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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB)

Consumer Cyclical | Restaurants | Englewood, United States | NasdaqGS
7.06 USD +0.15 (2.171%) ⇧ (July 14, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★⯪☆☆Long-term:★☆☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT

The long-term outlook is dire, driven by a brutal nine-year price trajectory where the stock has lost nearly 88% of its value. The business is currently trapped in a cycle of contraction, with revenue shrinking by 3.6% annually and profitability completely erased, resulting in negative earnings and a negative book value. While the company is attempting a turnaround through restaurant closures to reduce debt, the market has already punished this strategy heavily, evidenced by the persistent multi-year decline. There is no dividend to provide income, and the balance sheet remains fragile with debt significantly outweighing cash. Although the stock price has recently rallied off its lows, this appears to be a technical bounce rather than a fundamental recovery, given the lack of positive earnings momentum and the overwhelming bearish sentiment in options flow. Investors should view this as a speculative gamble on a turnaround story rather than a sound investment.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
MSTL ✓0.143903
AutoARIMA0.145171
AutoETS0.145172
AutoTheta0.145234

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: MSTL

Forecast Reliability
Score 29%
H-stat 5.27
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.110
Excess Kurtosis -0.20
Attribute Value
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Revenue per Share 66.702
Market Cap 130,607,544
Forward P/E 48.14
Beta 2.38
Profit Margins -2.23%
Website https://www.redrobin.com

As of July 11, 2026, 5:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning defensively with heavy out-of-the-money put volume at deep strikes ($2.50 and $5.00) across multiple expirations, suggesting a fear of a significant downside gap. Conversely, call activity is concentrated near the money and slightly out-of-the-money, indicating a hope for a modest rebound rather than a major rally. Implied volatility is elevated on the downside strikes, reflecting a market pricing in a high probability of further weakness.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change 0.1224165
Address1 10,000 East Geddes Avenue
Address2 Suite 500
All Time High 95.0
All Time Low 2.46
Ask 8.79
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 3
Average Daily Volume10 Day 238,580
Average Daily Volume3 Month 412,763
Average Volume 412,763
Average Volume10Days 238,580
Beta 2.382
Bid 4.98
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 1
Book Value -5.843
City Englewood
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 7.06
Current Ratio 0.466
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,782,777,600
Day High 7.06
Day Low 6.81
Display Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,779,222,600
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,779,222,600
Earnings Timestamp 1,779,220,800
Earnings Timestamp End 1,786,564,800
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,786,564,800
Ebitda 63,563,000
Ebitda Margins 0.05314
Enterprise To Ebitda 9.787
Enterprise To Revenue 0.52
Enterprise Value 622,094,528
Eps Current Year -0.32
Eps Forward 0.14667
Eps Trailing Twelve Months -1.5
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NMS
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 5.238
Fifty Day Average Change 1.822
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.3478427
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 12.24165
Fifty Two Week High 8.26
Fifty Two Week High Change -1.2000003
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.14527848
Fifty Two Week Low 2.46
Fifty Two Week Low Change 4.6
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.8699186
Fifty Two Week Range 2.46 - 8.26
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,027,085,400,000
Float Shares 13,989,436
Forward Eps 0.14667
Forward P E 48.13527
Free Cashflow 26,914,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGS
Full Time Employees 18,852
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,782,864,000
Gross Margins 0.14408
Gross Profits 172,338,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.088920005
Held Percent Institutions 0.65626
Implied Shares Outstanding 18,499,651
Industry Restaurants
Industry Disp Restaurants
Industry Key restaurants
Is Earnings Date Estimate 1
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,766,880,000
Long Business Summary Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in North America and one Canadian province. Its restaurants primarily offer burgers and pizza, appetizers, salads, other entrees, desserts, wings, milkshakes, alcoholic and non-alcoholic specialty drinks, cocktails, wine, and beers. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
Long Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 130,607,544
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_131943
Most Recent Quarter 1,776,556,800
Net Income To Common -26,711,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,416,000
Non Diluted Market Cap 127,832,588
Number Of Analyst Opinions 4
Open 6.96
Operating Cashflow 24,409,000
Operating Margins 0.02409
Overall Risk 1
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 1.36
Phone 303 846 6000
Pre Market Change 0.17000008
Pre Market Change Percent 2.407933
Pre Market Price 7.23
Pre Market Time 1,784,114,277
Previous Close 6.91
Price Eps Current Year -22.0625
Price Hint 2
Price To Book -1.2082834
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 0.109191306
Profit Margins -0.022330001
Quick Ratio 0.204
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key none
Region US
Regular Market Change 0.1500001
Regular Market Change Percent 2.1707683
Regular Market Day High 7.06
Regular Market Day Low 6.81
Regular Market Day Range 6.81 - 7.06
Regular Market Open 6.96
Regular Market Previous Close 6.91
Regular Market Price 7.06
Regular Market Time 1,784,059,201
Regular Market Volume 100,154
Return On Assets 0.013710001
Revenue Growth -0.036
Revenue Per Share 66.702
Sand P52 Week Change 0.2043345
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Sector Disp Consumer Cyclical
Sector Key consumer-cyclical
Share Holder Rights Risk 1
Shares Outstanding 18,499,651
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1047
Shares Short 1,937,408
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,780,012,800
Shares Short Prior Month 2,022,564
Short Name Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.13340001
Short Ratio 5.08
Source Interval 15
State CO
Symbol RRGB
Target High Price 14.5
Target Low Price 7.0
Target Mean Price 10.125
Target Median Price 9.5
Total Cash 24,275,000
Total Cash Per Share 1.312
Total Debt 515,761,984
Total Revenue 1,196,135,040
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps -1.5
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 4.5789
Two Hundred Day Average Change 2.4811
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.54185504
Type Disp Equity
Volume 100,154
Website https://www.redrobin.com
Zip 80,112