Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB)Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Englewood, United States | NasdaqGS
8.63 USD
+0.09
(1.054%)
⇧
(Oct. 13, 2026, 4 p.m.
EDT)
|
Hot Take ↕ | Oct. 10, 2026, 8:55 a.m. EDT
The fundamental reality here is stark: Red Robin is a value trap with deteriorating economics. The company is hemorrhaging cash, reporting negative free cash flow, and trading at a negative book value because its liabilities exceed its assets. While the recent news of selling restaurants to pay down debt and a reported earnings surprise offer temporary relief, the underlying business metrics—negative profit margins, shrinking revenue, and massive debt relative to cash—are catastrophic. The stock has lost over 85% of its value over the last nine years, a structural decline that the market has correctly priced in. The recent price spike appears to be a speculative reaction to the asset sales rather than a turnaround in operations. With no dividend to provide income and a balance sheet that remains fragile, there is no margin of safety for a long-term investor. The short-term outlook is neutral-to-slightly-bearish; while the debt reduction is a positive step, the path to profitability remains unclear, and the high beta suggests continued volatility. This is a speculative play on a turnaround story, not an investment in a quality compounder. |
| Model | MAE |
|---|---|
| AutoTheta ✓ | 0.141643 |
| AutoETS | 0.155772 |
| MSTL | 0.169321 |
| AutoARIMA | 0.200809 |
Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta
| Forecast Reliability | |
|---|---|
| Score | 30% |
| H-stat | 14.33 |
| Ljung-Box p | 0.000 |
| Jarque-Bera p | 0.217 |
| Excess Kurtosis | -0.96 |
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Revenue per Share | 65.563 |
| Market Cap | 163,139,376 |
| Forward P/E | 30.82 |
| Beta | 2.49 |
| Profit Margins | -2.55% |
| Website | https://www.redrobin.com |
As of Oct. 10, 2026, 8:55 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy put volume and open interest concentrated deep out-of-the-money (OTM) at strikes like $2.50 and $5.00, suggesting a fear of further downside or a 'lottery ticket' strategy for survival. Conversely, call activity is sparse and clustered near the money or slightly OTM, indicating a lack of aggressive bullish conviction despite the recent price surge.
| Attribute | Value |
|---|---|
| 52 Week Change | 0.2467153 |
| Address1 | 10,000 East Geddes Avenue |
| Address2 | Suite 500 |
| All Time High | 95.0 |
| All Time Low | 2.46 |
| Ask | 10.85 |
| Ask Size | 2 |
| Audit Risk | 3 |
| Average Analyst Rating | 1.0 - Strong Buy |
| Average Daily Volume10 Day | 166,730 |
| Average Daily Volume3 Month | 289,457 |
| Average Volume | 289,457 |
| Average Volume10Days | 166,730 |
| Beta | 2.493 |
| Bid | 6.23 |
| Bid Size | 2 |
| Board Risk | 1 |
| Book Value | -5.59 |
| City | Englewood |
| Compensation As Of Epoch Date | 1,767,139,200 |
| Compensation Risk | 6 |
| Country | United States |
| Crypto Tradeable | 0 |
| Currency | USD |
| Current Price | 8.63 |
| Current Ratio | 0.715 |
| Custom Price Alert Confidence | HIGH |
| Date Short Interest | 1,790,726,400 |
| Day High | 8.6901 |
| Day Low | 8.4 |
| Display Name | Red Robin Gourmet Burgers |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp End | 1,786,566,600 |
| Earnings Call Timestamp Start | 1,786,566,600 |
| Earnings Growth | -0.905 |
| Earnings Quarterly Growth | -0.903 |
| Earnings Timestamp | 1,786,564,800 |
| Earnings Timestamp End | 1,794,254,400 |
| Earnings Timestamp Start | 1,794,254,400 |
| Ebitda | 57,905,000 |
| Ebitda Margins | 0.048660003 |
| Enterprise To Ebitda | 11.099 |
| Enterprise To Revenue | 0.54 |
| Enterprise Value | 642,667,392 |
| Eps Current Year | -0.18 |
| Eps Forward | 0.28 |
| Eps Trailing Twelve Months | -1.7 |
| Esg Populated | 0 |
| Exchange | NMS |
| Exchange Data Delayed By | 15 |
| Exchange Timezone Name | America/New_York |
| Exchange Timezone Short Name | EDT |
| Fifty Day Average | 8.4042 |
| Fifty Day Average Change | 0.22580051 |
| Fifty Day Average Change Percent | 0.026867582 |
| Fifty Two Week Change Percent | 24.671532 |
| Fifty Two Week High | 10.95 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change | -2.3199997 |
| Fifty Two Week High Change Percent | -0.21187212 |
| Fifty Two Week Low | 2.46 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change | 6.17 |
| Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent | 2.50813 |
| Fifty Two Week Range | 2.46 - 10.95 |
| Financial Currency | USD |
| First Trade Date Milliseconds | 1,027,085,400,000 |
| Float Shares | 14,401,823 |
| Forward Eps | 0.28 |
| Forward P E | 30.821428 |
| Free Cashflow | -20,390,624 |
| Full Exchange Name | NasdaqGS |
| Full Time Employees | 18,852 |
| Fullday Change | 0.016900063 |
| Fullday Change Percent | 0.19789301 |
| Fullday Price | 8.63 |
| Gmt Off Set Milliseconds | -14,400,000 |
| Governance Epoch Date | 1,790,812,800 |
| Gross Margins | 0.14498 |
| Gross Profits | 172,531,008 |
| Has Pre Post Market Data | 1 |
| Held Percent Insiders | 0.09313 |
| Held Percent Institutions | 0.70291 |
| Implied Shares Outstanding | 18,903,752 |
| Industry | Restaurants |
| Industry Disp | Restaurants |
| Industry Key | restaurants |
| Is Earnings Date Estimate | 0 |
| Language | en-US |
| Last Fiscal Year End | 1,766,880,000 |
| Long Business Summary | Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado. |
| Long Name | Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. |
| Market | us_market |
| Market Cap | 163,139,376 |
| Market State | PRE |
| Max Age | 86,400 |
| Message Board Id | finmb_131943 |
| Most Recent Quarter | 1,783,814,400 |
| Net Income To Common | -30,318,000 |
| Next Fiscal Year End | 1,798,416,000 |
| Non Diluted Market Cap | 146,504,078 |
| Number Of Analyst Opinions | 3 |
| Open | 8.54 |
| Operating Cashflow | 21,998,000 |
| Operating Margins | 0.02826 |
| Overall Risk | 1 |
| Payout Ratio | 0.0 |
| Peg Ratio | 1.36 |
| Phone | 303 846 6000 |
| Previous Close | 8.54 |
| Price Eps Current Year | -47.944443 |
| Price Hint | 2 |
| Price To Book | -1.5438282 |
| Price To Sales Trailing12 Months | 0.13708372 |
| Profit Margins | -0.02548 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.202 |
| Quote Source Name | Nasdaq Real Time Price |
| Quote Type | EQUITY |
| Recommendation Key | strong_buy |
| Recommendation Mean | 1.0 |
| Region | US |
| Regular Market Change | 0.0900002 |
| Regular Market Change Percent | 1.05387 |
| Regular Market Day High | 8.6901 |
| Regular Market Day Low | 8.4 |
| Regular Market Day Range | 8.4 - 8.6901 |
| Regular Market Open | 8.54 |
| Regular Market Previous Close | 8.54 |
| Regular Market Price | 8.63 |
| Regular Market Time | 1,791,921,600 |
| Regular Market Volume | 100,811 |
| Return On Assets | 0.00985 |
| Revenue Growth | -0.021 |
| Revenue Per Share | 65.563 |
| Sand P52 Week Change | 0.17502642 |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Disp | Consumer Cyclical |
| Sector Key | consumer-cyclical |
| Share Holder Rights Risk | 1 |
| Shares Outstanding | 18,903,752 |
| Shares Percent Shares Out | 0.094399996 |
| Shares Short | 1,785,374 |
| Shares Short Previous Month Date | 1,788,134,400 |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 1,747,989 |
| Short Name | Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. |
| Short Percent Of Float | 0.1196 |
| Short Ratio | 6.4 |
| Source Interval | 15 |
| State | CO |
| Symbol | RRGB |
| Target High Price | 14.5 |
| Target Low Price | 9.5 |
| Target Mean Price | 11.33333 |
| Target Median Price | 10.0 |
| Total Cash | 22,849,000 |
| Total Cash Per Share | 1.209 |
| Total Debt | 502,376,992 |
| Total Revenue | 1,190,071,040 |
| Tradeable | 0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.0 |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.0 |
| Trailing Eps | -1.7 |
| Trailing Peg Ratio | None |
| Triggerable | 1 |
| Two Hundred Day Average | 5.51435 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change | 3.1156502 |
| Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent | 0.5650077 |
| Type Disp | Equity |
| Volume | 100,811 |
| Website | https://www.redrobin.com |
| Zip | 80,112 |