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Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RKLB ETF (RKLX)

Trading--Leveraged Equity | Exchange Traded Fund | NasdaqGM
24.53 USD -2.92 (-10.638%) ⇩ (July 13, 2026, 4 p.m. EDT)

Short-term:★☆☆☆☆Long-term:★★⯪☆☆Dividends:★★⯪☆☆
Hot Take | July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT

This instrument is a high-risk leveraged vehicle built on a fundamentally neutral foundation. The underlying asset, Rocket Lab (RKLB), has essentially flatlined over the past year, offering no multi-year growth trajectory to support a bullish thesis. Consequently, the ETF itself is trapped in a structural decline, having failed to generate any cumulative return despite its aggressive 2x daily target. While the recent price action shows some recovery, it remains well below its 52-week highs, confirming a lack of sustained momentum. The most critical signal here is the disconnect between the headline-grabbing dividend yield and reality. The reported 13.35% yield is an artifact of the ETF's leveraged mechanics and recent price collapse, not a sustainable income stream from the underlying business. It represents capital erosion, not wealth generation. For a long-term investor, this is a value trap disguised as a high-yield opportunity. Short-term traders might see a speculative bounce due to the heavy call open interest at higher strikes, but the options data also screams caution with significant put positioning at lower levels. The statistical forecast model offers only a weak lean upward with low confidence, reinforcing that the price action is currently driven by noise rather than a fundamental shift. Avoid this security; it lacks the business quality required to sustain a leveraged position.

Model Selection — Backtest MAE (log-scale, lower is better)
ModelMAE
AutoTheta ✓0.440026
MSTL0.470637
AutoARIMA0.497549
AutoETS0.497552
MSTL_670.537246

Forecast horizon: 60 days | Selected: AutoTheta

Forecast Reliability
Score 31%
H-stat 0.64
Ljung-Box p 0.000
Jarque-Bera p 0.339
Excess Kurtosis -0.80

As of July 11, 2026, 6:12 a.m. EDT: Speculators are positioning for extreme volatility rather than a specific directional outcome. The July expiration shows massive open interest walls at strikes significantly above the current price (45, 55, 60), suggesting a bet on a sharp rally or gap-up event. However, the November and August expirations reveal a contrasting narrative: heavy volume and open interest in deep out-of-the-money puts (strikes like 11, 16, 17 in Nov; 13, 22, 27 in Mar) alongside IV spikes at these levels. This indicates a 'long gamma' environment where traders are hedging against a potential crash while simultaneously buying cheap calls for a speculative spike. The lack of meaningful implied volatility in the far-dated February 2027 calls suggests the market views the underlying asset as having limited upside potential over longer horizons.


Dividend Data

Dividend History
Date Dividend Yield %
2025-12-30 5.946 14.612928
Additional Data
trailingAnnualDividendRate 0.0
trailingAnnualDividendYield 0.0
dividendYield 13.35

Info Dump

Attribute Value
All Time High 114.83
All Time Low 3.814333
Ask 24.6
Ask Size 1
Average Daily Volume10 Day 3,278,650
Average Daily Volume3 Month 3,369,039
Average Volume 3,369,039
Average Volume10Days 3,278,650
Beta3 Year 0.0
Bid 24.47
Bid Size 1
Category Trading--Leveraged Equity
Crypto Tradeable 0
Currency USD
Custom Price Alert Confidence HIGH
Day High 26.7
Day Low 23.8106
Dividend Yield 13.35
Esg Populated 0
Exchange NGM
Exchange Data Delayed By 0
Exchange Timezone Name America/New_York
Exchange Timezone Short Name EDT
Fifty Day Average 58.3293
Fifty Day Average Change -33.7993
Fifty Day Average Change Percent -0.5794566
Fifty Two Week Change Percent 0.41458607
Fifty Two Week High 114.83
Fifty Two Week High Change -90.3
Fifty Two Week High Change Percent -0.7863799
Fifty Two Week Low 15.023333
Fifty Two Week Low Change 9.506668
Fifty Two Week Low Change Percent 0.63279355
Fifty Two Week Range 15.023333 - 114.83
First Trade Date Milliseconds 1,741,872,600,000
Full Exchange Name NasdaqGM
Fund Family Defiance ETFs LLC
Fund Inception Date 1,741,737,600
Gmt Off Set Milliseconds -14,400,000
Has Pre Post Market Data 1
Ipo Expected Date 2,025-03-13
Language en-US
Legal Type Exchange Traded Fund
Long Business Summary The fund is an actively managed exchange traded fund (“ETF”) that attempts to achieve two times (200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of the underlying security by employing derivatives, namely swap agreements and/or listed options contracts. The fund is non-diversified.
Long Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long RKLB ETF
Market us_market
Market State PRE
Max Age 86,400
Message Board Id finmb_1916074834
Nav Price 27.4659
Net Assets 345,145,440.0
Net Expense Ratio 1.29
Open 26.7
Pre Market Change 0.69999886
Pre Market Change Percent 2.853644
Pre Market Price 25.23
Pre Market Time 1,784,027,144
Previous Close 27.45
Price Hint 2
Quote Source Name Nasdaq Real Time Price
Quote Type ETF
Region US
Regular Market Change -2.92
Regular Market Change Percent -10.6375
Regular Market Day High 26.7
Regular Market Day Low 23.8106
Regular Market Day Range 23.8106 - 26.7
Regular Market Open 26.7
Regular Market Previous Close 27.45
Regular Market Price 24.53
Regular Market Time 1,783,972,800
Regular Market Volume 2,091,836
Short Name Defiance Daily Target 2X Long R
Source Interval 15
Symbol RKLX
Total Assets 345,145,440
Tradeable 0
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate 0.0
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield 0.0
Trailing Peg Ratio None
Trailing Three Month Nav Returns 73.57662
Trailing Three Month Returns 73.57662
Triggerable 1
Two Hundred Day Average 43.431576
Two Hundred Day Average Change -18.901575
Two Hundred Day Average Change Percent -0.43520352
Type Disp ETF
Volume 2,091,836
Yield 0.13350001
Ytd Return 11.7297