 |
| Bid | 6.62 |
| Bid Size | 1 |
| Board Risk | 4 |
| Book Value | 14.534 |
| City | San Francisco |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 7.56 |
| Current Ratio | 1.422 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 7.565 |
| Day Low | 7.1701 |
| Debt To Equity | 292.511 |
| Display Name | Sunrun |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.607 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.588 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,793,822,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,793,822,400 |
| Ebitda | 840,604,992 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.24186 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 21.391 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 5.174 |
| Enterprise Value | 17,981,140,992 |
| Eps Current Year | 1.39749 |
| Eps Forward | 0.51866 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | 1.39 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 8.6952 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | -1.1352 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | -0.1305548 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | -63.77855 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 21.95 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -14.390001 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.6555809 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 7.1701 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 0.38989973 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 0.05437856 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 7.1701 - 21.95 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,438,781,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 220,924,120 |
| Forward Eps | 0.51866 |
| Forward P E | 14.576022 |
| Free Cashflow | -1,971,139,840 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 9,059 |
| Fullday Change | 0.26499987 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 3.6326232 |
| Fullday Price | 7.56 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.35292998 |
| Gross Profits | 1,226,663,040 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.02773 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 1.16677 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 240,846,982 |
| Industry | Solar |
| Industry Disp | Solar |
| Industry Key | solar |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,767,139,200 |
| Long Business Summary | Sunrun Inc. designs, develops, installs, sells, owns, and maintains residential solar energy systems in the United States. The company sells solar energy systems and products, such as panels and racking; and solar leads generated to customers. It offers battery storage along with solar energy systems; and sells services to commercial developers through multi-family and new homes. Its primary customers are residential homeowners. The company markets and sells its products through direct-to-consumer approach across online, retail, mass media, digital media, canvassing, field marketing, and referral channels, as well as its partner network. It also operates distributed electricity power plants. Sunrun Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. |
| Long Name | Sunrun Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 1,820,803,072 |
| Market State | REGULAR |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_44576381 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,782,777,600 |
| Net Income To Common | 400,656,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,675,200 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 2,011,072,299 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 18 |
| Open | 7.1701 |
| Operating Cashflow | -200,131,008 |
| Operating Margins | 0.03999 |
| Overall Risk | 4 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 3.07 |
| Phone | 415 580 6900 |
| Previous Close | 7.295 |
| Price Eps Current Year | 5.4096985 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | 0.5201596 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.5238803 |
| Profit Margins | 0.11594 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.631 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 2.05 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.26499987 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 3.6326232 |
| Regular Market Day High | 7.565 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 7.1701 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 7.1701 - 7.565 |
| Regular Market Open | 7.1701 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 7.295 |
| Regular Market Price | 7.56 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,792,073,269 |
| Regular Market Volume | 2,041,777 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00259 |
| Return On Equity | -0.19856001 |
| Revenue Growth | 0.528 |
| Revenue Per Share | 14.833 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.16440773 |
| Sector | Technology |
| Sector Disp | Technology |
| Sector Key | technology |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 240,846,982 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.2936 |
| Shares Short | 70,708,548 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 68,503,543 |
| Short Name | Sunrun Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.3518 |
| Short Ratio | 9.36 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CA |
| Symbol | RUN |
| Target High Price | 30.0 |
| Target Low Price | 7.0 |
| Target Mean Price | 14.63889 |
| Target Median Price | 13.5 |
| Total Cash | 726,425,024 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 3.016 |
| Total Debt | 15,233,005,568 |
| Total Revenue | 3,475,609,088 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | 1.39 |
| Trailing P E | 5.438849 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | 3.0706 |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 13.0894 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | -5.5294003 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | -0.42243344 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 2,041,777 |
| Website | https://www.sunrun.com |
| Zip | 94,108 |