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Rapid7, Inc. (RPD)

Technology | Software - Infrastructure | Boston, United States | NasdaqGM
13.29 USD -0.21 (-1.556%) ⇩ (Aug. 28, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)
After hours: 13.45 +0.16 (1.204%) ⇧ (Aug. 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★★★⯪☆Long-term:★⯪☆☆☆Dividends:☆☆☆☆☆
Hot Take | Aug. 22, 2026, 2:41 a.m. EDT

The long-term investment case is severely compromised by a four-year streak of declining annual returns, which serves as direct evidence of structural deterioration in the market's view of the business. Despite a positive cumulative return over the full nine-year window, the persistent year-over-year declines suggest the company has failed to sustain growth or profitability, capping the long-term rating at a weak level. The short-term outlook is more optimistic, driven by a dramatic compression in valuation multiples; the forward P/E of roughly 5.8x represents a massive discount compared to the trailing 38x, creating a compelling mathematical setup for a mean reversion trade. This valuation reset is likely the catalyst for the aggressive call buying seen in the options chain, where speculators are pricing in a rapid recovery. However, the weak statistical forecast and the fact that the stock remains below its 50-day moving average suggest this is a high-risk, high-reward contrarian play rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.127650
MSTL0.220820
AutoETS0.226184
AutoARIMA0.226187

Forecast horizon: 45 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 37%
H-stat 0.23
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.277
Excess Kurtosis -0.84
Attribute Value
Sector Technology
Debt to Equity Ratio 488.88
Revenue per Share 12.977
Market Cap 895,754,496
Trailing P/E 42.87
Forward P/E 6.55
Beta 0.96
Profit Margins 2.35%
Website https://www.rapid7.com

As of Aug. 22, 2026, 2:41 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for a volatile rebound rather than a steady grind higher. Call volume is heavily skewed toward out-of-the-money strikes (15, 25, 35) with massive open interest walls, suggesting a bet on a sharp gap-up event. Conversely, put writers are aggressively selling deep out-of-the-money protection (strikes 3, 5, 6) while holding significant short positions, indicating a belief that a catastrophic crash is unlikely. However, the sheer volume of OTM calls implies a 'lottery ticket' mentality where traders expect the stock to double or triple quickly, despite the low implied volatility relative to the strike distance.


Info Dump

Attribute Value
52 Week Change -0.34110063
Address1 120 Causeway Street
Address2 Suite 400
All Time High 145.0
All Time Low 4.97
Ask 14.01
Ask Size 2
Audit Risk 6
Average Analyst Rating 3.2 - Hold
Average Daily Volume10 Day 1,543,280
Average Daily Volume3 Month 2,389,365
Average Volume 2,389,365
Average Volume10Days 1,543,280
Beta 0.958
Bid 8.0
Bid Size 2
Board Risk 7
Book Value 2.922
City Boston
Compensation As Of Epoch Date 1,767,139,200
Compensation Risk 6
Country United States
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Current Price 13.29
Current Ratio 0.802
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Date Short Interest 1,786,665,600
Day High 13.588
Day Low 12.97
Debt To Equity 488.88
Display Name Rapid7
Earnings Call Timestamp End 1,786,392,000
Earnings Call Timestamp Start 1,786,392,000
Earnings Growth -0.304
Earnings Quarterly Growth -0.272
Earnings Timestamp 1,786,392,000
Earnings Timestamp End 1,793,736,000
Earnings Timestamp Start 1,793,736,000
Ebitda 58,166,000
Ebitda Margins 0.06796
Enterprise To Ebitda 19.854
Enterprise To Revenue 1.349
Enterprise Value 1,154,822,528
Eps Current Year 1.83
Eps Forward 2.03
Eps Trailing Twelve Months 0.31
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fax 617 457 7929
Fifty Day Average 10.677
Fifty Day Average Change 2.613
Fifty Day Average Change Percent 0.24473166
Fifty Two Week Change Percent -34.11006
Fifty Two Week High 20.95
Fifty Two Week High Change -7.660001
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.36563247
Fifty Two Week Low 4.97
Fifty Two Week Low Change 8.32
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 1.6740443
Fifty Two Week Range 4.97 - 20.95
Financial Currency USD
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,437,139,800,000
Float Shares 59,366,484
Forward Eps 2.03
Forward P E 6.546798
Free Cashflow 133,225,752
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Full Time Employees 2,613
Fullday Change -0.21
Fullday Change Percent -1.55556
Fullday Price 13.45
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Governance Epoch Date 1,785,542,400
Gross Margins 0.69297
Gross Profits 593,126,976
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Held Percent Insiders 0.04027
Held Percent Institutions 1.0768499
Implied Shares Outstanding 67,400,640
Industry Software - Infrastructure
Industry Disp Software - Infrastructure
Industry Key software-infrastructure
Is Earnings Date Estimate 0
Language en-US
Last Fiscal Year End 1,767,139,200
Long Business Summary Rapid7, Inc. provides cybersecurity software and services under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brand names. It offers Rapid7 Agent, a software-based agent that is used on assets across on-premises and cloud environments to centralize and monitor data on company's platform; Rapid7 Network Sensor that analyzes raw end-to-end network traffic to increase visibility into user activity, pinpoint real threats, and investigations; Rapid7 Cloud Event Data Harvesting that offers visibility into changes made to cloud resources; and third-party integrations and ecosystem, as well as orchestration and automation solutions. It also offers various platforms, including Rapid7 managed threat complete consisting of managed detection response that delivers end-to-end threat detection and response; Incident Command, a security information and event management, and extended detection and response solution; Incident Response Services to prepare and respond to potential breaches; Threat Intelligence; Managed Digital Risk Protection; Exposure Command, an exposure management to provide attack surface visibility; and Command Essentials to provide strong security for workloads leveraging real-time visibility, identity analysis, and automated remediation. In addition, it provides Surface Command, a Cyber Asset Attack Service Management solution to detect and prioritize security issues from endpoint to cloud; Vector Command, a continuous red-teaming service that validates the external attack surface exposures and tests defenses; Rapid7 Cloud Security, a cloud risk and compliance management solution; Rapid7 Application Security, a dynamic application security testing tool; and Rapid7 Vulnerability Management, a vulnerability management solution that provides visibility across on-premise and remote endpoints for security. Further, it offers offloads day-to-day, advisory, and professional services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Long Name Rapid7, Inc.
Market us_market
Market Cap 895,754,496
Market State CLOSED
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_22790600
Most Recent Quarter 1,782,777,600
Net Income To Common 20,141,000
Next Fiscal Year End 1,798,675,200
Non Diluted Market Cap 909,908,640
Number Of Analyst Opinions 21
Open 13.16
Operating Cashflow 153,332,992
Operating Margins 0.02273
Overall Risk 6
Payout Ratio 0.0
Peg Ratio 0.7
Phone 617 247 1717
Post Market Change 0.15999985
Post Market Change Percent 1.2039115
Post Market Price 13.45
Post Market Time 1,787,959,806
Previous Close 13.5
Price Eps Current Year 7.262295
Price Hint 2
Price To Book 4.5482545
Price To Sales Trailing12 Months 1.0465375
Profit Margins 0.023529999
Quick Ratio 0.73
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type EQUITY
Recommendation Key hold
Recommendation Mean 3.16
Region US
Regular Market Change -0.21
Regular Market Change Percent -1.55556
Regular Market Day High 13.588
Regular Market Day Low 12.97
Regular Market Day Range 12.97 - 13.588
Regular Market Open 13.16
Regular Market Previous Close 13.5
Regular Market Price 13.29
Regular Market Time 1,787,947,200
Regular Market Volume 1,429,708
Return On Assets 0.00492
Return On Equity 0.14028
Revenue Growth -0.015
Revenue Per Share 12.977
Sand P52 Week Change 0.20204377
Sector Technology
Sector Disp Technology
Sector Key technology
Share Holder Rights Risk 5
Shares Outstanding 67,400,640
Shares Percent Shares Out 0.1184
Shares Short 7,979,305
Shares Short Previous Month Date 1,784,073,600
Shares Short Prior Month 7,867,859
Short Name Rapid7, Inc.
Short Percent Of Float 0.1339
Short Ratio 3.07
Source Interval 15
State MA
Symbol RPD
Target High Price 15.0
Target Low Price 8.76
Target Mean Price 11.71
Target Median Price 12.0
Total Cash 702,579,008
Total Cash Per Share 10.424
Total Debt 961,646,976
Total Revenue 855,921,984
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Eps 0.31
Trailing P E 42.870968
Trailing Peg Ratio 0.6959
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 9.896125
Two Hundred Day Average Change 3.3938751
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent 0.3429499
Type Disp Equity
Volume 1,429,708
Website https://www.rapid7.com
Zip 2,114