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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Englewood, United States | NasdaqGS
9.31 USD -0.11 (-1.168%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 9.31

Short-term:★★★★☆Long-term:★★☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 4:40 a.m. EDT

The immediate setup is a high-risk, high-reward momentum play driven by a massive earnings surprise and a strategic pivot to franchising. The stock has detached from its 200-day average, showing strong relative strength, and the options chain confirms aggressive speculation on further upside. However, the long-term outlook remains precarious. Despite the recent price recovery, the business has suffered a catastrophic 87.7% decline over the last nine years, with five of those years seeing negative returns. The company is still burning cash, reporting negative free cash flow, and carries a heavy debt load relative to its tiny market cap. While the transformation story is compelling enough to drive a speculative rally, the fundamental reality of a shrinking, loss-making restaurant chain prevents a confident long-term buy recommendation. Investors here are betting on a turnaround narrative, not on a fortress balance sheet or sustainable growth.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoARIMA ✓0.095552
AutoTheta0.125593
AutoETS0.225259
MSTL0.230094

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoARIMA

Forecast Reliability
Score 30%
H-stat 1.74
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.036
Excess Kurtosis 0.17
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 65.563
Market Cap 175,993,936
Forward P/E 33.25
Beta 2.43
Profit Margins -2.55%
Website https://www.redrobin.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 4:40 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (63% OTM OI), suggesting bets on a sharp spike above current levels, while put volume concentrates deeply in-the-money at low strikes ($2.50, $5.00), indicating a hedge against a collapse back to the 2020 lows. Implied volatility is elevated on deep puts relative to calls, reflecting fear of a gap-down event despite the recent rally.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.42511344
Address1 10,000 East Geddes Avenue
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 95.0
All Time Low 2.46
Ask 12.13
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Analyst Rating 1.0 - Strong Buy
Average Daily Volume10 Day 417,180
Average Daily Volume3 Month 329,998
Average Volume 329,998
Average Volume10Days 417,180
Beta 2.426
Bid 6.77
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value -5.59
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 9.31
Current Ratio 0.715
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 9.6099
Day Low 9.255
Display Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,566,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,566,600
Earnings Growth -0.905
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.903
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,794,254,400
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,794,254,400
Ebitda 57,905,000
Ebitda Margins 0.048660003
Enterprise To Ebitda 11.321
Enterprise To Revenue 0.551
Enterprise Value 655,521,920
Eps Current Year -0.18
Eps Forward 0.28
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.68
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 7.8478
Fifty Day Average Change 1.4622006
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.18631981
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 42.511345
Fifty Two Week High 10.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.6399994
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14977163
Fifty Two Week Low 2.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 6.8500004
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 2.784553
Fifty Two Week Range 2.46 - 10.95
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,027,085,400,000
Float Shares 14,419,215
Forward Eps 0.28
Forward P E 33.25
Free Cashflow -20,390,624
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 18,852
Fullday Change -0.11
Fullday Change Percent -1.16772
Fullday Price 9.31
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.14498
Gross Profits 172,531,008
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.08772001
Held Percent Institutions 0.70574
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,903,752
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 175,993,936
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_131943
Most Recent Quarter 1,783,814,400
Net Income To Common -30,318,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 178,829,493
Number Of Analyst Opinions 3
Open 9.42
Operating Cashflow 21,998,000
Operating Margins 0.02826
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.36
Phone 303 846 6000
Post Market Change 0.0
Post Market Change Percent 0.0
Post Market Price 9.31
Post Market Time 1,787,959,805
Previous Close 9.42
Price Eps Current Year -51.72222
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -1.665474
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.14788523
Profit Margins -0.02548
Quick Ratio 0.202
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key strong_buy
Recommendation Mean 1.0
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.11
Regular Market Change Percent -1.16772
Regular Market Day High 9.6099
Regular Market Day Low 9.255
Regular Market Day Range 9.255 - 9.6099
Regular Market Open 9.42
Regular Market Previous Close 9.42
Regular Market Price 9.31
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,201
Regular Market Volume 202,796
Return On Assets 0.00985
Revenue Growth -0.021
Revenue Per Share 65.563
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20504117
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 18,903,752
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.094799995
Shares Short 1,791,860
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 1,917,777
Short Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.12
Short Ratio 5.82
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol RRGB
Target High Price 14.5
Target Low Price 9.5
Target Mean Price 11.33333
Target Median Price 10.0
Total Cash 22,849,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.209
Total Debt 502,376,992
Total Revenue 1,190,071,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.68
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.92235
Two Hundred Day Average Change 4.3876505
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.89137316
Type Disp Equity
Volume 202,796
Website https://www.redrobin.com
Zip 80,112